Cuarte vs Girona prediction

Cuarte vs Girona prediction and best bet

Cuarte host Girona on Tuesday, 27 October 2026 in the Copa del Rey, and the model has Girona at 84%, the draw at 11% and Cuarte at 6%: that is the Cuarte vs Girona prediction in one line.

Cuarte are expected to score 0.56 and Girona 2.80, so the total line is 3.36 goals; over 2.5 lands at 64% and BTTS at 41%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Our main pick is girona to win at 84%. At 1.20 with BC.Game the market prices it at 83%, against 84% from the model.

For a safer line, girona or draw covers 94% of outcomes at 1.01.

With the draw down at 11%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.

Cuarte vs Girona over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score

Under 2.5 goals is rated 36% and under 3.5 57%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 85% and over 2.5 at 64%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 64%, best priced 1.50 at BC.Game.

Both teams to score is 41%: Cuarte find the net in 43% of simulated matches and Girona in 94%. Cuarte keep a clean sheet 6% of the time and Girona 57%.

Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 59%.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Cuarte vs Girona: 0-2 (13.6%), 0-3 (12.7%) and 0-1 (9.7%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Girona, full-time Girona is the top combination at 61%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 78%.