Copa del Rey predictions for every fixture

Copa del Rey predictions for the coming round

Copa del Rey predictions cover 11 of the next 11 fixtures. 0 of them already carry bookmaker prices. On an average fixture in this round the model makes the favourite a 63% chance, the draw 21%, over 2.5 goals 57% and BTTS 48%.

Expected goals average 3.06 a match, so the goal lines open above 2.5 for most of the round. Home sides are favoured in 0 of the 11 rated fixtures. 3 picks reach banker grade, which needs a chance of 80% or more.

The strongest Copa del Rey pick of the round is alaves to win in Anaitasuna v Alaves on Tue 3 Nov, rated 97% and best priced at 1.08 with 22Bet.

The widest gap between model and market is levante to win in Tarancón v Levante. The model has it at 90% against a best price of 1.24, an edge of 11.6% on a flat stake.

Each row on the board shows the three-way bar, the pick in green and the best price. The match pages print every market, the six most likely scores and the full Copa del Rey odds table.

Copa del Rey results and trends, last 60 days

The last 60 Copa del Rey matches of the past 60 days produced 16 home wins, 8 draws and 36 away wins. That is a home win rate of 27% and a draw rate of 13%.

Goals averaged 3.50 a match, 1.38 for the home side and 2.12 for the visitors. Over 2.5 goals landed in 67% of matches and over 1.5 in 83%. Both teams scored in 47%, and at least one side kept a clean sheet in 53%.

The highest-scoring match in the window was Pinatar 8-0 Atlético Melilla on Sat 26 Sep.

The model rates over 2.5 at 57% for the coming round against a 67% strike rate in these results, so it expects a tighter round than the recent average.

The results block under the board lists each match with the final score, the half-time score and the pick that was frozen before kick-off, so the trend can be checked line by line.

How the Copa del Rey tips have gone

The Copa del Rey record starts with the first settled matchday. 16 tips for this competition are already frozen: the 1X2 or double chance line, over 1.5 and over 2.5 goals, both teams to score, the correct score, the half-time/full-time call and the first-half goal line for every rated match inside 40 hours of kick-off.

Once a round has been played, the hit rate, the flat-stake return and the best-performing market for the competition appear in this block. The same figures are broken down by market on the results pages, where every graded tip is listed with its chance and price.

A frozen tip cannot be edited or withdrawn after the freeze, so the Copa del Rey record reads the same way as the site-wide one: what was published, then what came in.

Copa del Rey odds comparison

Bookmakers have priced 11 of the coming Copa del Rey fixtures, with a median of 5 prices per outcome on a typical match. Taking the best price on each 1X2 outcome pays 97.3% of stakes across the round, against 92.9% at an average single bookmaker.

That gap of 4.4 points is what the comparison saves before any pick is made. Every match page lists each bookmaker's 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS lines with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link.

The edge printed beside a pick compares the model chance with that best price. The value bets page collects the largest gaps across every competition and the banker page the highest chances, with Copa del Rey rows included whenever they qualify.