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Live 23 UTC
Copa del Rey Round of 128 Thursday, 29 October 2026 AET
SS ReyesHomeL
1:2Half-time 0:1
CD CoriaAwayLWDWL
412831
SS Reyes winDrawCD Coria win
Kick-off
Thu 29 Oct
Expected goals
2.57
1.38 : 1.19
Favourite
41%
SS Reyes
Over 2.5 goals
47%
model chance
Both teams to score
53%
model chance
Prices compared
6
in the odds table

SS Reyes vs CD Coria odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet2.353.342.892.011.751.771.94Bet
22Bet2.443.232.862.111.731.801.95Bet
BC.Game2.343.202.882.001.741.741.93Bet
Betwinner2.443.232.862.111.731.801.95Bet
Melbet2.443.232.862.111.731.801.95Bet
Stake2.353.202.851.951.731.761.88Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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SS Reyes to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the SS Reyes vs CD Coria prediction: SS Reyes 2.44 (22Bet), draw 3.34 (1xBet), CD Coria 2.89 (1xBet).

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 94.7%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

For the goals, over 2.5 pays 2.11 (22Bet) and under 2.5 1.75 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.80 (22Bet) and no 1.95 (22Bet).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

72%

Our prediction

SS Reyes or CD Coria (no draw)
LeanExpected goals 1.38 : 1.19-5% against the best price
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
53% chance1.75
BTTSBoth teams to score
53% chance1.80
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
73% chance1.38fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance7.94fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time SS Reyes, full-time SS Reyes
24% chance4.10fair
First halfFirst-half goal
69% chance1.46fair

SS Reyes vs CD Coria odds movement

SS Reyes win2.44unchanged
Draw3.34-0.06
CD Coria win2.89-0.21
Over 2.5 goals2.11unchanged
Under 2.5 goals1.75-0.05

Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 12:14 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.

SS Reyes vs CD Coria prediction

SS Reyes vs CD Coria prediction and best bet

The SS Reyes vs CD Coria prediction leans to SS Reyes: 41% against 31% for CD Coria, with 28% left for the draw, in the Copa del Rey on Thursday, 29 October 2026.

Expected goals are 1.38 for SS Reyes and 1.19 for CD Coria, a total of 2.57, which puts over 2.5 goals at 47% and both teams to score at 53%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Our main pick is sS Reyes or CD Coria (no draw) at 72%. The best price in our comparison is 1.32 at 22Bet, which implies 76%, so the model sits 4 points below the market.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on SS Reyes vs CD Coria.

SS Reyes vs CD Coria goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast

Under 2.5 goals is rated 53% and under 3.5 74%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 73% and over 2.5 at 47%.

The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 53%, best priced 1.75 at 1xBet.

Both teams to score is 53%: SS Reyes find the net in 75% of simulated matches and CD Coria in 70%. SS Reyes keep a clean sheet 30% of the time and CD Coria 25%.

Correct score: 1-1 leads at 12.6%, then 1-0 at 10.6% and 0-1 at 9.1%.

Even the leading scoreline holds only 12.6% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

Half-time / full-time: half-time SS Reyes, full-time SS Reyes is the top combination at 24%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 69%.

All markets, SS Reyes vs CD Coria

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for SS Reyes vs CD Coria, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

SS Reyes to win41%2.44
Draw28%3.34
CD Coria to win31%2.89
SS Reyes, draw no bet56%fair 1.77
CD Coria, draw no bet44%fair 2.29

Double chance

SS Reyes or draw69%1.39
CD Coria or draw60%1.55
SS Reyes or CD Coria (no draw)72%1.32

Goals

Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.08
Over 1.5 goals73%fair 1.38
Over 2.5 goals47%2.11
Over 3.5 goals26%fair 3.89
Over 4.5 goals12%fair 8.47
Under 1.5 goals27%fair 3.66
Under 2.5 goals53%1.75
Under 3.5 goals74%fair 1.35

BTTS

Both teams to score53%1.80
Not both teams to score47%1.95

Halves

First-half goal69%fair 1.46
Over 1.5 first-half goals32%fair 3.11
Second-half goal76%fair 1.32

Team goals

SS Reyes to score75%fair 1.34
CD Coria to score70%fair 1.44
SS Reyes clean sheet30%fair 3.29
CD Coria clean sheet25%fair 3.97
SS Reyes to win to nil28%fair 3.57
CD Coria to win to nil23%fair 4.33

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

1-112.6%
1-010.6%
0-19.1%
2-18.7%
0-07.7%
1-27.5%

Half-time / full-time

SS Reyes / SS Reyes24.4%
CD Coria / CD Coria18.5%
Draw / Draw16.3%
Draw / SS Reyes14.6%
Draw / CD Coria11.9%

Questions about SS Reyes vs CD Coria

Who will win SS Reyes vs CD Coria?

The model gives SS Reyes the best chance at 41%, with the draw at 28%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.

What scoreline is most likely in SS Reyes vs CD Coria?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.6%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 47% backs the same picture with less variance.

Is BTTS likely in SS Reyes vs CD Coria?

The BTTS yes line is rated 53%. SS Reyes find the net in 75% of simulated matches and CD Coria in 70%.

What time does SS Reyes vs CD Coria kick off?

SS Reyes vs CD Coria starts at 18:00 UTC on Thursday, 29 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, SS Reyes v CD CoriaSS Reyes or CD Coria (no draw), 72%
1.32Bet