Cieza vs Granada CF prediction

Cieza vs Granada CF prediction and best bet

Cieza host Granada CF on Thursday, 29 October 2026 in the Copa del Rey, and the model has Granada CF at 65%, the draw at 20% and Cieza at 15%: that is the Cieza vs Granada CF prediction in one line.

Expected goals are 0.89 for Cieza and 2.07 for Granada CF, a total of 2.96, which puts over 2.5 goals at 56% and both teams to score at 52%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

The pick for Cieza vs Granada CF is granada CF to win, a 65% chance. At 1.70 with Betwinner the market prices it at 59%, against 65% from the model.

A 9.7% edge on a flat stake is the margin here, so the selection qualifies as value and not only as the likely result.

For a safer line, granada CF or draw covers 85% of outcomes at 1.18.

The draw sits at only 20%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.

Cieza vs Granada CF goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast

Under 2.5 goals is rated 44% and under 3.5 66%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 80% and over 2.5 at 56%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 56%; 22Bet pay 1.81.

The chance of both teams scoring is 52%, built from Cieza scoring in 59% of runs and Granada CF in 87%; clean sheets come at 13% for Cieza and 41% for Granada CF.

The most likely scoreline is 0-2 at 11.1%, followed by 0-1 (10.7%) and 1-2 (9.9%).

With the top scoreline at 11.1%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Cieza vs Granada CF; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Granada CF, full-time Granada CF leads at 42%. A goal before the break is rated 74%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.