Pamplona vs Eibar prediction

Pamplona vs Eibar prediction and best bet

Pamplona host Eibar on Tuesday, 3 November 2026 in the Copa del Rey, and the model has Eibar at 85%, the draw at 10% and Pamplona at 6%: that is the Pamplona vs Eibar prediction in one line.

The goal expectancy is 3.51 in total, split 0.59 to Pamplona and 2.92 to Eibar. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 66% and both teams to score 43%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Our main pick is eibar to win at 85%. The best price in our comparison is 1.22 at 22Bet, which implies 82%, so the model sits 3 points above the market.

A 3.3% edge on a flat stake is the margin here, so the selection qualifies as value and not only as the likely result.

Eibar or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 94% chance, priced 1.02.

With the draw down at 10%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.

Pamplona vs Eibar over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 86%, over 2.5 at 66%, over 3.5 at 47%; under 2.5 is 34% and under 3.5 is 54%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 66%, best priced 1.58 at BC.Game.

The chance of both teams scoring is 43%, built from Pamplona scoring in 45% of runs and Eibar in 95%; clean sheets come at 5% for Pamplona and 55% for Eibar.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Pamplona vs Eibar: 0-2 (12.7%), 0-3 (12.4%) and 0-4 (9.1%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Eibar, full-time Eibar leads at 62%. A goal before the break is rated 79%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.