Copa del Rey
ArosaHomeW
2:0Half-time 0:0
PontevedraAwayLWWLD232552
Arosa winDrawPontevedra win
ArosaHomeWPontevedraAwayLWWLD- Kick-off Tue 27 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.75 1.05 : 1.70
- Favourite
- 52% Pontevedra
- Over 2.5 goals
- 51% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 54% model chance
- Prices compared
- 6 in the odds table
Arosa vs Pontevedra odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 4.27 | 3.75 | 1.76 | 1.78 | 1.97 | 1.72 | 2.01 | Bet |
 22Bet | 3.72 | 3.50 | 1.94 | 1.88 | 1.86 | 1.74 | 1.98 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 3.55 | 3.50 | 1.93 | 1.86 | 1.86 | 1.74 | 1.93 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 3.72 | 3.50 | 1.94 | 1.88 | 1.86 | 1.74 | 1.98 | Bet |
 Melbet | 3.72 | 3.50 | 1.94 | 1.88 | 1.86 | 1.74 | 1.98 | Bet |
 Stake | 3.35 | 3.30 | 2.05 | 1.81 | 1.86 | 1.68 | 1.98 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Pontevedra to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Arosa vs Pontevedra prediction: Arosa 4.27 (1xBet), draw 3.75 (1xBet), Pontevedra 2.05 (Stake).
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 101.1%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.88 (Melbet) and under 2.5 1.97 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.74 (Melbet) and no 2.01 (1xBet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
52%
Our prediction
Pontevedra to win
Double chancePontevedra or draw
78% chance1.26
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
51% chance1.88
BTTSBoth teams to score
54% chance1.74
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
76% chance1.32fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance8.77fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Pontevedra, full-time Pontevedra
33% chance3.07fair
Arosa vs Pontevedra odds movement
Arosa win4.27-0.48
Draw3.75unchanged
Pontevedra win2.05unchanged
Over 2.5 goals1.88unchanged
Under 2.5 goals1.97unchanged
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 12:14 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
Arosa vs Pontevedra prediction
Our Arosa vs Pontevedra prediction and pick
Pontevedra are a narrow favourite in the Arosa vs Pontevedra prediction, rated 52% to win this Copa del Rey match on Tuesday, 27 October 2026. Arosa sit at 23% and the draw at 25%.
The goal expectancy is 2.75 in total, split 1.05 to Arosa and 1.70 to Pontevedra. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 51% and both teams to score 54%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
Our main pick is pontevedra to win at 52%. At 2.05 with Stake the market prices it at 49%, against 52% from the model.
A 7.4% edge on a flat stake is the margin here, so the selection qualifies as value and not only as the likely result.
For a safer line, pontevedra or draw covers 78% of outcomes at 1.26.
How many goals in Arosa vs Pontevedra? Lines, BTTS and scorelines
Under 2.5 goals is rated 49% and under 3.5 70%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 76% and over 2.5 at 51%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 51%; Melbet pay 1.88.
BTTS yes stands at 54%. Arosa score in 65% of simulations against a 35% clean sheet for Pontevedra; Pontevedra score in 82% while Arosa shut them out 18% of the time.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Arosa vs Pontevedra: 1-1 (11.4%), 0-1 (10.9%) and 1-2 (9.7%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Pontevedra, full-time Pontevedra is the top combination at 33%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 71%.
Every market for Arosa vs Pontevedra
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 23% / 25% / 52% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Arosa to win23%4.27
Draw25%3.75
Pontevedra to win52%2.05
Arosa, draw no bet30%fair 3.33
Pontevedra, draw no bet70%fair 1.43
Double chance
Arosa or draw48%2.00
Pontevedra or draw78%1.26
Arosa or Pontevedra (no draw)75%1.27
Goals
Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.07
Over 1.5 goals76%fair 1.32
Over 2.5 goals51%1.88
Over 3.5 goals30%fair 3.37
Over 4.5 goals15%fair 6.90
Under 1.5 goals24%fair 4.17
Under 2.5 goals49%1.97
Under 3.5 goals70%fair 1.42
BTTS
Both teams to score54%1.74
Not both teams to score46%2.01
Halves
First-half goal71%fair 1.41
Over 1.5 first-half goals35%fair 2.85
Second-half goal78%fair 1.28
Team goals
Arosa to score65%fair 1.54
Pontevedra to score82%fair 1.22
Arosa clean sheet18%fair 5.46
Pontevedra clean sheet35%fair 2.86
Arosa to win to nil17%fair 5.95
Pontevedra to win to nil32%fair 3.11
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-111.4%
0-110.9%
1-29.7%
0-29.2%
1-06.7%
0-06.4%
Half-time / full-time
Pontevedra / Pontevedra32.6%
Draw / Pontevedra17.2%
Draw / Draw14.4%
Arosa / Arosa13.1%
Draw / Arosa8.8%
Questions about Arosa vs Pontevedra
Who is favourite in Arosa vs Pontevedra?
The model gives Pontevedra the best chance at 52%, with the draw at 25%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
Arosa vs Pontevedra correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.4%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 51%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Will both teams score in Arosa vs Pontevedra?
The BTTS yes line is rated 54%. Arosa find the net in 65% of simulated matches and Pontevedra in 82%.
When do Arosa play Pontevedra?
Arosa vs Pontevedra starts at 20:00 UTC on Tuesday, 27 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.