Copa del Rey
AurienseHomeWLL
0:3Half-time 0:1
Deportivo La CorunaAwayDLDLW1297
Auriense winDrawDeportivo La Coruna win
AurienseHomeWLLDeportivo La CorunaAwayDLDLW- Kick-off Thu 29 Oct
- Expected goals
- 5.82 0.69 : 5.13
- Favourite
- 97% Deportivo La Coruna
- Over 2.5 goals
- 96% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 38% model chance
- Prices compared
- 6 in the odds table
Best odds for Auriense vs Deportivo La Coruna
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 28.00 | 17.00 | 1.02 | 1.01 | 10.50 | 2.64 | 1.42 | Bet |
 22Bet | 46.00 | 26.00 | 1.01 | 1.02 | 14.00 | 2.58 | 1.33 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 43.00 | 22.70 | 1.01 | 1.03 | 9.40 | 2.50 | 1.45 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 48.00 | 25.00 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | Bet |
 Melbet | 48.00 | 25.00 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | Bet |
 Stake | 35.00 | 15.00 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Deportivo La Coruna to win partner prices
Betwinner pay the best Auriense price at 48.00, 22Bet lead the draw at 26.00 and 1xBet have Deportivo La Coruna longest at 1.02.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 96.2%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.03 (BC.Game) and under 2.5 14.00 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 2.64 (1xBet) and no 1.45 (BC.Game).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
97%
Our prediction
Deportivo La Coruna to win
Double chanceDeportivo La Coruna or draw
99% chance-
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
96% chance1.03
BTTSNot both teams to score
62% chance1.45
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
94% chance1.06fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-5
9% chance11.36fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Deportivo La Coruna, full-time Deportivo La Coruna
79% chance1.27fair
Auriense vs Deportivo La Coruna odds movement
Auriense win48.00-22.00
Draw26.00unchanged
Deportivo La Coruna win1.02unchanged
Over 2.5 goals1.03unchanged
Under 2.5 goals14.00-1.00
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 12:14 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
Auriense vs Deportivo La Coruna prediction
Our Auriense vs Deportivo La Coruna prediction and pick
Auriense host Deportivo La Coruna on Thursday, 29 October 2026 in the Copa del Rey, and the model has Deportivo La Coruna at 97%, the draw at 2% and Auriense at 1%: that is the Auriense vs Deportivo La Coruna prediction in one line.
The goal expectancy is 5.82 in total, split 0.69 to Auriense and 5.13 to Deportivo La Coruna. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 96% and both teams to score 38%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Our main pick is deportivo La Coruna to win at 97%. The best price in our comparison is 1.02 at 1xBet, which implies 98%, so the model sits 1 points below the market.
For a safer line, deportivo La Coruna or draw covers 99% of outcomes at -.
With the draw down at 2%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.
Form check: Auriense have won 1 of their last 3 with 2 scored and 4 conceded, Deportivo La Coruna 1 of 5 scoring 7 and conceding 6.
Goals forecast for Auriense vs Deportivo La Coruna with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 94%, over 2.5 at 96%, over 3.5 at 80%; under 2.5 is 4% and under 3.5 is 21%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 96%, best priced 1.03 at BC.Game.
BTTS yes stands at 38%. Auriense score in 50% of simulations against a 50% clean sheet for Deportivo La Coruna; Deportivo La Coruna score in 99% while Auriense shut them out 1% of the time.
Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 62%.
The most likely scoreline is 0-5 at 8.8%, followed by 0-4 (8.6%) and 0-3 (6.7%).
With the top scoreline at 8.8%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Auriense vs Deportivo La Coruna; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Deportivo La Coruna, full-time Deportivo La Coruna is the top combination at 79%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 93%.
Every market rated for Auriense vs Deportivo La Coruna
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Auriense vs Deportivo La Coruna, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Auriense to win1%48.00
Draw2%26.00
Deportivo La Coruna to win97%1.02
Auriense, draw no bet1%fair 142.86
Deportivo La Coruna, draw no bet99%fair 1.01
Double chance
Auriense or draw3%16.61
Deportivo La Coruna or draw99%-
Auriense or Deportivo La Coruna (no draw)98%-
Goals
Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals94%fair 1.06
Over 2.5 goals96%1.03
Over 3.5 goals80%fair 1.26
Over 4.5 goals65%fair 1.53
Under 1.5 goals6%fair 17.54
Under 2.5 goals4%14.00
Under 3.5 goals21%fair 4.88
BTTS
Both teams to score38%2.64
Not both teams to score62%1.45
Halves
First-half goal93%fair 1.08
Over 1.5 first-half goals74%fair 1.36
Second-half goal96%fair 1.04
Team goals
Auriense to score50%fair 2.01
Deportivo La Coruna to score99%fair 1.01
Auriense clean sheet1%fair 166.67
Deportivo La Coruna clean sheet50%fair 1.99
Auriense to win to nil1%fair 200.00
Deportivo La Coruna to win to nil46%fair 2.17
Odd or even
Odd number of goals48%fair 2.07
Even number of goals52%fair 1.93
Most likely scores
0-58.8%
0-48.6%
0-36.7%
1-56.1%
1-45.9%
1-34.6%
Half-time / full-time
Deportivo La Coruna / Deportivo La Coruna79%
Draw / Deportivo La Coruna11.5%
Auriense / Deportivo La Coruna2.3%
Draw / Draw1.3%
Deportivo La Coruna / Draw0.7%
Questions about Auriense vs Deportivo La Coruna
Who is favourite in Auriense vs Deportivo La Coruna?
The model gives Deportivo La Coruna the best chance at 97%, with the draw at 2%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
What scoreline is most likely in Auriense vs Deportivo La Coruna?
0-5 is the most likely scoreline at 8.8%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 96%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Will both teams score in Auriense vs Deportivo La Coruna?
The BTTS yes line is rated 38%. Auriense find the net in 50% of simulated matches and Deportivo La Coruna in 99%.
When do Auriense play Deportivo La Coruna?
Kick-off is 20:00 UTC on Thursday, 29 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.