Where the data comes from and how the predictions are made
Fixtures, live scores, bookmaker prices and the base match model arrive from the bookmakers.market feed, an odds comparison and live score platform in the same network as this site.
Verdict.football fits its own expected goals to that model and derives every market from 1 Poisson score grid. It selects the picks, grades them against each market’s own scale, builds the 3 daily accumulators and keeps the record. Coverage runs to more than 100 countries, and the numbers refresh every 2 hours.
Nothing on a match page is written by hand after the numbers are in.
The paragraphs are generated from the figures beside them so every sentence can be checked. The method page walks through each step, and the Poisson predictor reproduces any match page from its two expected goal figures.
How the site earns money and what it is for
Some bookmakers in the odds comparison are partners. Their prices carry a Bet button and open through a counted link that pays Verdict.football a commission when an account is opened and used. Probabilities, picks and grades are computed without reference to that relationship, and the best price is marked whoever offers it.
The bookmakers page lists who is a partner and who is compared only. The site exists because a prediction is a probability and a bet is that probability against a price. Putting the 2 side by side for every match, and then showing day after day how the picks went, is the whole job.
Everything about Verdict.football that matters is on the results pages, which are the part of the site to read first. Corrections, data questions and partnership enquiries go through the contact page.