Copa del Rey
AntequeraHomeDLDWL
2:0Half-time 1:0
ÁguilasAwayDLDLD412732
Antequera winDrawÁguilas win
AntequeraHomeDLDWLÁguilasAwayDLDLD- Kick-off Thu 29 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.56 1.37 : 1.19
- Favourite
- 41% Antequera
- Over 2.5 goals
- 47% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 53% model chance
- Prices compared
- 6 in the odds table
Antequera vs Águilas betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.40 | 3.32 | 2.84 | 1.99 | 1.76 | 1.76 | 1.96 | Bet |
 22Bet | 2.03 | 3.26 | 3.71 | 2.01 | 1.80 | 1.75 | 2.01 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 2.02 | 3.30 | 3.40 | 2.02 | 1.73 | 1.78 | 1.88 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 2.11 | 3.38 | 3.33 | 2.11 | 1.73 | 1.77 | 1.95 | Bet |
 Melbet | 2.03 | 3.26 | 3.71 | 2.01 | 1.80 | 1.75 | 2.01 | Bet |
 Stake | 2.06 | 3.25 | 3.40 | 1.92 | 1.75 | 1.76 | 1.88 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Antequera to win partner prices
1xBet pay the best Antequera price at 2.40, Betwinner lead the draw at 3.38 and 22Bet have Águilas longest at 3.71.
The best-price payout across the three results is 101.8%, several points better than any single book offers here.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 2.11 (Betwinner) and under 2.5 1.80 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 1.78 (BC.Game) and no 2.01 (22Bet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
73%
Our prediction
Antequera or Águilas (no draw)
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
53% chance1.80
BTTSBoth teams to score
53% chance1.78
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
73% chance1.38fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance7.94fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Antequera, full-time Antequera
24% chance4.13fair
First halfFirst-half goal
68% chance1.46fair
Antequera vs Águilas odds movement
Antequera win2.40unchanged
Draw3.38-0.02
Águilas win3.71unchanged
Over 2.5 goals2.11unchanged
Under 2.5 goals1.80unchanged
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 12:14 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
Antequera vs Águilas prediction
Antequera vs Águilas prediction, who wins and at what price
Antequera vs Águilas prediction for the Copa del Rey on Thursday, 29 October 2026: the model makes Antequera marginally ahead at 41%, with the draw at 27% and Águilas at 33%.
Expected goals are 1.37 for Antequera and 1.19 for Águilas, a total of 2.56, which puts over 2.5 goals at 47% and both teams to score at 53%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Antequera or Águilas (no draw) is the main selection, rated 73%. The best price in our comparison is 1.31 at 22Bet, which implies 76%, so the model sits 3 points below the market.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Antequera vs Águilas.
Form check: Antequera have won 1 of their last 5 with 6 scored and 6 conceded, Águilas 0 of 5 scoring 4 and conceding 7.
How many goals in Antequera vs Águilas? Lines, BTTS and scorelines
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 73%, over 2.5 at 47%, over 3.5 at 26%; under 2.5 is 53% and under 3.5 is 75%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 53%, best priced 1.80 at 22Bet.
The chance of both teams scoring is 53%, built from Antequera scoring in 75% of runs and Águilas in 70%; clean sheets come at 30% for Antequera and 25% for Águilas.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Antequera vs Águilas: 1-1 (12.6%), 1-0 (10.6%) and 0-1 (9.2%).
With the top scoreline at 12.6%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Antequera vs Águilas; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Antequera, full-time Antequera leads at 24%. A goal before the break is rated 68%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market for Antequera vs Águilas
The grid built from 1.37 and 1.19 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Antequera to win41%2.40
Draw27%3.38
Águilas to win33%3.71
Antequera, draw no bet56%fair 1.80
Águilas, draw no bet45%fair 2.25
Double chance
Antequera or draw67%1.39
Águilas or draw59%1.74
Antequera or Águilas (no draw)73%1.31
Goals
Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.08
Over 1.5 goals73%fair 1.38
Over 2.5 goals47%2.11
Over 3.5 goals26%fair 3.92
Over 4.5 goals12%fair 8.55
Under 1.5 goals28%fair 3.64
Under 2.5 goals53%1.80
Under 3.5 goals75%fair 1.34
BTTS
Both teams to score53%1.78
Not both teams to score47%2.01
Halves
First-half goal68%fair 1.46
Over 1.5 first-half goals32%fair 3.13
Second-half goal76%fair 1.32
Team goals
Antequera to score75%fair 1.34
Águilas to score70%fair 1.44
Antequera clean sheet30%fair 3.29
Águilas clean sheet25%fair 3.94
Antequera to win to nil28%fair 3.57
Águilas to win to nil23%fair 4.27
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-112.6%
1-010.6%
0-19.2%
2-18.6%
0-07.7%
1-27.5%
Half-time / full-time
Antequera / Antequera24.2%
Águilas / Águilas18.6%
Draw / Draw16.4%
Draw / Antequera14.6%
Draw / Águilas12%
Questions about Antequera vs Águilas
Who is favourite in Antequera vs Águilas?
The model gives Antequera the best chance at 41%, with the draw at 27%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
Antequera vs Águilas correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.6%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 47% backs the same picture with less variance.
Antequera vs Águilas both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 53%. Antequera find the net in 75% of simulated matches and Águilas in 70%.
What time does Antequera vs Águilas kick off?
Antequera vs Águilas starts at 19:00 UTC on Thursday, 29 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.