Copa del Rey
HortalezaHomeWDL
0:3Half-time 0:2
SevillaAwayDLWWL1396
Hortaleza winDrawSevilla win
HortalezaHomeWDLSevillaAwayDLWWL- Kick-off Thu 29 Oct
- Expected goals
- 4.71 0.39 : 4.32
- Favourite
- 96% Sevilla
- Over 2.5 goals
- 90% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 28% model chance
- Prices compared
- 6 in the odds table
Hortaleza vs Sevilla odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 25.00 | 23.00 | 1.04 | 1.08 | 5.70 | 3.26 | 1.29 | Bet |
 22Bet | 50.00 | 20.00 | 1.02 | 1.10 | 6.95 | 2.88 | 1.36 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 35.00 | 14.00 | 1.02 | 1.10 | 6.00 | 2.76 | 1.37 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 50.00 | 20.00 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | Bet |
 Melbet | 48.00 | 20.00 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | Bet |
 Stake | 35.00 | 14.00 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Sevilla to win partner prices
22Bet pay the best Hortaleza price at 50.00, 1xBet lead the draw at 23.00 and 1xBet have Sevilla longest at 1.04.
The best-price payout across the three results is 97.6%, several points better than any single book offers here.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.10 (22Bet) and under 2.5 6.95 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 3.26 (1xBet) and no 1.37 (BC.Game).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
96%
Our prediction
Sevilla to win
Double chanceSevilla or draw
99% chance-
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
90% chance1.10
BTTSNot both teams to score
72% chance1.37
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
94% chance1.07fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-4
13% chance7.63fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Sevilla, full-time Sevilla
79% chance1.27fair
Hortaleza vs Sevilla odds movement
Hortaleza win50.00-11.00
Draw23.00-6.00
Sevilla win1.04unchanged
Over 2.5 goals1.10-0.01
Under 2.5 goals6.95-0.05
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 12:14 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
Hortaleza vs Sevilla prediction
Hortaleza vs Sevilla prediction and best bet
The Hortaleza vs Sevilla prediction leans to Sevilla: 96% against 1% for Hortaleza, with 3% left for the draw, in the Copa del Rey on Thursday, 29 October 2026.
Hortaleza are expected to score 0.39 and Sevilla 4.32, so the total line is 4.71 goals; over 2.5 lands at 90% and BTTS at 28%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Our main pick is sevilla to win at 96%. The best price in our comparison is 1.04 at 1xBet, which implies 96%, so the model sits 0 points above the market.
Sevilla or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 99% chance, priced -.
The draw sits at only 3%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.
Hortaleza average 1.3 goals scored and 2.0 conceded across their last 3, Sevilla 2.0 and 2.0 across 5.
Goals forecast for Hortaleza vs Sevilla with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Under 2.5 goals is rated 10% and under 3.5 32%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 94% and over 2.5 at 90%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 90%; 22Bet pay 1.10.
Both teams to score is 28%: Hortaleza find the net in 32% of simulated matches and Sevilla in 99%. Hortaleza keep a clean sheet 1% of the time and Sevilla 68%.
Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 72%.
The most likely scoreline is 0-4 at 13.1%, followed by 0-3 (12.1%) and 0-5 (11.3%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 13.1% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Sevilla, full-time Sevilla leads at 79%. A goal before the break is rated 88%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market for Hortaleza vs Sevilla
The grid built from 0.39 and 4.32 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Hortaleza to win1%50.00
Draw3%23.00
Sevilla to win96%1.04
Hortaleza, draw no bet1%fair 90.91
Sevilla, draw no bet99%fair 1.01
Double chance
Hortaleza or draw4%14.29
Sevilla or draw99%-
Hortaleza or Sevilla (no draw)97%-
Goals
Over 0.5 goals98%fair 1.02
Over 1.5 goals94%fair 1.07
Over 2.5 goals90%1.10
Over 3.5 goals68%fair 1.47
Over 4.5 goals49%fair 2.02
Under 1.5 goals7%fair 15.38
Under 2.5 goals10%6.95
Under 3.5 goals32%fair 3.12
BTTS
Both teams to score28%3.26
Not both teams to score72%1.37
Halves
First-half goal88%fair 1.14
Over 1.5 first-half goals63%fair 1.60
Second-half goal93%fair 1.08
Team goals
Hortaleza to score32%fair 3.10
Sevilla to score99%fair 1.01
Hortaleza clean sheet1%fair 76.92
Sevilla clean sheet68%fair 1.48
Hortaleza to win to nil1%fair 100.00
Sevilla to win to nil62%fair 1.61
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals51%fair 1.98
Most likely scores
0-413.1%
0-312.1%
0-511.3%
0-28.4%
1-45.1%
1-34.7%
Half-time / full-time
Sevilla / Sevilla78.9%
Draw / Sevilla14%
Draw / Draw1.9%
Hortaleza / Sevilla1.6%
Hortaleza / Draw0.6%
Questions about Hortaleza vs Sevilla
Who will win Hortaleza vs Sevilla?
The model gives Sevilla the best chance at 96%, with the draw at 3%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
What scoreline is most likely in Hortaleza vs Sevilla?
0-4 is the most likely scoreline at 13.1%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 90% backs the same picture with less variance.
Will both teams score in Hortaleza vs Sevilla?
The BTTS yes line is rated 28%. Hortaleza find the net in 32% of simulated matches and Sevilla in 99%.
When is Hortaleza vs Sevilla and where is the result shown?
Kick-off is 20:00 UTC on Thursday, 29 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.