Mijas Las Lagunas vs Real Jaén prediction

Mijas Las Lagunas vs Real Jaén prediction, who wins and at what price

The Mijas Las Lagunas vs Real Jaén prediction leans to Real Jaén: 46% against 28% for Mijas Las Lagunas, with 26% left for the draw, in the Copa del Rey on Thursday, 29 October 2026.

The goal expectancy is 2.83 in total, split 1.22 to Mijas Las Lagunas and 1.61 to Real Jaén. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 53% and both teams to score 58%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

The pick for Mijas Las Lagunas vs Real Jaén is mijas Las Lagunas or Real Jaén (no draw), a 74% chance. Betwinner offer the top price at 1.29. That price implies 78%, 3 points over the model figure.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Mijas Las Lagunas vs Real Jaén.

How many goals in Mijas Las Lagunas vs Real Jaén? Lines, BTTS and scorelines

Under 2.5 goals is rated 47% and under 3.5 69%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 77% and over 2.5 at 53%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 53%; BC.Game pay 1.81.

Both teams to score is 58%: Mijas Las Lagunas find the net in 71% of simulated matches and Real Jaén in 80%. Mijas Las Lagunas keep a clean sheet 20% of the time and Real Jaén 30%.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Mijas Las Lagunas vs Real Jaén: 1-1 (11.6%), 0-1 (9.5%) and 1-2 (9.3%).

Even the leading scoreline holds only 11.6% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Real Jaén, full-time Real Jaén leads at 28%. A goal before the break is rated 72%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.