PortugaleteHome
PortugaleteHome- Kick-off Wed 4 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.52 1.17 : 1.35
- Favourite
- 40% Real Unión
- Over 2.5 goals
- 46% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 53% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
Portugalete vs Real Unión betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.05 | 3.24 | 2.31 | 2.01 | 1.75 | 1.76 | 1.96 | Bet | |
| 3.06 | 3.20 | 2.32 | 2.08 | 1.70 | 1.81 | 1.90 | Bet | |
| 3.06 | 3.20 | 2.32 | 2.08 | 1.70 | 1.81 | 1.90 | Bet | |
| 3.12 | 3.10 | 2.32 | 2.07 | 1.67 | 1.85 | 1.87 | Bet | |
| 2.95 | 3.15 | 2.28 | 1.99 | 1.71 | - | - | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Best 1X2 lines behind the Portugalete vs Real Unión prediction: Portugalete 3.12 (Melbet), draw 3.24 (1xBet), Real Unión 2.32 (Melbet).
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 94.3%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 2.08 (22Bet) and under 2.5 1.75 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.85 (Melbet) and no 1.96 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
Our prediction
Portugalete vs Real Unión prediction
Our Portugalete vs Real Unión prediction and pick
Real Unión are marginally ahead in the Portugalete vs Real Unión prediction, rated 40% to win this Copa del Rey match on Wednesday, 4 November 2026. Portugalete sit at 31% and the draw at 30%.
Expected goals are 1.17 for Portugalete and 1.35 for Real Unión, a total of 2.52, which puts over 2.5 goals at 46% and both teams to score at 53%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
Portugalete or Real Unión (no draw) is the main selection, rated 70%. At 1.33 with Melbet the market prices it at 75%, against 70% from the model.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
How many goals in Portugalete vs Real Unión? Lines, BTTS and scorelines
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 72%, over 2.5 at 46%, over 3.5 at 25%; under 2.5 is 55% and under 3.5 is 75%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 55%, best priced 1.75 at 1xBet.
Both teams to score is 53%: Portugalete find the net in 69% of simulated matches and Real Unión in 74%. Portugalete keep a clean sheet 26% of the time and Real Unión 31%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Portugalete vs Real Unión: 1-1 (12.7%), 0-1 (10.9%) and 1-0 (9.4%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Real Unión, full-time Real Unión is the top combination at 24%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 68%.
All markets, Portugalete vs Real Unión
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 31% / 30% / 40% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Double chance
Goals
BTTS
Halves
Team goals
Odd or even
Most likely scores
Half-time / full-time
Questions about Portugalete vs Real Unión
Portugalete or Real Unión: which side does the model back?
The model gives Real Unión the best chance at 40%, with the draw at 30%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
Portugalete vs Real Unión correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.7%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 46%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Portugalete vs Real Unión both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 53%. Portugalete find the net in 69% of simulated matches and Real Unión in 74%.
What time does Portugalete vs Real Unión kick off?
Kick-off is 18:00 UTC on Wednesday, 4 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.