FAW Championship predictions for every fixture

FAW Championship predictions for the coming round

FAW Championship predictions cover 16 of the next 16 fixtures. 0 of them already carry bookmaker prices. On an average fixture in this round the model makes the favourite a 52% chance, the draw 21%, over 2.5 goals 67% and BTTS 65%.

Expected goals average 3.48 a match, so the goal lines open above 2.5 for most of the round. Home sides are favoured in 8 of the 16 rated fixtures. 3 picks reach banker grade, which needs a chance of 80% or more.

The strongest FAW Championship pick of the round is caerau (Ely) or Pontypridd Town (no draw) in Caerau (Ely) v Pontypridd Town on Fri 6 Nov, rated 79%.

No FAW Championship pick in this round clears the 3% edge bar against the best price, so the value page lists nothing from this competition today. The picks below stand on probability alone.

Each row on the board shows the three-way bar, the pick in green and the best price. The match pages print every market, the six most likely scores and the full FAW Championship odds table.

FAW Championship results and trends, last 60 days

The last 102 FAW Championship matches of the past 60 days produced 32 home wins, 27 draws and 43 away wins. That is a home win rate of 31% and a draw rate of 26%.

Goals averaged 3.40 a match, 1.71 for the home side and 1.70 for the visitors. Over 2.5 goals landed in 61% of matches and over 1.5 in 84%. Both teams scored in 63%, and at least one side kept a clean sheet in 37%.

The highest-scoring match in the window was Afan Lido 5-5 Swansea University on Fri 9 Oct.

The model rates over 2.5 at 67% for the coming round against a 61% strike rate in these results, so the two readings agree.

The results block under the board lists each match with the final score, the half-time score and the pick that was frozen before kick-off, so the trend can be checked line by line.

How the FAW Championship tips have gone

The FAW Championship record starts with the first settled matchday. 0 tips for this competition are already frozen: the 1X2 or double chance line, over 1.5 and over 2.5 goals, both teams to score, the correct score, the half-time/full-time call and the first-half goal line for every rated match inside 40 hours of kick-off.

Once a round has been played, the hit rate, the flat-stake return and the best-performing market for the competition appear in this block. The same figures are broken down by market on the results pages, where every graded tip is listed with its chance and price.

A frozen tip cannot be edited or withdrawn after the freeze, so the FAW Championship record reads the same way as the site-wide one: what was published, then what came in.

FAW Championship odds comparison

No FAW Championship fixture in the coming round is priced yet. Prices usually arrive two to three days before kick-off for a top division and the evening before for cups and lower divisions.

Until then the match pages show the fair price from the model, labelled as such. The edge column stays blank because there is no bookmaker line to measure it against.

Once prices land, each FAW Championship match page lists every bookmaker's 1X2, over/under 2.5 and both teams to score lines with the best in each column marked. Taking the best price on each outcome typically pays two to four points more than a single bookmaker's full line, and partner bookmakers carry a Bet button.