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Live 18 UTC
Copa del Rey Round of 128 Thursday, 29 October 2026 FT
PratHomeWWL
1:6Half-time 1:3
Athletic ClubAwayDLWWW
1396
Prat winDrawAthletic Club win
Kick-off
Thu 29 Oct
Expected goals
4.74
0.50 : 4.24
Favourite
96%
Athletic Club
Over 2.5 goals
87%
model chance
Both teams to score
36%
model chance
Prices compared
6
in the odds table

Prat vs Athletic Club odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet41.0016.001.011.105.002.611.43Bet
22Bet41.0017.001.031.116.682.281.56Bet
BC.Game30.0013.001.031.115.802.241.55Bet
Betwinner41.0017.001.03----Bet
Melbet41.0017.001.03----Bet
Stake35.0012.001.02----Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Athletic Club to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the Prat vs Athletic Club prediction: Prat 41.00 (22Bet), draw 17.00 (22Bet), Athletic Club 1.03 (22Bet).

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 94.9%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.11 (BC.Game) and under 2.5 6.68 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 2.61 (1xBet) and no 1.56 (22Bet).

Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.

96%

Our prediction

Athletic Club to win
BankerExpected goals 0.50 : 4.24-1.2% against the best price
Double chanceAthletic Club or draw
99% chance-
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
87% chance1.11
BTTSNot both teams to score
64% chance1.56
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
94% chance1.07fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-4
12% chance8.47fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Athletic Club, full-time Athletic Club
77% chance1.30fair

Prat vs Athletic Club odds movement

Prat win41.00-29.00
Draw17.00-12.00
Athletic Club win1.03unchanged
Over 2.5 goals1.11-0.01
Under 2.5 goals6.68-0.32

Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 12:14 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.

Prat vs Athletic Club prediction

Prat vs Athletic Club prediction and best bet

Prat vs Athletic Club prediction for the Copa del Rey on Thursday, 29 October 2026: the model makes Athletic Club a strong favourite at 96%, with the draw at 3% and Prat at 1%.

Prat are expected to score 0.50 and Athletic Club 4.24, so the total line is 4.74 goals; over 2.5 lands at 87% and BTTS at 36%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Athletic Club to win is the main selection, rated 96%. The best price in our comparison is 1.03 at 22Bet, which implies 97%, so the model sits 1 points below the market.

For a safer line, athletic Club or draw covers 99% of outcomes at -.

With the draw down at 3%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.

Form check: Prat have won 2 of their last 3 with 11 scored and 7 conceded, Athletic Club 3 of 5 scoring 13 and conceding 5.

Goals forecast for Prat vs Athletic Club with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 94%, over 2.5 at 87%, over 3.5 at 69%; under 2.5 is 13% and under 3.5 is 32%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 87%, best priced 1.11 at BC.Game.

Both teams to score is 36%: Prat find the net in 39% of simulated matches and Athletic Club in 99%. Prat keep a clean sheet 1% of the time and Athletic Club 61%.

Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 64%.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Prat vs Athletic Club: 0-4 (11.8%), 0-3 (11.1%) and 0-5 (10%).

With the top scoreline at 11.8%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Prat vs Athletic Club; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Athletic Club, full-time Athletic Club is the top combination at 77%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 88%.

Every market rated for Prat vs Athletic Club

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Prat vs Athletic Club, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

Prat to win1%41.00
Draw3%17.00
Athletic Club to win96%1.03
Prat, draw no bet1%fair 90.91
Athletic Club, draw no bet99%fair 1.01

Double chance

Prat or draw4%12.02
Athletic Club or draw99%-
Prat or Athletic Club (no draw)97%-

Goals

Over 0.5 goals98%fair 1.02
Over 1.5 goals94%fair 1.07
Over 2.5 goals87%1.11
Over 3.5 goals69%fair 1.46
Over 4.5 goals50%fair 2.00
Under 1.5 goals6%fair 16.13
Under 2.5 goals13%6.68
Under 3.5 goals32%fair 3.17

BTTS

Both teams to score36%2.61
Not both teams to score64%1.56

Halves

First-half goal88%fair 1.13
Over 1.5 first-half goals63%fair 1.59
Second-half goal93%fair 1.08

Team goals

Prat to score39%fair 2.54
Athletic Club to score99%fair 1.01
Prat clean sheet1%fair 71.43
Athletic Club clean sheet61%fair 1.65
Prat to win to nil1%fair 100.00
Athletic Club to win to nil56%fair 1.79

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals51%fair 1.98

Most likely scores

0-411.8%
0-311.1%
0-510%
0-27.9%
1-45.9%
1-35.6%

Half-time / full-time

Athletic Club / Athletic Club76.7%
Draw / Athletic Club14.5%
Draw / Draw2.3%
Prat / Athletic Club2.1%
Athletic Club / Draw0.9%

Questions about Prat vs Athletic Club

Who will win Prat vs Athletic Club?

The model gives Athletic Club the best chance at 96%, with the draw at 3%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.

Prat vs Athletic Club correct score: what does the model say?

0-4 is the most likely scoreline at 11.8%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 87% backs the same picture with less variance.

Is BTTS likely in Prat vs Athletic Club?

The BTTS yes line is rated 36%. Prat find the net in 39% of simulated matches and Athletic Club in 99%.

When do Prat play Athletic Club?

Kick-off is 20:00 UTC on Thursday, 29 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Prat v Athletic ClubAthletic Club to win, 96%
1.03Bet