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Copa del Rey Round of 128 Thursday, 5 November 2026 Kick-off
AlcoyanoHome
Thu 5 Nov
MallorcaAwayLDWDD
172756
Alcoyano winDrawMallorca win
Kick-off
Thu 5 Nov
Expected goals
2.53
0.84 : 1.69
Favourite
57%
Mallorca
Over 2.5 goals
46%
model chance
Both teams to score
47%
model chance
Prices compared
4
in the odds table

Alcoyano vs Mallorca odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet6.373.681.561.931.811.981.74Bet
22Bet6.433.961.511.971.782.051.69Bet
Betwinner6.433.961.511.971.782.051.69Bet
Melbet6.433.961.511.971.782.051.69Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Mallorca to win partner prices

Melbet pay the best Alcoyano price at 6.43, Melbet lead the draw at 3.96 and 1xBet have Mallorca longest at 1.56.

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 95.3%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.97 (22Bet) and under 2.5 1.81 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 2.05 (Melbet) and no 1.74 (1xBet).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

57%

Our prediction

Mallorca to win
StrongExpected goals 0.84 : 1.69-11.9% against the best price
Double chanceMallorca or draw
83% chance1.10
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
54% chance1.81
BTTSNot both teams to score
53% chance1.74
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
72% chance1.39fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-1
14% chance7.41fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Mallorca, full-time Mallorca
36% chance2.79fair

Alcoyano vs Mallorca prediction

Alcoyano vs Mallorca prediction, who wins and at what price

Alcoyano host Mallorca on Thursday, 5 November 2026 in the Copa del Rey, and the model has Mallorca at 57%, the draw at 27% and Alcoyano at 17%: that is the Alcoyano vs Mallorca prediction in one line.

The goal expectancy is 2.53 in total, split 0.84 to Alcoyano and 1.69 to Mallorca. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 46% and both teams to score 47%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Our main pick is mallorca to win at 57%. At 1.56 with 1xBet the market prices it at 64%, against 57% from the model.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

For a safer line, mallorca or draw covers 83% of outcomes at 1.10.

Goals, BTTS and correct score for Alcoyano vs Mallorca

On the goal lines Alcoyano vs Mallorca reads 72% for over 1.5, 46% for over 2.5 and 25% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 54%.

Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 54%; 1xBet pay 1.81.

The chance of both teams scoring is 47%, built from Alcoyano scoring in 57% of runs and Mallorca in 82%; clean sheets come at 19% for Alcoyano and 43% for Mallorca.

The most likely scoreline is 0-1 at 13.5%, followed by 0-2 (11.4%) and 1-1 (11.3%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Mallorca, full-time Mallorca leads at 36%. A goal before the break is rated 68%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market for Alcoyano vs Mallorca

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 17% / 27% / 57% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

Alcoyano to win17%6.43
Draw27%3.96
Mallorca to win57%1.56
Alcoyano, draw no bet23%fair 4.41
Mallorca, draw no bet77%fair 1.29

Double chance

Alcoyano or draw44%2.45
Mallorca or draw83%1.10
Alcoyano or Mallorca (no draw)73%1.25

Goals

Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.09
Over 1.5 goals72%fair 1.39
Over 2.5 goals46%1.97
Over 3.5 goals25%fair 4.02
Over 4.5 goals11%fair 8.85
Under 1.5 goals28%fair 3.56
Under 2.5 goals54%1.81
Under 3.5 goals75%fair 1.33

BTTS

Both teams to score47%2.05
Not both teams to score53%1.74

Halves

First-half goal68%fair 1.47
Over 1.5 first-half goals32%fair 3.17
Second-half goal75%fair 1.33

Team goals

Alcoyano to score57%fair 1.76
Mallorca to score82%fair 1.23
Alcoyano clean sheet19%fair 5.41
Mallorca clean sheet43%fair 2.31
Alcoyano to win to nil15%fair 6.54
Mallorca to win to nil40%fair 2.52

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

0-113.5%
0-211.4%
1-111.3%
1-29.6%
0-08%
1-06.7%

Half-time / full-time

Mallorca / Mallorca35.9%
Draw / Mallorca19.1%
Draw / Draw15.4%
Alcoyano / Alcoyano10%
Draw / Alcoyano7.4%

Questions about Alcoyano vs Mallorca

Who is favourite in Alcoyano vs Mallorca?

The model gives Mallorca the best chance at 57%, with the draw at 27%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.

What scoreline is most likely in Alcoyano vs Mallorca?

0-1 is the most likely scoreline at 13.5%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 46%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Will both teams score in Alcoyano vs Mallorca?

The BTTS yes line is rated 47%. Alcoyano find the net in 57% of simulated matches and Mallorca in 82%.

When do Alcoyano play Mallorca?

Kick-off is 20:00 UTC on Thursday, 5 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Alcoyano v MallorcaMallorca to win, 57%
1.56Bet