Gimnástica Torrelavega vs UD Ourense prediction

Our Gimnástica Torrelavega vs UD Ourense prediction and pick

Nothing separates the sides in the Gimnástica Torrelavega vs UD Ourense prediction for Thursday, 29 October 2026: 32% home, 30% draw and 38% away in the Copa del Rey. A match this tight rewards the double chance and the goal markets more than a straight pick.

Gimnástica Torrelavega are expected to score 1.19 and UD Ourense 1.31, so the total line is 2.50 goals; over 2.5 lands at 45% and BTTS at 53%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Gimnástica Torrelavega or UD Ourense (no draw) is the main selection, rated 70%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.33. That price implies 75%, 5 points over the model figure.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

Goals, BTTS and correct score for Gimnástica Torrelavega vs UD Ourense

Under 2.5 goals is rated 55% and under 3.5 76%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 71% and over 2.5 at 45%.

Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 55%; 1xBet pay 1.74.

Both teams to score is 53%: Gimnástica Torrelavega find the net in 70% of simulated matches and UD Ourense in 73%. Gimnástica Torrelavega keep a clean sheet 27% of the time and UD Ourense 30%.

Correct score: 1-1 leads at 12.8%, then 0-1 at 10.8% and 1-0 at 9.8%.

With the top scoreline at 12.8%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Gimnástica Torrelavega vs UD Ourense; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

Half-time / full-time: half-time UD Ourense, full-time UD Ourense is the top combination at 23%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 68%.