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Live 18 UTC
Copa del Rey Round of 128 Wednesday, 4 November 2026 Kick-off
ReddisHome
Wed 4 Nov
BarakaldoAwayDLWDD
232849
Reddis winDrawBarakaldo win
Kick-off
Wed 4 Nov
Expected goals
2.43
0.94 : 1.49
Favourite
49%
Barakaldo
Over 2.5 goals
43%
model chance
Both teams to score
49%
model chance
Prices compared
5
in the odds table

Best odds for Reddis vs Barakaldo

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet3.823.421.942.091.691.871.83Bet
22Bet3.843.301.972.211.621.941.77Bet
Betwinner3.843.301.972.211.621.941.77Bet
Melbet3.923.201.972.171.612.001.74Bet
Stake3.603.401.882.071.65--Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Barakaldo to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the Reddis vs Barakaldo prediction: Reddis 3.92 (Melbet), draw 3.42 (1xBet), Barakaldo 1.97 (22Bet).

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 94.8%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 2.21 (22Bet) and under 2.5 1.69 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 2.00 (Melbet) and no 1.83 (1xBet).

Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.

77%

Our prediction

Barakaldo or draw
StrongExpected goals 0.94 : 1.49-4.5% against the best price
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
57% chance1.69
BTTSNot both teams to score
51% chance1.83
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
70% chance1.43fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-1
13% chance7.63fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Barakaldo, full-time Barakaldo
30% chance3.30fair
First halfFirst-half goal
67% chance1.50fair

Reddis vs Barakaldo prediction

Reddis vs Barakaldo prediction, who wins and at what price

Reddis vs Barakaldo prediction for the Copa del Rey on Wednesday, 4 November 2026: the model makes Barakaldo a narrow favourite at 49%, with the draw at 28% and Reddis at 23%.

The goal expectancy is 2.43 in total, split 0.94 to Reddis and 1.49 to Barakaldo. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 43% and both teams to score 49%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Our main pick is barakaldo or draw at 77%. The best price in our comparison is 1.24 at 1xBet, which implies 81%, so the model sits 4 points below the market.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Reddis vs Barakaldo.

Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Reddis vs Barakaldo

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 70%, over 2.5 at 43%, over 3.5 at 23%; under 2.5 is 57% and under 3.5 is 77%.

The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 57%, best priced 1.69 at 1xBet.

Both teams to score is 49%: Reddis find the net in 61% of simulated matches and Barakaldo in 78%. Reddis keep a clean sheet 23% of the time and Barakaldo 39%.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Reddis vs Barakaldo: 0-1 (13.1%), 1-1 (12.3%) and 0-2 (9.8%).

With the top scoreline at 13.1%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Reddis vs Barakaldo; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Barakaldo, full-time Barakaldo is the top combination at 30%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 67%.

All markets, Reddis vs Barakaldo

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Reddis vs Barakaldo, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

Reddis to win23%3.92
Draw28%3.42
Barakaldo to win49%1.97
Reddis, draw no bet32%fair 3.14
Barakaldo, draw no bet68%fair 1.47

Double chance

Reddis or draw51%1.80
Barakaldo or draw77%1.24
Reddis or Barakaldo (no draw)72%1.31

Goals

Over 0.5 goals91%fair 1.10
Over 1.5 goals70%fair 1.43
Over 2.5 goals43%2.21
Over 3.5 goals23%fair 4.39
Over 4.5 goals10%fair 10.00
Under 1.5 goals30%fair 3.31
Under 2.5 goals57%1.69
Under 3.5 goals77%fair 1.30

BTTS

Both teams to score49%2.00
Not both teams to score51%1.83

Halves

First-half goal67%fair 1.50
Over 1.5 first-half goals30%fair 3.34
Second-half goal74%fair 1.36

Team goals

Reddis to score61%fair 1.64
Barakaldo to score78%fair 1.29
Reddis clean sheet23%fair 4.44
Barakaldo clean sheet39%fair 2.56
Reddis to win to nil21%fair 4.83
Barakaldo to win to nil36%fair 2.79

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals50%fair 1.98

Most likely scores

0-113.1%
1-112.3%
0-29.8%
1-29.2%
0-08.8%
1-08.3%

Half-time / full-time

Barakaldo / Barakaldo30.3%
Draw / Barakaldo17.4%
Draw / Draw16.9%
Reddis / Reddis13.1%
Draw / Reddis9.4%

Questions about Reddis vs Barakaldo

Who will win Reddis vs Barakaldo?

The model gives Barakaldo the best chance at 49%, with the draw at 28%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.

Reddis vs Barakaldo correct score: what does the model say?

0-1 is the most likely scoreline at 13.1%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 43% backs the same picture with less variance.

Will both teams score in Reddis vs Barakaldo?

The BTTS yes line is rated 49%. Reddis find the net in 61% of simulated matches and Barakaldo in 78%.

When do Reddis play Barakaldo?

Reddis vs Barakaldo starts at 19:30 UTC on Wednesday, 4 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Reddis v BarakaldoBarakaldo or draw, 77%
1.24Bet