Copa del Rey
Ciudad de LucenaHomeL
0:1Half-time 0:0
Rayo MajadahondaAwayLLWWL302644
Ciudad de Lucena winDrawRayo Majadahonda win
Ciudad de LucenaHomeLRayo MajadahondaAwayLLWWL- Kick-off Tue 27 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.70 1.19 : 1.51
- Favourite
- 45% Rayo Majadahonda
- Over 2.5 goals
- 51% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 55% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Ciudad de Lucena vs Rayo Majadahonda odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 3.28 | 3.52 | 2.08 | 1.87 | 1.87 | 1.71 | 2.02 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Rayo Majadahonda to win partner prices
1xBet pay the best Ciudad de Lucena price at 3.28, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.52 and 1xBet have Rayo Majadahonda longest at 2.08.
The best-price payout across the three results is 93.5%, several points better than any single book offers here.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.87 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.87 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.71 (1xBet) and no 2.02 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
74%
Our prediction
Ciudad de Lucena or Rayo Majadahonda (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
51% chance1.87
BTTSBoth teams to score
55% chance1.71
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
75% chance1.33fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.26fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Rayo Majadahonda, full-time Rayo Majadahonda
27% chance3.72fair
First halfFirst-half goal
70% chance1.42fair
Ciudad de Lucena vs Rayo Majadahonda odds movement
Ciudad de Lucena win3.28-0.12
Draw3.52-0.18
Rayo Majadahonda win2.08-0.02
Over 2.5 goals1.87unchanged
Under 2.5 goals1.87-0.08
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 12:14 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
Ciudad de Lucena vs Rayo Majadahonda prediction
Ciudad de Lucena vs Rayo Majadahonda prediction and best bet
The Ciudad de Lucena vs Rayo Majadahonda prediction leans to Rayo Majadahonda: 45% against 30% for Ciudad de Lucena, with 26% left for the draw, in the Copa del Rey on Tuesday, 27 October 2026.
Expected goals are 1.19 for Ciudad de Lucena and 1.51 for Rayo Majadahonda, a total of 2.70, which puts over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams to score at 55%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
Our main pick is ciudad de Lucena or Rayo Majadahonda (no draw) at 74%. At 1.27 with 1xBet the market prices it at 79%, against 74% from the model.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Ciudad de Lucena vs Rayo Majadahonda.
Goals, BTTS and correct score for Ciudad de Lucena vs Rayo Majadahonda
On the goal lines Ciudad de Lucena vs Rayo Majadahonda reads 75% for over 1.5, 51% for over 2.5 and 29% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 49%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 51%, best priced 1.87 at 1xBet.
Both teams to score is 55%: Ciudad de Lucena find the net in 70% of simulated matches and Rayo Majadahonda in 78%. Ciudad de Lucena keep a clean sheet 22% of the time and Rayo Majadahonda 30%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Ciudad de Lucena vs Rayo Majadahonda: 1-1 (12.1%), 0-1 (10.1%) and 1-2 (9.1%).
With the top scoreline at 12.1%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Ciudad de Lucena vs Rayo Majadahonda; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Rayo Majadahonda, full-time Rayo Majadahonda is the top combination at 27%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 70%.
Every market rated for Ciudad de Lucena vs Rayo Majadahonda
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 30% / 26% / 45% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Ciudad de Lucena to win30%3.28
Draw26%3.52
Rayo Majadahonda to win45%2.08
Ciudad de Lucena, draw no bet40%fair 2.50
Rayo Majadahonda, draw no bet60%fair 1.67
Double chance
Ciudad de Lucena or draw56%1.70
Rayo Majadahonda or draw70%1.31
Ciudad de Lucena or Rayo Majadahonda (no draw)74%1.27
Goals
Over 0.5 goals93%fair 1.07
Over 1.5 goals75%fair 1.33
Over 2.5 goals51%1.87
Over 3.5 goals29%fair 3.50
Over 4.5 goals14%fair 7.30
Under 1.5 goals25%fair 4.02
Under 2.5 goals49%1.87
Under 3.5 goals71%fair 1.40
BTTS
Both teams to score55%1.71
Not both teams to score45%2.02
Halves
First-half goal70%fair 1.42
Over 1.5 first-half goals34%fair 2.92
Second-half goal77%fair 1.29
Team goals
Ciudad de Lucena to score70%fair 1.44
Rayo Majadahonda to score78%fair 1.28
Ciudad de Lucena clean sheet22%fair 4.52
Rayo Majadahonda clean sheet30%fair 3.29
Ciudad de Lucena to win to nil20%fair 4.93
Rayo Majadahonda to win to nil28%fair 3.57
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-112.1%
0-110.1%
1-29.1%
1-08%
0-27.7%
2-17.2%
Half-time / full-time
Rayo Majadahonda / Rayo Majadahonda26.9%
Ciudad de Lucena / Ciudad de Lucena17.1%
Draw / Rayo Majadahonda15.3%
Draw / Draw15.2%
Draw / Ciudad de Lucena11%
Questions about Ciudad de Lucena vs Rayo Majadahonda
Who will win Ciudad de Lucena vs Rayo Majadahonda?
The model gives Rayo Majadahonda the best chance at 45%, with the draw at 26%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
Ciudad de Lucena vs Rayo Majadahonda correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.1%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 51% backs the same picture with less variance.
Is BTTS likely in Ciudad de Lucena vs Rayo Majadahonda?
The BTTS yes line is rated 55%. Ciudad de Lucena find the net in 70% of simulated matches and Rayo Majadahonda in 78%.
What time does Ciudad de Lucena vs Rayo Majadahonda kick off?
Kick-off is 19:00 UTC on Tuesday, 27 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.