Skip to the predictions
Live 12 UTC
Copa del Rey Round of 128 Wednesday, 4 November 2026 Kick-off
AmorebietaHome
Wed 4 Nov
UD LogroñésAwayWLDWL
232552
Amorebieta winDrawUD Logroñés win
Kick-off
Wed 4 Nov
Expected goals
2.86
1.10 : 1.76
Favourite
52%
UD Logroñés
Over 2.5 goals
54%
model chance
Both teams to score
57%
model chance
Prices compared
5
in the odds table

Amorebieta vs UD Logroñés odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet4.083.681.811.722.051.652.11Bet
22Bet3.623.441.991.931.811.761.96Bet
Betwinner3.623.441.991.931.811.761.96Bet
Melbet3.623.441.991.921.791.791.92Bet
Stake3.853.551.79----Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

Ad

UD Logroñés to win partner prices

1xBet pay the best Amorebieta price at 4.08, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.68 and 22Bet have UD Logroñés longest at 1.99.

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 98.1%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.93 (22Bet) and under 2.5 2.05 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.79 (Melbet) and no 2.11 (1xBet).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

52%

Our prediction

UD Logroñés to win
StrongExpected goals 1.10 : 1.76+4.3% against the best price
Double chanceUD Logroñés or draw
77% chance1.26
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
54% chance1.93
BTTSBoth teams to score
57% chance1.79
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
78% chance1.28fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance9.01fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time UD Logroñés, full-time UD Logroñés
33% chance3.04fair

Amorebieta vs UD Logroñés prediction

Amorebieta vs UD Logroñés prediction, who wins and at what price

UD Logroñés are a narrow favourite in the Amorebieta vs UD Logroñés prediction, rated 52% to win this Copa del Rey match on Wednesday, 4 November 2026. Amorebieta sit at 23% and the draw at 25%.

The goal expectancy is 2.86 in total, split 1.10 to Amorebieta and 1.76 to UD Logroñés. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 54% and both teams to score 57%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

UD Logroñés to win is the main selection, rated 52%. At 1.99 with 22Bet the market prices it at 50%, against 52% from the model.

A 4.3% edge on a flat stake is the margin here, so the selection qualifies as value and not only as the likely result.

UD Logroñés or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 77% chance, priced 1.26.

Amorebieta vs UD Logroñés goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast

On the goal lines Amorebieta vs UD Logroñés reads 78% for over 1.5, 54% for over 2.5 and 32% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 46%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 54%, best priced 1.93 at 22Bet.

The chance of both teams scoring is 57%, built from Amorebieta scoring in 67% of runs and UD Logroñés in 83%; clean sheets come at 17% for Amorebieta and 33% for UD Logroñés.

Correct score: 1-1 leads at 11.1%, then 0-1 at 10.1% and 1-2 at 9.8%.

With the top scoreline at 11.1%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Amorebieta vs UD Logroñés; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

Half-time / full-time: half-time UD Logroñés, full-time UD Logroñés is the top combination at 33%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 72%.

All markets, Amorebieta vs UD Logroñés

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Amorebieta vs UD Logroñés, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

Amorebieta to win23%4.08
Draw25%3.68
UD Logroñés to win52%1.99
Amorebieta, draw no bet30%fair 3.30
UD Logroñés, draw no bet70%fair 1.43

Double chance

Amorebieta or draw48%1.93
UD Logroñés or draw77%1.26
Amorebieta or UD Logroñés (no draw)75%1.28

Goals

Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.06
Over 1.5 goals78%fair 1.28
Over 2.5 goals54%1.93
Over 3.5 goals32%fair 3.12
Over 4.5 goals16%fair 6.17
Under 1.5 goals22%fair 4.52
Under 2.5 goals46%2.05
Under 3.5 goals68%fair 1.47

BTTS

Both teams to score57%1.79
Not both teams to score43%2.11

Halves

First-half goal72%fair 1.38
Over 1.5 first-half goals37%fair 2.71
Second-half goal79%fair 1.26

Team goals

Amorebieta to score67%fair 1.50
UD Logroñés to score83%fair 1.21
Amorebieta clean sheet17%fair 5.81
UD Logroñés clean sheet33%fair 3.00
Amorebieta to win to nil16%fair 6.33
UD Logroñés to win to nil31%fair 3.27

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

1-111.1%
0-110.1%
1-29.8%
0-28.9%
1-06.3%
2-16.1%

Half-time / full-time

UD Logroñés / UD Logroñés32.9%
Draw / UD Logroñés17%
Draw / Draw13.8%
Amorebieta / Amorebieta13.3%
Draw / Amorebieta8.8%

Questions about Amorebieta vs UD Logroñés

Who is favourite in Amorebieta vs UD Logroñés?

The model gives UD Logroñés the best chance at 52%, with the draw at 25%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.

What is the correct score prediction for Amorebieta vs UD Logroñés?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.1%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 54%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Will both teams score in Amorebieta vs UD Logroñés?

The BTTS yes line is rated 57%. Amorebieta find the net in 67% of simulated matches and UD Logroñés in 83%.

When is Amorebieta vs UD Logroñés and where is the result shown?

Kick-off is 19:00 UTC on Wednesday, 4 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Amorebieta v UD LogroñésUD Logroñés to win, 52%
1.99Bet