FAW Championship
PenrhyncochHomeLLLL
v
Mold AlexandraAwayWLWW131671
Penrhyncoch winDrawMold Alexandra win
PenrhyncochHomeLLLLMold AlexandraAwayWLWW- Kick-off Sat 24 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.50 0.97 : 2.53
- Favourite
- 71% Mold Alexandra
- Over 2.5 goals
- 67% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 57% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Penrhyncoch vs Mold Alexandra betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 7.22 | 4.70 | 1.32 | 1.41 | 2.52 | 1.63 | 2.10 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Mold Alexandra to win partner prices
1xBet pay the best Penrhyncoch price at 7.22, 1xBet lead the draw at 4.70 and 1xBet have Mold Alexandra longest at 1.32.
The best-price payout across the three results is 90.2%, several points better than any single book offers here.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.41 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.52 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.63 (1xBet) and no 2.10 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
71%
Our prediction
Mold Alexandra to win
Double chanceMold Alexandra or draw
87% chance1.03
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
67% chance1.41
BTTSBoth teams to score
57% chance1.63
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
86% chance1.16fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-2
10% chance10.31fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Mold Alexandra, full-time Mold Alexandra
49% chance2.05fair
Penrhyncoch vs Mold Alexandra prediction
Penrhyncoch vs Mold Alexandra prediction, who wins and at what price
Penrhyncoch vs Mold Alexandra prediction for the FAW Championship on Saturday, 24 October 2026: the model makes Mold Alexandra the clear favourite at 71%, with the draw at 16% and Penrhyncoch at 13%.
Penrhyncoch are expected to score 0.97 and Mold Alexandra 2.53, so the total line is 3.50 goals; over 2.5 lands at 67% and BTTS at 57%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Our main pick is mold Alexandra to win at 71%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.32. That price implies 76%, 5 points over the model figure.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Penrhyncoch vs Mold Alexandra.
Mold Alexandra or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 87% chance, priced 1.03.
With the draw down at 16%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.
Penrhyncoch average 0.5 goals scored and 2.5 conceded across their last 4, Mold Alexandra 2.8 and 1.2 across 4.
Penrhyncoch vs Mold Alexandra over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score
On the goal lines Penrhyncoch vs Mold Alexandra reads 86% for over 1.5, 67% for over 2.5 and 46% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 33%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 67%, best priced 1.41 at 1xBet.
The chance of both teams scoring is 57%, built from Penrhyncoch scoring in 62% of runs and Mold Alexandra in 92%; clean sheets come at 8% for Penrhyncoch and 38% for Mold Alexandra.
The most likely scoreline is 0-2 at 9.7%, followed by 1-2 (9.4%) and 0-3 (8.2%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 9.7% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Mold Alexandra, full-time Mold Alexandra leads at 49%. A goal before the break is rated 79%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
All markets, Penrhyncoch vs Mold Alexandra
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Penrhyncoch vs Mold Alexandra, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Penrhyncoch to win13%7.22
Draw16%4.70
Mold Alexandra to win71%1.32
Penrhyncoch, draw no bet15%fair 6.58
Mold Alexandra, draw no bet85%fair 1.18
Double chance
Penrhyncoch or draw29%2.85
Mold Alexandra or draw87%1.03
Penrhyncoch or Mold Alexandra (no draw)84%1.12
Goals
Over 0.5 goals97%fair 1.03
Over 1.5 goals86%fair 1.16
Over 2.5 goals67%1.41
Over 3.5 goals46%fair 2.16
Over 4.5 goals27%fair 3.65
Under 1.5 goals14%fair 7.35
Under 2.5 goals33%2.52
Under 3.5 goals54%fair 1.86
BTTS
Both teams to score57%1.63
Not both teams to score43%2.10
Halves
First-half goal79%fair 1.26
Over 1.5 first-half goals47%fair 2.14
Second-half goal85%fair 1.17
Team goals
Penrhyncoch to score62%fair 1.61
Mold Alexandra to score92%fair 1.09
Penrhyncoch clean sheet8%fair 12.50
Mold Alexandra clean sheet38%fair 2.64
Penrhyncoch to win to nil7%fair 13.70
Mold Alexandra to win to nil35%fair 2.87
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
0-29.7%
1-29.4%
0-38.2%
1-37.9%
0-17.6%
1-17.4%
Half-time / full-time
Mold Alexandra / Mold Alexandra48.7%
Draw / Mold Alexandra18.8%
Draw / Draw8.9%
Penrhyncoch / Penrhyncoch6.8%
Draw / Penrhyncoch4.6%
Questions about Penrhyncoch vs Mold Alexandra
Who is favourite in Penrhyncoch vs Mold Alexandra?
The model gives Mold Alexandra the best chance at 71%, with the draw at 16%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
What is the correct score prediction for Penrhyncoch vs Mold Alexandra?
0-2 is the most likely scoreline at 9.7%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 67% backs the same picture with less variance.
Is BTTS likely in Penrhyncoch vs Mold Alexandra?
The BTTS yes line is rated 57%. Penrhyncoch find the net in 62% of simulated matches and Mold Alexandra in 92%.
What time does Penrhyncoch vs Mold Alexandra kick off?
Penrhyncoch vs Mold Alexandra starts at 13:30 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.