Copa del Rey
BadajozHome
Wed 4 Nov
TenerifeAwayDLDDD182458
Badajoz winDrawTenerife win
BadajozHomeTenerifeAwayDLDDD- Kick-off Wed 4 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.81 0.95 : 1.86
- Favourite
- 58% Tenerife
- Over 2.5 goals
- 53% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 52% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
Badajoz vs Tenerife odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 5.23 | 3.78 | 1.63 | 1.78 | 1.97 | 1.78 | 1.93 | Bet |
 22Bet | 5.74 | 3.98 | 1.55 | 1.83 | 1.91 | 1.86 | 1.84 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 5.74 | 3.98 | 1.55 | 1.83 | 1.91 | 1.86 | 1.84 | Bet |
 Melbet | 5.74 | 3.98 | 1.55 | 1.83 | 1.91 | 1.86 | 1.84 | Bet |
 Stake | 5.40 | 3.85 | 1.53 | 1.77 | 1.90 | - | - | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Tenerife to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Badajoz vs Tenerife prediction: Badajoz 5.74 (Melbet), draw 3.98 (Melbet), Tenerife 1.63 (1xBet).
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 96.2%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.83 (Melbet) and under 2.5 1.97 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.86 (Melbet) and no 1.93 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
58%
Our prediction
Tenerife to win
Double chanceTenerife or draw
82% chance1.14
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
53% chance1.83
BTTSBoth teams to score
52% chance1.86
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
77% chance1.30fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-1
11% chance8.93fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Tenerife, full-time Tenerife
37% chance2.68fair
Badajoz vs Tenerife prediction
Badajoz vs Tenerife prediction and best bet
Tenerife are a narrow favourite in the Badajoz vs Tenerife prediction, rated 58% to win this Copa del Rey match on Wednesday, 4 November 2026. Badajoz sit at 18% and the draw at 24%.
Badajoz are expected to score 0.95 and Tenerife 1.86, so the total line is 2.81 goals; over 2.5 lands at 53% and BTTS at 52%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
The pick for Badajoz vs Tenerife is tenerife to win, a 58% chance. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.63. That price implies 61%, 3 points over the model figure.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Tenerife or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 82% chance, priced 1.14.
Goals, BTTS and correct score for Badajoz vs Tenerife
Under 2.5 goals is rated 47% and under 3.5 69%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 77% and over 2.5 at 53%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 53%, best priced 1.83 at Melbet.
Both teams to score is 52%: Badajoz find the net in 61% of simulated matches and Tenerife in 84%. Badajoz keep a clean sheet 16% of the time and Tenerife 39%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Badajoz vs Tenerife: 0-1 (11.2%), 1-1 (10.6%) and 0-2 (10.4%).
With the top scoreline at 11.2%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Badajoz vs Tenerife; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Tenerife, full-time Tenerife is the top combination at 37%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 72%.
All markets, Badajoz vs Tenerife
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 18% / 24% / 58% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Badajoz to win18%5.74
Draw24%3.98
Tenerife to win58%1.63
Badajoz, draw no bet23%fair 4.27
Tenerife, draw no bet77%fair 1.31
Double chance
Badajoz or draw42%2.35
Tenerife or draw82%1.14
Badajoz or Tenerife (no draw)76%1.24
Goals
Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.06
Over 1.5 goals77%fair 1.30
Over 2.5 goals53%1.83
Over 3.5 goals31%fair 3.23
Over 4.5 goals15%fair 6.49
Under 1.5 goals23%fair 4.37
Under 2.5 goals47%1.97
Under 3.5 goals69%fair 1.45
BTTS
Both teams to score52%1.86
Not both teams to score48%1.93
Halves
First-half goal72%fair 1.39
Over 1.5 first-half goals36%fair 2.77
Second-half goal79%fair 1.27
Team goals
Badajoz to score61%fair 1.63
Tenerife to score84%fair 1.18
Badajoz clean sheet16%fair 6.41
Tenerife clean sheet39%fair 2.58
Badajoz to win to nil14%fair 6.99
Tenerife to win to nil36%fair 2.81
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
0-111.2%
1-110.6%
0-210.4%
1-29.9%
0-36.5%
1-36.1%
Half-time / full-time
Tenerife / Tenerife37.3%
Draw / Tenerife18.5%
Draw / Draw13.5%
Badajoz / Badajoz10.4%
Draw / Badajoz7.3%
Questions about Badajoz vs Tenerife
Who is favourite in Badajoz vs Tenerife?
The model gives Tenerife the best chance at 58%, with the draw at 24%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
What is the correct score prediction for Badajoz vs Tenerife?
0-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.2%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 53%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Will both teams score in Badajoz vs Tenerife?
The BTTS yes line is rated 52%. Badajoz find the net in 61% of simulated matches and Tenerife in 84%.
What time does Badajoz vs Tenerife kick off?
Kick-off is 20:00 UTC on Wednesday, 4 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.