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Copa del Rey Round of 128 Thursday, 29 October 2026 FT
XerezHomeL
1:3Half-time 1:1
CadizAwayWLLWW
282745
Xerez winDrawCadiz win
Kick-off
Thu 29 Oct
Expected goals
2.88
1.25 : 1.63
Favourite
45%
Cadiz
Over 2.5 goals
55%
model chance
Both teams to score
59%
model chance
Prices compared
5
in the odds table

Xerez vs Cadiz odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet3.443.422.051.732.041.602.19Bet
22Bet3.493.292.091.812.001.622.21Bet
BC.Game3.353.352.041.761.971.642.08Bet
Betwinner3.493.292.091.812.001.622.21Bet
Melbet3.493.292.091.812.001.622.21Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Cadiz to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the Xerez vs Cadiz prediction: Xerez 3.49 (Betwinner), draw 3.42 (1xBet), Cadiz 2.09 (Betwinner).

The best-price payout across the three results is 94.5%, several points better than any single book offers here.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.81 (Melbet) and under 2.5 2.04 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.64 (BC.Game) and no 2.21 (Betwinner).

Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.

73%

Our prediction

Xerez or Cadiz (no draw)
LeanExpected goals 1.25 : 1.63-4.9% against the best price
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
55% chance1.81
BTTSBoth teams to score
59% chance1.64
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
78% chance1.28fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance8.77fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Cadiz, full-time Cadiz
28% chance3.55fair
First halfFirst-half goal
73% chance1.38fair

Xerez vs Cadiz odds movement

Xerez win3.49-0.52
Draw3.42-0.38
Cadiz win2.09-0.01
Over 2.5 goals1.81unchanged
Under 2.5 goals2.04-0.11

Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 12:14 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.

Xerez vs Cadiz prediction

Xerez vs Cadiz prediction, who wins and at what price

The Xerez vs Cadiz prediction leans to Cadiz: 45% against 28% for Xerez, with 27% left for the draw, in the Copa del Rey on Thursday, 29 October 2026.

The goal expectancy is 2.88 in total, split 1.25 to Xerez and 1.63 to Cadiz. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 55% and both teams to score 59%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Our main pick is xerez or Cadiz (no draw) at 73%. Betwinner offer the top price at 1.31. That price implies 76%, 4 points over the model figure.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Xerez vs Cadiz.

How many goals in Xerez vs Cadiz? Lines, BTTS and scorelines

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 78%, over 2.5 at 55%, over 3.5 at 33%; under 2.5 is 46% and under 3.5 is 67%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 55%, best priced 1.81 at Melbet.

BTTS yes stands at 59%. Xerez score in 71% of simulations against a 29% clean sheet for Cadiz; Cadiz score in 80% while Xerez shut them out 20% of the time.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 59%.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Xerez vs Cadiz: 1-1 (11.4%), 1-2 (9.3%) and 0-1 (9.1%).

Even the leading scoreline holds only 11.4% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Cadiz, full-time Cadiz is the top combination at 28%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 73%.

Every market rated for Xerez vs Cadiz

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Xerez vs Cadiz, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

Xerez to win28%3.49
Draw27%3.42
Cadiz to win45%2.09
Xerez, draw no bet38%fair 2.63
Cadiz, draw no bet62%fair 1.61

Double chance

Xerez or draw55%1.71
Cadiz or draw72%1.28
Xerez or Cadiz (no draw)73%1.31

Goals

Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.06
Over 1.5 goals78%fair 1.28
Over 2.5 goals55%1.81
Over 3.5 goals33%fair 3.07
Over 4.5 goals17%fair 6.06
Under 1.5 goals22%fair 4.59
Under 2.5 goals46%2.04
Under 3.5 goals67%fair 1.48

BTTS

Both teams to score59%1.64
Not both teams to score41%2.21

Halves

First-half goal73%fair 1.38
Over 1.5 first-half goals37%fair 2.69
Second-half goal80%fair 1.26

Team goals

Xerez to score71%fair 1.40
Cadiz to score80%fair 1.24
Xerez clean sheet20%fair 5.10
Cadiz clean sheet29%fair 3.48
Xerez to win to nil18%fair 5.56
Cadiz to win to nil26%fair 3.79

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

1-111.4%
1-29.3%
0-19.1%
0-27.5%
2-17.1%
1-07%

Half-time / full-time

Cadiz / Cadiz28.2%
Xerez / Xerez16.9%
Draw / Cadiz15.3%
Draw / Draw14.1%
Draw / Xerez10.5%

Questions about Xerez vs Cadiz

Who will win Xerez vs Cadiz?

The model gives Cadiz the best chance at 45%, with the draw at 27%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.

What is the correct score prediction for Xerez vs Cadiz?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.4%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 55% backs the same picture with less variance.

Will both teams score in Xerez vs Cadiz?

The BTTS yes line is rated 59%. Xerez find the net in 71% of simulated matches and Cadiz in 80%.

What time does Xerez vs Cadiz kick off?

Kick-off is 20:00 UTC on Thursday, 29 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Xerez v CadizXerez or Cadiz (no draw), 73%
1.31Bet