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Live 23 UTC
Copa del Rey Round of 128 Tuesday, 27 October 2026 AET
Don BenitoHomeL
2:4Half-time 2:0
Extremadura 1924AwayWDWWW
252550
Don Benito winDrawExtremadura 1924 win
Kick-off
Tue 27 Oct
Expected goals
2.88
1.17 : 1.71
Favourite
50%
Extremadura 1924
Over 2.5 goals
55%
model chance
Both teams to score
57%
model chance
Prices compared
6
in the odds table

Don Benito vs Extremadura 1924 odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet3.583.561.961.702.081.592.21Bet
22Bet3.973.481.892.011.801.801.95Bet
BC.Game3.903.501.841.811.911.701.98Bet
Betwinner3.963.471.892.011.801.801.95Bet
Melbet3.963.471.892.011.801.801.95Bet
Stake3.553.601.891.821.851.751.90Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Extremadura 1924 to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the Don Benito vs Extremadura 1924 prediction: Don Benito 3.97 (22Bet), draw 3.60 (Stake), Extremadura 1924 1.96 (1xBet).

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 96.2%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 2.01 (Melbet) and under 2.5 2.08 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.80 (Melbet) and no 2.21 (1xBet).

Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.

75%

Our prediction

Don Benito or Extremadura 1924 (no draw)
LeanExpected goals 1.17 : 1.71-4.1% against the best price
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
55% chance2.01
BTTSBoth teams to score
57% chance1.80
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
78% chance1.28fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance8.93fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Extremadura 1924, full-time Extremadura 1924
31% chance3.24fair
First halfFirst-half goal
73% chance1.38fair

Don Benito vs Extremadura 1924 odds movement

Don Benito win3.97unchanged
Draw3.60-0.20
Extremadura 1924 win1.96unchanged
Over 2.5 goals2.01unchanged
Under 2.5 goals2.08-0.07

Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 12:14 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.

Don Benito vs Extremadura 1924 prediction

Don Benito vs Extremadura 1924 prediction and best bet

Don Benito vs Extremadura 1924 prediction for the Copa del Rey on Tuesday, 27 October 2026: the model makes Extremadura 1924 a narrow favourite at 50%, with the draw at 25% and Don Benito at 25%.

Don Benito are expected to score 1.17 and Extremadura 1924 1.71, so the total line is 2.88 goals; over 2.5 lands at 55% and BTTS at 57%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Our main pick is don Benito or Extremadura 1924 (no draw) at 75%. The best price in our comparison is 1.28 at Melbet, which implies 78%, so the model sits 3 points below the market.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Don Benito vs Extremadura 1924.

Don Benito vs Extremadura 1924 goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast

Under 2.5 goals is rated 45% and under 3.5 67%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 78% and over 2.5 at 55%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 55%, best priced 2.01 at Melbet.

The chance of both teams scoring is 57%, built from Don Benito scoring in 69% of runs and Extremadura 1924 in 82%; clean sheets come at 18% for Don Benito and 31% for Extremadura 1924.

Correct score: 1-1 leads at 11.2%, then 1-2 at 9.6% and 0-1 at 9.6%.

With the top scoreline at 11.2%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Don Benito vs Extremadura 1924; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Extremadura 1924, full-time Extremadura 1924 leads at 31%. A goal before the break is rated 73%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

All markets, Don Benito vs Extremadura 1924

The grid built from 1.17 and 1.71 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Don Benito to win25%3.97
Draw25%3.60
Extremadura 1924 to win50%1.96
Don Benito, draw no bet34%fair 2.95
Extremadura 1924, draw no bet66%fair 1.51

Double chance

Don Benito or draw51%1.85
Extremadura 1924 or draw75%1.26
Don Benito or Extremadura 1924 (no draw)75%1.28

Goals

Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.06
Over 1.5 goals78%fair 1.28
Over 2.5 goals55%2.01
Over 3.5 goals33%fair 3.07
Over 4.5 goals17%fair 6.06
Under 1.5 goals22%fair 4.59
Under 2.5 goals45%2.08
Under 3.5 goals67%fair 1.48

BTTS

Both teams to score57%1.80
Not both teams to score43%2.21

Halves

First-half goal73%fair 1.38
Over 1.5 first-half goals37%fair 2.69
Second-half goal80%fair 1.26

Team goals

Don Benito to score69%fair 1.45
Extremadura 1924 to score82%fair 1.22
Don Benito clean sheet18%fair 5.52
Extremadura 1924 clean sheet31%fair 3.23
Don Benito to win to nil17%fair 6.02
Extremadura 1924 to win to nil29%fair 3.50

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

1-111.2%
1-29.6%
0-19.6%
0-28.2%
2-16.6%
1-06.6%

Half-time / full-time

Extremadura 1924 / Extremadura 192430.9%
Draw / Extremadura 192416.3%
Don Benito / Don Benito14.8%
Draw / Draw13.8%
Draw / Don Benito9.5%

Questions about Don Benito vs Extremadura 1924

Don Benito or Extremadura 1924: which side does the model back?

The model gives Extremadura 1924 the best chance at 50%, with the draw at 25%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.

Don Benito vs Extremadura 1924 correct score: what does the model say?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.2%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 55% backs the same picture with less variance.

Will both teams score in Don Benito vs Extremadura 1924?

The BTTS yes line is rated 57%. Don Benito find the net in 69% of simulated matches and Extremadura 1924 in 82%.

When do Don Benito play Extremadura 1924?

Kick-off is 19:30 UTC on Tuesday, 27 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Don Benito v Extremadura 1924Don Benito or Extremadura 1924 (no draw), 75%
1.28Bet