RSD Alcalá vs Las Palmas prediction

RSD Alcalá vs Las Palmas prediction and best bet

RSD Alcalá host Las Palmas on Tuesday, 27 October 2026 in the Copa del Rey, and the model has Las Palmas at 62%, the draw at 20% and RSD Alcalá at 18%: that is the RSD Alcalá vs Las Palmas prediction in one line.

RSD Alcalá are expected to score 0.93 and Las Palmas 1.95, so the total line is 2.88 goals; over 2.5 lands at 55% and BTTS at 52%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Las Palmas to win is the main selection, rated 62%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.53. That price implies 65%, 4 points over the model figure.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

Las Palmas or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 82% chance, priced 1.12.

With the draw down at 20%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.

How many goals in RSD Alcalá vs Las Palmas? Lines, BTTS and scorelines

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 78%, over 2.5 at 55%, over 3.5 at 33%; under 2.5 is 45% and under 3.5 is 67%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 55%, best priced 1.74 at 1xBet.

The chance of both teams scoring is 52%, built from RSD Alcalá scoring in 61% of runs and Las Palmas in 86%; clean sheets come at 14% for RSD Alcalá and 40% for Las Palmas.

The most likely scoreline is 0-1 at 10.9%, followed by 0-2 (10.7%) and 1-1 (10.2%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Las Palmas, full-time Las Palmas leads at 39%. A goal before the break is rated 73%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.