Copa del Rey
LaredoHomeL
2:4Half-time 0:1
BurgosAwayLWWWD162361
Laredo winDrawBurgos win
LaredoHomeLBurgosAwayLWWWD- Kick-off Thu 29 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.76 0.87 : 1.89
- Favourite
- 61% Burgos
- Over 2.5 goals
- 52% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 50% model chance
- Prices compared
- 6 in the odds table
Laredo vs Burgos odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 5.50 | 4.05 | 1.56 | 1.83 | 1.91 | 1.87 | 1.83 | Bet |
 22Bet | 5.92 | 3.75 | 1.58 | 1.89 | 1.91 | 1.80 | 1.95 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 5.60 | 3.95 | 1.53 | 1.81 | 1.91 | 1.83 | 1.83 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 5.60 | 3.94 | 1.57 | 1.81 | 2.00 | 1.84 | 1.86 | Bet |
 Melbet | 5.92 | 3.75 | 1.58 | 1.81 | 2.00 | 1.80 | 1.95 | Bet |
 Stake | 5.40 | 3.90 | 1.55 | 1.74 | 1.95 | 1.82 | 1.82 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Burgos to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Laredo vs Burgos are 5.92 for Laredo at 22Bet, 4.05 for the draw at 1xBet and 1.58 for Burgos at 22Bet.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 95.4%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.89 (22Bet) and under 2.5 2.00 (Betwinner); both teams to score yes pays 1.87 (1xBet) and no 1.95 (22Bet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
61%
Our prediction
Burgos to win
Double chanceBurgos or draw
84% chance1.13
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
52% chance1.89
BTTSBoth teams to score
50% chance1.87
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
76% chance1.31fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-1
12% chance8.33fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Burgos, full-time Burgos
39% chance2.54fair
Laredo vs Burgos odds movement
Laredo win5.92-0.38
Draw4.05-0.15
Burgos win1.58unchanged
Over 2.5 goals1.89unchanged
Under 2.5 goals2.00unchanged
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 12:14 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
Laredo vs Burgos prediction
Our Laredo vs Burgos prediction and pick
Laredo host Burgos on Thursday, 29 October 2026 in the Copa del Rey, and the model has Burgos at 61%, the draw at 23% and Laredo at 16%: that is the Laredo vs Burgos prediction in one line.
Expected goals are 0.87 for Laredo and 1.89 for Burgos, a total of 2.76, which puts over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams to score at 50%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Our main pick is burgos to win at 61%. 22Bet offer the top price at 1.58. That price implies 63%, 2 points over the model figure.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
For a safer line, burgos or draw covers 84% of outcomes at 1.13.
Goals, BTTS and correct score for Laredo vs Burgos
Under 2.5 goals is rated 48% and under 3.5 70%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 76% and over 2.5 at 52%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 52%; 22Bet pay 1.89.
BTTS yes stands at 50%. Laredo score in 58% of simulations against a 42% clean sheet for Burgos; Burgos score in 85% while Laredo shut them out 15% of the time.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Laredo vs Burgos: 0-1 (12%), 0-2 (11.3%) and 1-1 (10.4%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Burgos, full-time Burgos leads at 39%. A goal before the break is rated 71%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market for Laredo vs Burgos
The grid built from 0.87 and 1.89 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Laredo to win16%5.92
Draw23%4.05
Burgos to win61%1.58
Laredo, draw no bet21%fair 4.72
Burgos, draw no bet79%fair 1.27
Double chance
Laredo or draw39%2.33
Burgos or draw84%1.13
Laredo or Burgos (no draw)78%1.25
Goals
Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.07
Over 1.5 goals76%fair 1.31
Over 2.5 goals52%1.89
Over 3.5 goals30%fair 3.34
Over 4.5 goals15%fair 6.85
Under 1.5 goals24%fair 4.20
Under 2.5 goals48%2.00
Under 3.5 goals70%fair 1.43
BTTS
Both teams to score50%1.87
Not both teams to score50%1.95
Halves
First-half goal71%fair 1.41
Over 1.5 first-half goals35%fair 2.84
Second-half goal78%fair 1.28
Team goals
Laredo to score58%fair 1.72
Burgos to score85%fair 1.18
Laredo clean sheet15%fair 6.62
Burgos clean sheet42%fair 2.39
Laredo to win to nil14%fair 7.19
Burgos to win to nil39%fair 2.60
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
0-112%
0-211.3%
1-110.4%
1-29.8%
0-37.1%
0-06.3%
Half-time / full-time
Burgos / Burgos39.3%
Draw / Burgos19.3%
Draw / Draw13.5%
Laredo / Laredo9.1%
Draw / Laredo6.6%
Questions about Laredo vs Burgos
Laredo or Burgos: which side does the model back?
The model gives Burgos the best chance at 61%, with the draw at 23%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
Laredo vs Burgos correct score: what does the model say?
0-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 52%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in Laredo vs Burgos?
The BTTS yes line is rated 50%. Laredo find the net in 58% of simulated matches and Burgos in 85%.
When do Laredo play Burgos?
Laredo vs Burgos starts at 19:00 UTC on Thursday, 29 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.