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Live 18 UTC
Copa del Rey Round of 128 Wednesday, 4 November 2026 Kick-off
Calvo SoteloHome
Wed 4 Nov
AlbaceteAwayLLLWW
182161
Calvo Sotelo winDrawAlbacete win
Kick-off
Wed 4 Nov
Expected goals
3.07
1.02 : 2.05
Favourite
61%
Albacete
Over 2.5 goals
59%
model chance
Both teams to score
57%
model chance
Prices compared
4
in the odds table

Calvo Sotelo vs Albacete odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet5.024.201.581.602.251.652.11Bet
Betwinner5.404.101.561.632.191.692.05Bet
Melbet6.013.801.551.622.161.722.03Bet
Stake5.603.901.511.602.16--Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Albacete to win partner prices

Melbet pay the best Calvo Sotelo price at 6.01, 1xBet lead the draw at 4.20 and 1xBet have Albacete longest at 1.58.

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 96.4%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.63 (Betwinner) and under 2.5 2.25 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.72 (Melbet) and no 2.11 (1xBet).

Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.

61%

Our prediction

Albacete to win
StrongExpected goals 1.02 : 2.05-3.8% against the best price
Double chanceAlbacete or draw
82% chance1.15
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
59% chance1.63
BTTSBoth teams to score
57% chance1.72
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
81% chance1.23fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-2
10% chance10.10fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Albacete, full-time Albacete
40% chance2.53fair

Calvo Sotelo vs Albacete prediction

Calvo Sotelo vs Albacete prediction, who wins and at what price

Calvo Sotelo host Albacete on Wednesday, 4 November 2026 in the Copa del Rey, and the model has Albacete at 61%, the draw at 21% and Calvo Sotelo at 18%: that is the Calvo Sotelo vs Albacete prediction in one line.

Expected goals are 1.02 for Calvo Sotelo and 2.05 for Albacete, a total of 3.07, which puts over 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams to score at 57%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

The pick for Calvo Sotelo vs Albacete is albacete to win, a 61% chance. At 1.58 with 1xBet the market prices it at 63%, against 61% from the model.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

Albacete or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 82% chance, priced 1.15.

The draw sits at only 21%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.

Goals, BTTS and correct score for Calvo Sotelo vs Albacete

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 81%, over 2.5 at 59%, over 3.5 at 37%; under 2.5 is 41% and under 3.5 is 63%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 59%; Betwinner pay 1.63.

Both teams to score is 57%: Calvo Sotelo find the net in 64% of simulated matches and Albacete in 87%. Calvo Sotelo keep a clean sheet 13% of the time and Albacete 36%.

The most likely scoreline is 1-2 at 9.9%, followed by 0-2 (9.8%) and 1-1 (9.7%).

Even the leading scoreline holds only 9.9% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Albacete, full-time Albacete is the top combination at 40%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 75%.

All markets, Calvo Sotelo vs Albacete

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 18% / 21% / 61% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

Calvo Sotelo to win18%6.01
Draw21%4.20
Albacete to win61%1.58
Calvo Sotelo, draw no bet22%fair 4.46
Albacete, draw no bet78%fair 1.29

Double chance

Calvo Sotelo or draw39%2.33
Albacete or draw82%1.15
Calvo Sotelo or Albacete (no draw)79%1.23

Goals

Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals81%fair 1.23
Over 2.5 goals59%1.63
Over 3.5 goals37%fair 2.72
Over 4.5 goals20%fair 5.08
Under 1.5 goals19%fair 5.29
Under 2.5 goals41%2.25
Under 3.5 goals63%fair 1.58

BTTS

Both teams to score57%1.72
Not both teams to score43%2.11

Halves

First-half goal75%fair 1.34
Over 1.5 first-half goals40%fair 2.49
Second-half goal82%fair 1.23

Team goals

Calvo Sotelo to score64%fair 1.56
Albacete to score87%fair 1.15
Calvo Sotelo clean sheet13%fair 7.75
Albacete clean sheet36%fair 2.77
Calvo Sotelo to win to nil12%fair 8.47
Albacete to win to nil33%fair 3.01

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

1-29.9%
0-29.8%
1-19.7%
0-19.5%
1-36.8%
0-36.7%

Half-time / full-time

Albacete / Albacete39.6%
Draw / Albacete18.3%
Draw / Draw11.9%
Calvo Sotelo / Calvo Sotelo10%
Draw / Calvo Sotelo6.8%

Questions about Calvo Sotelo vs Albacete

Calvo Sotelo or Albacete: which side does the model back?

The model gives Albacete the best chance at 61%, with the draw at 21%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.

What scoreline is most likely in Calvo Sotelo vs Albacete?

1-2 is the most likely scoreline at 9.9%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 59%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Will both teams score in Calvo Sotelo vs Albacete?

The BTTS yes line is rated 57%. Calvo Sotelo find the net in 64% of simulated matches and Albacete in 87%.

When is Calvo Sotelo vs Albacete and where is the result shown?

Kick-off is 19:45 UTC on Wednesday, 4 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Calvo Sotelo v AlbaceteAlbacete to win, 61%
1.58Bet