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Live 31 UTC
Copa del Rey Round of 128 Thursday, 29 October 2026 FT
CoruxoHomeL
0:2Half-time 0:1
ZamoraAwayDDLWL
272944
Coruxo winDrawZamora win
Kick-off
Thu 29 Oct
Expected goals
2.42
1.03 : 1.39
Favourite
44%
Zamora
Over 2.5 goals
43%
model chance
Both teams to score
50%
model chance
Prices compared
6
in the odds table

Coruxo vs Zamora betting odds by bookmaker

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet3.543.252.082.131.671.861.84Bet
22Bet3.223.222.232.311.572.011.75Bet
BC.Game3.453.102.102.221.601.911.76Bet
Betwinner3.293.242.192.311.572.011.75Bet
Melbet3.223.222.232.311.572.011.75Bet
Stake3.153.152.20--1.941.71Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Zamora to win partner prices

1xBet pay the best Coruxo price at 3.54, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.25 and 22Bet have Zamora longest at 2.23.

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 96.3%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

For the goals, over 2.5 pays 2.31 (Betwinner) and under 2.5 1.67 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 2.01 (Betwinner) and no 1.84 (1xBet).

Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.

73%

Our prediction

Zamora or draw
LeanExpected goals 1.03 : 1.39-3.1% against the best price
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
57% chance1.67
BTTSBoth teams to score
50% chance2.01
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
70% chance1.44fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance7.87fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Zamora, full-time Zamora
27% chance3.72fair
First halfFirst-half goal
66% chance1.51fair

Coruxo vs Zamora odds movement

Coruxo win3.54-0.01
Draw3.25-0.20
Zamora win2.23unchanged
Over 2.5 goals2.31unchanged
Under 2.5 goals1.67unchanged

Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 12:14 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.

Coruxo vs Zamora prediction

Our Coruxo vs Zamora prediction and pick

The Coruxo vs Zamora prediction leans to Zamora: 44% against 27% for Coruxo, with 29% left for the draw, in the Copa del Rey on Thursday, 29 October 2026.

The goal expectancy is 2.42 in total, split 1.03 to Coruxo and 1.39 to Zamora. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 43% and both teams to score 50%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Zamora or draw is the main selection, rated 73%. 22Bet offer the top price at 1.32. That price implies 76%, 2 points over the model figure.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Coruxo vs Zamora.

A low-scoring Coruxo vs Zamora? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

Under 2.5 goals is rated 57% and under 3.5 78%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 70% and over 2.5 at 43%.

The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 57%, best priced 1.67 at 1xBet.

Both teams to score is 50%: Coruxo find the net in 64% of simulated matches and Zamora in 75%. Coruxo keep a clean sheet 25% of the time and Zamora 36%.

Correct score: 1-1 leads at 12.7%, then 0-1 at 12.4% and 1-0 at 9.2%.

With the top scoreline at 12.7%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Coruxo vs Zamora; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Zamora, full-time Zamora leads at 27%. A goal before the break is rated 66%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market for Coruxo vs Zamora

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 27% / 29% / 44% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

Coruxo to win27%3.54
Draw29%3.25
Zamora to win44%2.23
Coruxo, draw no bet38%fair 2.67
Zamora, draw no bet63%fair 1.60

Double chance

Coruxo or draw56%1.69
Zamora or draw73%1.32
Coruxo or Zamora (no draw)71%1.32

Goals

Over 0.5 goals91%fair 1.10
Over 1.5 goals70%fair 1.44
Over 2.5 goals43%2.31
Over 3.5 goals23%fair 4.44
Over 4.5 goals10%fair 10.20
Under 1.5 goals30%fair 3.29
Under 2.5 goals57%1.67
Under 3.5 goals78%fair 1.29

BTTS

Both teams to score50%2.01
Not both teams to score50%1.84

Halves

First-half goal66%fair 1.51
Over 1.5 first-half goals30%fair 3.37
Second-half goal74%fair 1.36

Team goals

Coruxo to score64%fair 1.56
Zamora to score75%fair 1.33
Coruxo clean sheet25%fair 4.02
Zamora clean sheet36%fair 2.80
Coruxo to win to nil23%fair 4.37
Zamora to win to nil33%fair 3.05

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals50%fair 1.98

Most likely scores

1-112.7%
0-112.4%
1-09.2%
0-08.9%
1-28.8%
0-28.6%

Half-time / full-time

Zamora / Zamora26.9%
Draw / Draw17.3%
Draw / Zamora16.1%
Coruxo / Coruxo15.6%
Draw / Coruxo10.8%

Questions about Coruxo vs Zamora

Coruxo or Zamora: which side does the model back?

The model gives Zamora the best chance at 44%, with the draw at 29%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.

What scoreline is most likely in Coruxo vs Zamora?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.7%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 43% backs the same picture with less variance.

Is BTTS likely in Coruxo vs Zamora?

The BTTS yes line is rated 50%. Coruxo find the net in 64% of simulated matches and Zamora in 75%.

What time does Coruxo vs Zamora kick off?

Kick-off is 18:00 UTC on Thursday, 29 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Coruxo v ZamoraZamora or draw, 73%
1.32Bet