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FAW Championship South - 13 Friday, 30 October 2026 FT
Pontypridd TownHomeLWDDW
4:0Half-time 2:0
llanelli AFCAwayLLLLL
82108
Pontypridd Town winDrawllanelli AFC win
Kick-off
Fri 30 Oct
Expected goals
4.41
3.45 : 0.96
Favourite
82%
Pontypridd Town
Over 2.5 goals
79%
model chance
Both teams to score
58%
model chance
Prices compared
5
in the odds table

Best odds for Pontypridd Town vs llanelli AFC

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.146.7510.701.213.581.612.13Bet
22Bet1.226.899.541.253.751.602.19Bet
BC.Game1.176.8011.001.253.651.672.00Bet
Betwinner1.226.899.54--1.602.19Bet
Melbet1.226.899.54--1.602.19Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Pontypridd Town to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the Pontypridd Town vs llanelli AFC prediction: Pontypridd Town 1.22 (Melbet), draw 6.89 (Melbet), llanelli AFC 11.00 (BC.Game).

The best-price payout across the three results is 94.7%, several points better than any single book offers here.

For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.25 (BC.Game) and under 2.5 3.75 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 1.67 (BC.Game) and no 2.19 (22Bet).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

82%

Our prediction

Pontypridd Town to win
BankerExpected goals 3.45 : 0.96-0.4% against the best price
Double chancePontypridd Town or draw
92% chance1.04
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
79% chance1.25
BTTSBoth teams to score
58% chance1.67
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
93% chance1.07fair
ScorelineCorrect score 3-0
8% chance12.05fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Pontypridd Town, full-time Pontypridd Town
62% chance1.62fair

Pontypridd Town vs llanelli AFC prediction

Pontypridd Town vs llanelli AFC prediction, who wins and at what price

The Pontypridd Town vs llanelli AFC prediction leans to Pontypridd Town: 82% against 8% for llanelli AFC, with 10% left for the draw, in the FAW Championship on Friday, 30 October 2026.

Expected goals are 3.45 for Pontypridd Town and 0.96 for llanelli AFC, a total of 4.41, which puts over 2.5 goals at 79% and both teams to score at 58%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

The pick for Pontypridd Town vs llanelli AFC is pontypridd Town to win, a 82% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.22 at Melbet, which implies 82%, so the model sits 0 points below the market.

For a safer line, pontypridd Town or draw covers 92% of outcomes at 1.04.

The draw sits at only 10%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.

Over the last 5 matches Pontypridd Town stand at 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; llanelli AFC show 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats in 5.

Goals forecast for Pontypridd Town vs llanelli AFC with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

On the goal lines Pontypridd Town vs llanelli AFC reads 93% for over 1.5, 79% for over 2.5 and 64% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 21%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 79%; BC.Game pay 1.25.

BTTS yes stands at 58%. Pontypridd Town score in 97% of simulations against a 3% clean sheet for llanelli AFC; llanelli AFC score in 62% while Pontypridd Town shut them out 38% of the time.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Pontypridd Town vs llanelli AFC: 3-0 (8.3%), 3-1 (8%) and 2-0 (7.2%).

With the top scoreline at 8.3%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Pontypridd Town vs llanelli AFC; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Pontypridd Town, full-time Pontypridd Town is the top combination at 62%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 86%.

All markets, Pontypridd Town vs llanelli AFC

The grid built from 3.45 and 0.96 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Pontypridd Town to win82%1.22
Draw10%6.89
llanelli AFC to win8%11.00
Pontypridd Town, draw no bet91%fair 1.10
llanelli AFC, draw no bet9%fair 11.11

Double chance

Pontypridd Town or draw92%1.04
llanelli AFC or draw19%4.20
Pontypridd Town or llanelli AFC (no draw)90%1.08

Goals

Over 0.5 goals99%fair 1.02
Over 1.5 goals93%fair 1.07
Over 2.5 goals79%1.25
Over 3.5 goals64%fair 1.56
Over 4.5 goals45%fair 2.23
Under 1.5 goals7%fair 14.49
Under 2.5 goals21%3.75
Under 3.5 goals36%fair 2.77

BTTS

Both teams to score58%1.67
Not both teams to score42%2.19

Halves

First-half goal86%fair 1.16
Over 1.5 first-half goals59%fair 1.69
Second-half goal91%fair 1.10

Team goals

Pontypridd Town to score97%fair 1.03
llanelli AFC to score62%fair 1.62
Pontypridd Town clean sheet38%fair 2.61
llanelli AFC clean sheet3%fair 31.25
Pontypridd Town to win to nil35%fair 2.84
llanelli AFC to win to nil3%fair 34.48

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

3-08.3%
3-18%
2-07.2%
4-07.2%
2-16.9%
4-16.9%

Half-time / full-time

Pontypridd Town / Pontypridd Town61.8%
Draw / Pontypridd Town17.2%
Draw / Draw5%
llanelli AFC / Pontypridd Town3.9%
llanelli AFC / llanelli AFC3.5%

Questions about Pontypridd Town vs llanelli AFC

Who is favourite in Pontypridd Town vs llanelli AFC?

The model gives Pontypridd Town the best chance at 82%, with the draw at 10%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.

Pontypridd Town vs llanelli AFC correct score: what does the model say?

3-0 is the most likely scoreline at 8.3%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 79% backs the same picture with less variance.

Will both teams score in Pontypridd Town vs llanelli AFC?

The BTTS yes line is rated 58%. Pontypridd Town find the net in 97% of simulated matches and llanelli AFC in 62%.

What time does Pontypridd Town vs llanelli AFC kick off?

Kick-off is 19:30 UTC on Friday, 30 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Pontypridd Town v llanelli AFCPontypridd Town to win, 82%
1.22Bet