Don BenitoHomeL
Extremadura 1924AwayWDWWW
Don BenitoHomeL
Extremadura 1924AwayWDWWW| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.58 | 3.56 | 1.96 | 1.70 | 2.08 | 1.59 | 2.21 | Bet | |
| 3.97 | 3.48 | 1.89 | 2.01 | 1.80 | 1.80 | 1.95 | Bet | |
| 3.90 | 3.50 | 1.84 | 1.81 | 1.91 | 1.70 | 1.98 | Bet | |
| 3.96 | 3.47 | 1.89 | 2.01 | 1.80 | 1.80 | 1.95 | Bet | |
| 3.96 | 3.47 | 1.89 | 2.01 | 1.80 | 1.80 | 1.95 | Bet | |
| 3.55 | 3.60 | 1.89 | 1.82 | 1.85 | 1.75 | 1.90 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Best 1X2 lines behind the Don Benito vs Extremadura 1924 prediction: Don Benito 3.97 (22Bet), draw 3.60 (Stake), Extremadura 1924 1.96 (1xBet).
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 96.2%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 2.01 (Melbet) and under 2.5 2.08 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.80 (Melbet) and no 2.21 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
Our prediction
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 12:14 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
Don Benito vs Extremadura 1924 prediction for the Copa del Rey on Tuesday, 27 October 2026: the model makes Extremadura 1924 a narrow favourite at 50%, with the draw at 25% and Don Benito at 25%.
Don Benito are expected to score 1.17 and Extremadura 1924 1.71, so the total line is 2.88 goals; over 2.5 lands at 55% and BTTS at 57%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Our main pick is don Benito or Extremadura 1924 (no draw) at 75%. The best price in our comparison is 1.28 at Melbet, which implies 78%, so the model sits 3 points below the market.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Don Benito vs Extremadura 1924.
Under 2.5 goals is rated 45% and under 3.5 67%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 78% and over 2.5 at 55%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 55%, best priced 2.01 at Melbet.
The chance of both teams scoring is 57%, built from Don Benito scoring in 69% of runs and Extremadura 1924 in 82%; clean sheets come at 18% for Don Benito and 31% for Extremadura 1924.
Correct score: 1-1 leads at 11.2%, then 1-2 at 9.6% and 0-1 at 9.6%.
With the top scoreline at 11.2%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Don Benito vs Extremadura 1924; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Extremadura 1924, full-time Extremadura 1924 leads at 31%. A goal before the break is rated 73%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
The grid built from 1.17 and 1.71 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Double chance
Goals
BTTS
Halves
Team goals
Odd or even
Most likely scores
Half-time / full-time
The model gives Extremadura 1924 the best chance at 50%, with the draw at 25%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.2%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 55% backs the same picture with less variance.
The BTTS yes line is rated 57%. Don Benito find the net in 69% of simulated matches and Extremadura 1924 in 82%.
Kick-off is 19:30 UTC on Tuesday, 27 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.