Copa del Rey
PinatarHomeWWL
1:3Half-time 1:1
ElcheAwayDDWWL1396
Pinatar winDrawElche win
PinatarHomeWWLElcheAwayDDWWL- Kick-off Tue 27 Oct
- Expected goals
- 4.44 0.31 : 4.13
- Favourite
- 96% Elche
- Over 2.5 goals
- 81% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 25% model chance
- Prices compared
- 6 in the odds table
Pinatar vs Elche betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 24.00 | 15.00 | 1.03 | 1.21 | 3.58 | 3.74 | 1.23 | Bet |
 22Bet | 39.00 | 19.00 | 1.03 | - | - | 3.74 | 1.25 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 30.00 | 15.00 | 1.02 | 1.19 | 4.30 | 3.45 | 1.25 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 39.00 | 19.00 | 1.03 | - | - | 3.74 | 1.25 | Bet |
 Melbet | 39.00 | 19.00 | 1.03 | - | - | 3.74 | 1.25 | Bet |
 Stake | 29.00 | 14.00 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Elche to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Pinatar vs Elche are 39.00 for Pinatar at Melbet, 19.00 for the draw at Melbet and 1.03 for Elche at 1xBet.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 95.3%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.21 (1xBet) and under 2.5 4.30 (BC.Game); both teams to score yes pays 3.74 (22Bet) and no 1.25 (BC.Game).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
96%
Our prediction
Elche to win
Double chanceElche or draw
99% chance-
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
81% chance1.21
BTTSNot both teams to score
76% chance1.25
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
93% chance1.08fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-4
14% chance6.99fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Elche, full-time Elche
79% chance1.27fair
Pinatar vs Elche odds movement
Pinatar win39.00-37.00
Draw19.00-2.00
Elche win1.03unchanged
Over 2.5 goals1.21-0.01
Under 2.5 goals4.30-0.03
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 12:14 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
Pinatar vs Elche prediction
Pinatar vs Elche prediction and best bet
The Pinatar vs Elche prediction leans to Elche: 96% against 1% for Pinatar, with 3% left for the draw, in the Copa del Rey on Tuesday, 27 October 2026.
The goal expectancy is 4.44 in total, split 0.31 to Pinatar and 4.13 to Elche. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 81% and both teams to score 25%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
Our main pick is elche to win at 96%. The best price in our comparison is 1.03 at 1xBet, which implies 97%, so the model sits 1 points below the market.
For a safer line, elche or draw covers 99% of outcomes at -.
With the draw down at 3%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.
Over the last 3 matches Pinatar stand at 2 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats; Elche show 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats in 5.
Goals forecast for Pinatar vs Elche with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 93%, over 2.5 at 81%, over 3.5 at 64%; under 2.5 is 20% and under 3.5 is 36%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 81%, best priced 1.21 at 1xBet.
The chance of both teams scoring is 25%, built from Pinatar scoring in 27% of runs and Elche in 98%; clean sheets come at 2% for Pinatar and 73% for Elche.
Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 76%.
The most likely scoreline is 0-4 at 14.3%, followed by 0-3 (13.8%) and 0-5 (11.8%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 14.3% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Elche, full-time Elche is the top combination at 79%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 86%.
All markets, Pinatar vs Elche
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Pinatar vs Elche, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Pinatar to win1%39.00
Draw3%19.00
Elche to win96%1.03
Pinatar, draw no bet1%fair 100.00
Elche, draw no bet99%fair 1.01
Double chance
Pinatar or draw4%12.78
Elche or draw99%-
Pinatar or Elche (no draw)97%-
Goals
Over 0.5 goals98%fair 1.02
Over 1.5 goals93%fair 1.08
Over 2.5 goals81%1.21
Over 3.5 goals64%fair 1.57
Over 4.5 goals45%fair 2.24
Under 1.5 goals7%fair 13.51
Under 2.5 goals20%4.30
Under 3.5 goals36%fair 2.75
BTTS
Both teams to score25%3.74
Not both teams to score76%1.25
Halves
First-half goal86%fair 1.16
Over 1.5 first-half goals59%fair 1.69
Second-half goal91%fair 1.10
Team goals
Pinatar to score27%fair 3.75
Elche to score98%fair 1.02
Pinatar clean sheet2%fair 62.50
Elche clean sheet73%fair 1.36
Pinatar to win to nil1%fair 111.11
Elche to win to nil68%fair 1.48
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals50%fair 1.98
Most likely scores
0-414.3%
0-313.8%
0-511.8%
0-210.1%
0-14.9%
1-44.4%
Half-time / full-time
Elche / Elche78.8%
Draw / Elche14.7%
Draw / Draw2.1%
Pinatar / Elche1.4%
Elche / Draw0.5%
Questions about Pinatar vs Elche
Who is favourite in Pinatar vs Elche?
The model gives Elche the best chance at 96%, with the draw at 3%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
What is the correct score prediction for Pinatar vs Elche?
0-4 is the most likely scoreline at 14.3%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 81% backs the same picture with less variance.
Is BTTS likely in Pinatar vs Elche?
The BTTS yes line is rated 25%. Pinatar find the net in 27% of simulated matches and Elche in 98%.
What time does Pinatar vs Elche kick off?
Kick-off is 18:00 UTC on Tuesday, 27 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.