Tarancón vs Levante prediction

Our Tarancón vs Levante prediction and pick

Levante are a strong favourite in the Tarancón vs Levante prediction, rated 90% to win this Copa del Rey match on Thursday, 5 November 2026. Tarancón sit at 4% and the draw at 6%.

The goal expectancy is 4.20 in total, split 0.59 to Tarancón and 3.61 to Levante. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 75% and both teams to score 43%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Our main pick is levante to win at 90%. Melbet offer the top price at 1.24. That price implies 81%, 9 points under the model figure.

A 11.6% edge on a flat stake is the margin here, so the selection qualifies as value and not only as the likely result.

Levante or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 96% chance, priced 1.05.

With the draw down at 6%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.

Tarancón vs Levante over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 92%, over 2.5 at 75%, over 3.5 at 60%; under 2.5 is 25% and under 3.5 is 40%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 75%, best priced 1.36 at Melbet.

The chance of both teams scoring is 43%, built from Tarancón scoring in 45% of runs and Levante in 97%; clean sheets come at 3% for Tarancón and 55% for Levante.

Correct score: 0-3 leads at 11.8%, then 0-4 at 10.6% and 0-2 at 9.8%.

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Levante, full-time Levante is the top combination at 70%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 85%.