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Live 34 UTC
Copa del Rey Round of 128 Tuesday, 27 October 2026 Pens
Atlético TordesillasHomeD
3:3Half-time 2:0Penalties 2:4
MirandesAwayDLWDW
202456
Atlético Tordesillas winDrawMirandes win
Kick-off
Tue 27 Oct
Expected goals
2.74
0.97 : 1.77
Favourite
56%
Mirandes
Over 2.5 goals
52%
model chance
Both teams to score
52%
model chance
Prices compared
6
in the odds table

Atlético Tordesillas vs Mirandes betting odds by bookmaker

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet4.853.821.661.831.911.801.90Bet
22Bet4.513.611.752.011.801.951.80Bet
BC.Game4.703.451.711.891.831.811.85Bet
Betwinner4.473.481.792.011.801.871.87Bet
Melbet4.473.481.792.011.801.871.87Bet
Stake4.103.501.771.841.831.791.85Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Mirandes to win partner prices

1xBet pay the best Atlético Tordesillas price at 4.85, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.82 and Melbet have Mirandes longest at 1.79.

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 97.4%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 2.01 (Melbet) and under 2.5 1.91 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.95 (22Bet) and no 1.90 (1xBet).

Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.

56%

Our prediction

Mirandes to win
StrongExpected goals 0.97 : 1.77+0.2% against the best price
Double chanceMirandes or draw
80% chance1.18
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
52% chance2.01
BTTSBoth teams to score
52% chance1.95
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
76% chance1.32fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-1
11% chance8.77fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Mirandes, full-time Mirandes
35% chance2.83fair

Atlético Tordesillas vs Mirandes odds movement

Atlético Tordesillas win4.85-0.15
Draw3.82-0.13
Mirandes win1.79unchanged
Over 2.5 goals2.01unchanged
Under 2.5 goals1.91-0.04

Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 12:14 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.

Atlético Tordesillas vs Mirandes prediction

Atlético Tordesillas vs Mirandes prediction, who wins and at what price

Atlético Tordesillas vs Mirandes prediction for the Copa del Rey on Tuesday, 27 October 2026: the model makes Mirandes a narrow favourite at 56%, with the draw at 24% and Atlético Tordesillas at 20%.

Atlético Tordesillas are expected to score 0.97 and Mirandes 1.77, so the total line is 2.74 goals; over 2.5 lands at 52% and BTTS at 52%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Mirandes to win is the main selection, rated 56%. Melbet offer the top price at 1.79. That price implies 56%, 0 points under the model figure.

For a safer line, mirandes or draw covers 80% of outcomes at 1.18.

Goals, BTTS and correct score for Atlético Tordesillas vs Mirandes

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 76%, over 2.5 at 52%, over 3.5 at 30%; under 2.5 is 48% and under 3.5 is 71%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 52%; Melbet pay 2.01.

BTTS yes stands at 52%. Atlético Tordesillas score in 62% of simulations against a 38% clean sheet for Mirandes; Mirandes score in 83% while Atlético Tordesillas shut them out 17% of the time.

The most likely scoreline is 0-1 at 11.4%, followed by 1-1 (11.1%) and 0-2 (10.1%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Mirandes, full-time Mirandes is the top combination at 35%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 71%.

Every market rated for Atlético Tordesillas vs Mirandes

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Atlético Tordesillas vs Mirandes, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

Atlético Tordesillas to win20%4.85
Draw24%3.82
Mirandes to win56%1.79
Atlético Tordesillas, draw no bet26%fair 3.79
Mirandes, draw no bet74%fair 1.36

Double chance

Atlético Tordesillas or draw44%2.14
Mirandes or draw80%1.18
Atlético Tordesillas or Mirandes (no draw)76%1.28

Goals

Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.07
Over 1.5 goals76%fair 1.32
Over 2.5 goals52%2.01
Over 3.5 goals30%fair 3.39
Over 4.5 goals14%fair 6.99
Under 1.5 goals24%fair 4.13
Under 2.5 goals48%1.91
Under 3.5 goals71%fair 1.42

BTTS

Both teams to score52%1.95
Not both teams to score48%1.90

Halves

First-half goal71%fair 1.41
Over 1.5 first-half goals35%fair 2.87
Second-half goal78%fair 1.29

Team goals

Atlético Tordesillas to score62%fair 1.61
Mirandes to score83%fair 1.20
Atlético Tordesillas clean sheet17%fair 5.88
Mirandes clean sheet38%fair 2.64
Atlético Tordesillas to win to nil16%fair 6.37
Mirandes to win to nil35%fair 2.87

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

0-111.4%
1-111.1%
0-210.1%
1-29.8%
0-06.5%
1-06.3%

Half-time / full-time

Mirandes / Mirandes35.3%
Draw / Mirandes18.1%
Draw / Draw14.2%
Atlético Tordesillas / Atlético Tordesillas11.3%
Draw / Atlético Tordesillas7.9%

Questions about Atlético Tordesillas vs Mirandes

Who is favourite in Atlético Tordesillas vs Mirandes?

The model gives Mirandes the best chance at 56%, with the draw at 24%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.

What scoreline is most likely in Atlético Tordesillas vs Mirandes?

0-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.4%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 52% backs the same picture with less variance.

Will both teams score in Atlético Tordesillas vs Mirandes?

The BTTS yes line is rated 52%. Atlético Tordesillas find the net in 62% of simulated matches and Mirandes in 83%.

When do Atlético Tordesillas play Mirandes?

Atlético Tordesillas vs Mirandes starts at 19:00 UTC on Tuesday, 27 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Atlético Tordesillas v MirandesMirandes to win, 56%
1.79Bet