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Live 17 UTC
Copa del Rey Round of 128 Wednesday, 4 November 2026 Kick-off
PortugaleteHome
Wed 4 Nov
Real UniónAwayDDDWL
313039
Portugalete winDrawReal Unión win
Kick-off
Wed 4 Nov
Expected goals
2.52
1.17 : 1.35
Favourite
40%
Real Unión
Over 2.5 goals
46%
model chance
Both teams to score
53%
model chance
Prices compared
5
in the odds table

Portugalete vs Real Unión betting odds by bookmaker

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet3.053.242.312.011.751.761.96Bet
22Bet3.063.202.322.081.701.811.90Bet
Betwinner3.063.202.322.081.701.811.90Bet
Melbet3.123.102.322.071.671.851.87Bet
Stake2.953.152.281.991.71--Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Real Unión to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the Portugalete vs Real Unión prediction: Portugalete 3.12 (Melbet), draw 3.24 (1xBet), Real Unión 2.32 (Melbet).

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 94.3%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 2.08 (22Bet) and under 2.5 1.75 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.85 (Melbet) and no 1.96 (1xBet).

Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.

70%

Our prediction

Portugalete or Real Unión (no draw)
LeanExpected goals 1.17 : 1.35-6.4% against the best price
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
55% chance1.75
BTTSBoth teams to score
53% chance1.85
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
72% chance1.39fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance7.87fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Real Unión, full-time Real Unión
24% chance4.15fair
First halfFirst-half goal
68% chance1.47fair

Portugalete vs Real Unión prediction

Our Portugalete vs Real Unión prediction and pick

Real Unión are marginally ahead in the Portugalete vs Real Unión prediction, rated 40% to win this Copa del Rey match on Wednesday, 4 November 2026. Portugalete sit at 31% and the draw at 30%.

Expected goals are 1.17 for Portugalete and 1.35 for Real Unión, a total of 2.52, which puts over 2.5 goals at 46% and both teams to score at 53%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Portugalete or Real Unión (no draw) is the main selection, rated 70%. At 1.33 with Melbet the market prices it at 75%, against 70% from the model.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

How many goals in Portugalete vs Real Unión? Lines, BTTS and scorelines

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 72%, over 2.5 at 46%, over 3.5 at 25%; under 2.5 is 55% and under 3.5 is 75%.

The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 55%, best priced 1.75 at 1xBet.

Both teams to score is 53%: Portugalete find the net in 69% of simulated matches and Real Unión in 74%. Portugalete keep a clean sheet 26% of the time and Real Unión 31%.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Portugalete vs Real Unión: 1-1 (12.7%), 0-1 (10.9%) and 1-0 (9.4%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Real Unión, full-time Real Unión is the top combination at 24%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 68%.

All markets, Portugalete vs Real Unión

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 31% / 30% / 40% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

Portugalete to win31%3.12
Draw30%3.24
Real Unión to win40%2.32
Portugalete, draw no bet44%fair 2.28
Real Unión, draw no bet56%fair 1.78

Double chance

Portugalete or draw61%1.57
Real Unión or draw69%1.35
Portugalete or Real Unión (no draw)70%1.33

Goals

Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.09
Over 1.5 goals72%fair 1.39
Over 2.5 goals46%2.08
Over 3.5 goals25%fair 4.05
Over 4.5 goals11%fair 8.93
Under 1.5 goals28%fair 3.53
Under 2.5 goals55%1.75
Under 3.5 goals75%fair 1.33

BTTS

Both teams to score53%1.85
Not both teams to score47%1.96

Halves

First-half goal68%fair 1.47
Over 1.5 first-half goals31%fair 3.19
Second-half goal75%fair 1.33

Team goals

Portugalete to score69%fair 1.45
Real Unión to score74%fair 1.35
Portugalete clean sheet26%fair 3.86
Real Unión clean sheet31%fair 3.23
Portugalete to win to nil24%fair 4.18
Real Unión to win to nil29%fair 3.50

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

1-112.7%
0-110.9%
1-09.4%
1-28.6%
0-08%
2-17.4%

Half-time / full-time

Real Unión / Real Unión24.1%
Portugalete / Portugalete18.5%
Draw / Draw16.7%
Draw / Real Unión14.6%
Draw / Portugalete12%

Questions about Portugalete vs Real Unión

Portugalete or Real Unión: which side does the model back?

The model gives Real Unión the best chance at 40%, with the draw at 30%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.

Portugalete vs Real Unión correct score: what does the model say?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.7%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 46%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Portugalete vs Real Unión both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 53%. Portugalete find the net in 69% of simulated matches and Real Unión in 74%.

What time does Portugalete vs Real Unión kick off?

Kick-off is 18:00 UTC on Wednesday, 4 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Portugalete v Real UniónPortugalete or Real Unión (no draw), 70%
1.33Bet