Copa del Rey
LebrijanaHomeWWL
2:3Half-time 2:2
GetafeAwayDLLWW2494
Lebrijana winDrawGetafe win
LebrijanaHomeWWLGetafeAwayDLLWW- Kick-off Thu 29 Oct
- Expected goals
- 4.57 0.48 : 4.09
- Favourite
- 94% Getafe
- Over 2.5 goals
- 81% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 36% model chance
- Prices compared
- 6 in the odds table
Lebrijana vs Getafe odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 15.50 | 15.00 | 1.06 | 1.18 | 3.85 | 3.20 | 1.30 | Bet |
 22Bet | 40.00 | 14.50 | 1.04 | 1.22 | 4.28 | 2.55 | 1.45 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 30.00 | 11.00 | 1.04 | 1.22 | 3.90 | 2.44 | 1.47 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 40.00 | 14.50 | 1.04 | - | - | 2.55 | 1.45 | Bet |
 Melbet | 40.00 | 14.50 | 1.04 | - | - | 2.55 | 1.45 | Bet |
 Stake | 25.00 | 11.00 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Getafe to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Lebrijana vs Getafe prediction: Lebrijana 40.00 (22Bet), draw 15.00 (1xBet), Getafe 1.06 (1xBet).
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 96.6%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.22 (22Bet) and under 2.5 4.28 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 3.20 (1xBet) and no 1.47 (BC.Game).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
94%
Our prediction
Getafe to win
Double chanceGetafe or draw
98% chance-
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
81% chance1.22
BTTSNot both teams to score
64% chance1.47
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
93% chance1.07fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-4
12% chance8.26fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Getafe, full-time Getafe
76% chance1.32fair
Lebrijana vs Getafe odds movement
Lebrijana win40.00-36.00
Draw15.00-11.00
Getafe win1.06unchanged
Over 2.5 goals1.22unchanged
Under 2.5 goals4.28-0.72
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 12:14 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
Lebrijana vs Getafe prediction
Our Lebrijana vs Getafe prediction and pick
The Lebrijana vs Getafe prediction leans to Getafe: 94% against 2% for Lebrijana, with 4% left for the draw, in the Copa del Rey on Thursday, 29 October 2026.
Expected goals are 0.48 for Lebrijana and 4.09 for Getafe, a total of 4.57, which puts over 2.5 goals at 81% and both teams to score at 36%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Getafe to win is the main selection, rated 94%. The best price in our comparison is 1.06 at 1xBet, which implies 94%, so the model sits 0 points below the market.
For a safer line, getafe or draw covers 98% of outcomes at -.
With the draw down at 4%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.
Over the last 3 matches Lebrijana stand at 2 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats; Getafe show 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats in 5.
Lebrijana vs Getafe over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score
On the goal lines Lebrijana vs Getafe reads 93% for over 1.5, 81% for over 2.5 and 66% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 20%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 81%, best priced 1.22 at 22Bet.
Both teams to score is 36%: Lebrijana find the net in 38% of simulated matches and Getafe in 98%. Lebrijana keep a clean sheet 2% of the time and Getafe 62%.
Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 64%.
Correct score: 0-4 leads at 12.1%, then 0-3 at 11.8% and 0-5 at 9.9%.
Even the leading scoreline holds only 12.1% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Getafe, full-time Getafe is the top combination at 76%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 87%.
Every market for Lebrijana vs Getafe
The grid built from 0.48 and 4.09 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Lebrijana to win2%40.00
Draw4%15.00
Getafe to win94%1.06
Lebrijana, draw no bet2%fair 58.82
Getafe, draw no bet98%fair 1.02
Double chance
Lebrijana or draw6%10.64
Getafe or draw98%-
Lebrijana or Getafe (no draw)96%1.01
Goals
Over 0.5 goals98%fair 1.02
Over 1.5 goals93%fair 1.07
Over 2.5 goals81%1.22
Over 3.5 goals66%fair 1.52
Over 4.5 goals47%fair 2.12
Under 1.5 goals7%fair 14.93
Under 2.5 goals20%4.28
Under 3.5 goals34%fair 2.94
BTTS
Both teams to score36%3.20
Not both teams to score64%1.47
Halves
First-half goal87%fair 1.15
Over 1.5 first-half goals61%fair 1.64
Second-half goal92%fair 1.09
Team goals
Lebrijana to score38%fair 2.62
Getafe to score98%fair 1.02
Lebrijana clean sheet2%fair 58.82
Getafe clean sheet62%fair 1.62
Lebrijana to win to nil2%fair 66.67
Getafe to win to nil57%fair 1.76
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals50%fair 1.98
Most likely scores
0-412.1%
0-311.8%
0-59.9%
0-28.7%
1-45.8%
1-35.7%
Half-time / full-time
Getafe / Getafe75.9%
Draw / Getafe15.1%
Draw / Draw2.5%
Lebrijana / Getafe2.1%
Getafe / Draw0.9%
Questions about Lebrijana vs Getafe
Who will win Lebrijana vs Getafe?
The model gives Getafe the best chance at 94%, with the draw at 4%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
Lebrijana vs Getafe correct score: what does the model say?
0-4 is the most likely scoreline at 12.1%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 81% backs the same picture with less variance.
Is BTTS likely in Lebrijana vs Getafe?
The BTTS yes line is rated 36%. Lebrijana find the net in 38% of simulated matches and Getafe in 98%.
When is Lebrijana vs Getafe and where is the result shown?
Lebrijana vs Getafe starts at 18:00 UTC on Thursday, 29 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.