Conquense vs Castellón prediction

Conquense vs Castellón prediction, who wins and at what price

Conquense vs Castellón prediction for the Copa del Rey on Thursday, 29 October 2026: the model makes Castellón a narrow favourite at 55%, with the draw at 25% and Conquense at 19%.

The goal expectancy is 2.54 in total, split 0.89 to Conquense and 1.65 to Castellón. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 46% and both teams to score 49%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Our main pick is castellón to win at 55%. The best price in our comparison is 1.76 at Stake, which implies 57%, so the model sits 2 points below the market.

Castellón or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 81% chance, priced 1.17.

Conquense vs Castellón goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 72%, over 2.5 at 46%, over 3.5 at 25%; under 2.5 is 54% and under 3.5 is 75%.

Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 54%; Betwinner pay 1.83.

Both teams to score is 49%: Conquense find the net in 59% of simulated matches and Castellón in 81%. Conquense keep a clean sheet 19% of the time and Castellón 41%.

The most likely scoreline is 0-1 at 13%, followed by 1-1 (11.6%) and 0-2 (10.7%).

Even the leading scoreline holds only 13% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Castellón, full-time Castellón leads at 34%. A goal before the break is rated 68%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.