Guijuelo vs Sporting Gijon prediction

Our Guijuelo vs Sporting Gijon prediction and pick

Sporting Gijon are the clear favourite in the Guijuelo vs Sporting Gijon prediction, rated 67% to win this Copa del Rey match on Thursday, 29 October 2026. Guijuelo sit at 13% and the draw at 20%.

Expected goals are 0.77 for Guijuelo and 2.01 for Sporting Gijon, a total of 2.78, which puts over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams to score at 47%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Sporting Gijon to win is the main selection, rated 67%. 22Bet offer the top price at 1.59. That price implies 63%, 4 points under the model figure.

A 6.2% edge on a flat stake is the margin here, so the selection qualifies as value and not only as the likely result.

Sporting Gijon or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 87% chance, priced 1.13.

With the draw down at 20%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.

How many goals in Guijuelo vs Sporting Gijon? Lines, BTTS and scorelines

Under 2.5 goals is rated 48% and under 3.5 70%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 77% and over 2.5 at 52%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 52%, best priced 1.89 at 22Bet.

BTTS yes stands at 47%. Guijuelo score in 54% of simulations against a 46% clean sheet for Sporting Gijon; Sporting Gijon score in 87% while Guijuelo shut them out 13% of the time.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Guijuelo vs Sporting Gijon: 0-2 (12.5%), 0-1 (12.5%) and 1-2 (9.6%).

With the top scoreline at 12.5%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Guijuelo vs Sporting Gijon; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Sporting Gijon, full-time Sporting Gijon is the top combination at 43%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 71%.