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Live 16 UTC
Copa del Rey Round of 128 Tuesday, 3 November 2026 Kick-off
AnaitasunaHomeWW
Tue 3 Nov
AlavesAwayDLLDL
1396
Anaitasuna winDrawAlaves win
Kick-off
Tue 3 Nov
Expected goals
4.56
0.35 : 4.21
Favourite
97%
Alaves
Over 2.5 goals
84%
model chance
Both teams to score
27%
model chance
Prices compared
3
in the odds table

Anaitasuna vs Alaves betting odds by bookmaker

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet30.0017.00-1.144.353.341.28Bet
Betwinner17.0010.001.08--2.581.42Bet
Melbet17.0010.001.08--2.581.42Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Alaves to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the Anaitasuna vs Alaves prediction: Anaitasuna 30.00 (1xBet), draw 17.00 (1xBet), Alaves 1.08 (Melbet).

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 98.2%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.14 (1xBet) and under 2.5 4.35 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 3.34 (1xBet) and no 1.42 (Melbet).

Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.

97%

Our prediction

Alaves to win
BankerExpected goals 0.35 : 4.21+4.7% against the best price
Double chanceAlaves or draw
100% chance-
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
84% chance1.14
BTTSNot both teams to score
73% chance1.42
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
93% chance1.07fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-4
14% chance7.30fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Alaves, full-time Alaves
79% chance1.27fair

Anaitasuna vs Alaves prediction

Anaitasuna vs Alaves prediction, who wins and at what price

The Anaitasuna vs Alaves prediction leans to Alaves: 97% against 1% for Anaitasuna, with 3% left for the draw, in the Copa del Rey on Tuesday, 3 November 2026.

Anaitasuna are expected to score 0.35 and Alaves 4.21, so the total line is 4.56 goals; over 2.5 lands at 84% and BTTS at 27%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Alaves to win is the main selection, rated 97%. Melbet offer the top price at 1.08. That price implies 93%, 4 points under the model figure.

That gap is worth 4.7% on a flat stake, which makes the pick a value bet as well as a probable outcome.

Alaves or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 100% chance, priced -.

The draw sits at only 3%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.

Anaitasuna vs Alaves over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score

On the goal lines Anaitasuna vs Alaves reads 93% for over 1.5, 84% for over 2.5 and 66% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 16%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 84%; 1xBet pay 1.14.

Both teams to score is 27%: Anaitasuna find the net in 30% of simulated matches and Alaves in 99%. Anaitasuna keep a clean sheet 2% of the time and Alaves 71%.

Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 73%.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Anaitasuna vs Alaves: 0-4 (13.7%), 0-3 (13%) and 0-5 (11.5%).

Even the leading scoreline holds only 13.7% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Alaves, full-time Alaves is the top combination at 79%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 87%.

All markets, Anaitasuna vs Alaves

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Anaitasuna vs Alaves, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

Anaitasuna to win1%30.00
Draw3%17.00
Alaves to win97%1.08
Anaitasuna, draw no bet1%fair 166.67
Alaves, draw no bet99%fair 1.01

Double chance

Anaitasuna or draw3%10.85
Alaves or draw100%-
Anaitasuna or Alaves (no draw)98%1.02

Goals

Over 0.5 goals98%fair 1.02
Over 1.5 goals93%fair 1.07
Over 2.5 goals84%1.14
Over 3.5 goals66%fair 1.52
Over 4.5 goals47%fair 2.14
Under 1.5 goals7%fair 14.49
Under 2.5 goals16%4.35
Under 3.5 goals34%fair 2.91

BTTS

Both teams to score27%3.34
Not both teams to score73%1.42

Halves

First-half goal87%fair 1.15
Over 1.5 first-half goals61%fair 1.64
Second-half goal92%fair 1.09

Team goals

Anaitasuna to score30%fair 3.39
Alaves to score99%fair 1.02
Anaitasuna clean sheet2%fair 66.67
Alaves clean sheet71%fair 1.42
Anaitasuna to win to nil1%fair 166.67
Alaves to win to nil65%fair 1.54

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals50%fair 1.98

Most likely scores

0-413.7%
0-313%
0-511.5%
0-29.3%
1-44.8%
1-34.6%

Half-time / full-time

Alaves / Alaves78.7%
Draw / Alaves14.4%
Draw / Draw2.1%
Anaitasuna / Alaves1.5%
Anaitasuna / Draw0.6%

Questions about Anaitasuna vs Alaves

Who will win Anaitasuna vs Alaves?

The model gives Alaves the best chance at 97%, with the draw at 3%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.

What scoreline is most likely in Anaitasuna vs Alaves?

0-4 is the most likely scoreline at 13.7%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 84% backs the same picture with less variance.

Is BTTS likely in Anaitasuna vs Alaves?

The BTTS yes line is rated 27%. Anaitasuna find the net in 30% of simulated matches and Alaves in 99%.

When is Anaitasuna vs Alaves and where is the result shown?

Anaitasuna vs Alaves starts at 18:00 UTC on Tuesday, 3 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Anaitasuna v AlavesAlaves to win, 97%
1.08Bet