FAW Championship
Baglan DragonsHomeLWDL
0:1Half-time 0:0
Treowen StarsAwayLLLW462430
Baglan Dragons winDrawTreowen Stars win
Baglan DragonsHomeLWDLTreowen StarsAwayLLLW- Kick-off Fri 30 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.17 1.78 : 1.39
- Favourite
- 46% Baglan Dragons
- Over 2.5 goals
- 61% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 64% model chance
- Prices compared
- 3 in the odds table
Baglan Dragons vs Treowen Stars betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 BC.Game | 2.02 | 3.65 | 3.00 | 1.55 | 2.34 | 1.48 | 2.36 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 1.98 | 3.58 | 3.08 | 1.54 | 2.27 | 1.47 | 2.44 | Bet |
 Melbet | 1.98 | 3.58 | 3.08 | 1.54 | 2.27 | 1.47 | 2.44 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Baglan Dragons to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Baglan Dragons vs Treowen Stars prediction: Baglan Dragons 2.02 (BC.Game), draw 3.65 (BC.Game), Treowen Stars 3.08 (Melbet).
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 91.4%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.55 (BC.Game) and under 2.5 2.34 (BC.Game); both teams to score yes pays 1.48 (BC.Game) and no 2.44 (Melbet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
76%
Our prediction
Baglan Dragons or Treowen Stars (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
61% chance1.55
BTTSBoth teams to score
64% chance1.48
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
83% chance1.21fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
10% chance9.62fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Baglan Dragons, full-time Baglan Dragons
29% chance3.46fair
First halfFirst-half goal
76% chance1.32fair
Baglan Dragons vs Treowen Stars prediction
Our Baglan Dragons vs Treowen Stars prediction and pick
Baglan Dragons vs Treowen Stars prediction for the FAW Championship on Friday, 30 October 2026: the model makes Baglan Dragons marginally ahead at 46%, with the draw at 24% and Treowen Stars at 29%.
Baglan Dragons are expected to score 1.78 and Treowen Stars 1.39, so the total line is 3.17 goals; over 2.5 lands at 61% and BTTS at 64%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
Baglan Dragons or Treowen Stars (no draw) is the main selection, rated 76%. The best price in our comparison is 1.21 at BC.Game, which implies 83%, so the model sits 7 points below the market.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Baglan Dragons vs Treowen Stars.
Baglan Dragons average 1.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded across their last 4, Treowen Stars 1.0 and 2.8 across 4.
Baglan Dragons vs Treowen Stars over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score
On the goal lines Baglan Dragons vs Treowen Stars reads 83% for over 1.5, 61% for over 2.5 and 39% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 39%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 61%; BC.Game pay 1.55.
Both teams to score is 64%: Baglan Dragons find the net in 83% of simulated matches and Treowen Stars in 75%. Baglan Dragons keep a clean sheet 25% of the time and Treowen Stars 17%.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 64%.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 10.4%, followed by 2-1 (9.2%) and 1-0 (7.5%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Baglan Dragons, full-time Baglan Dragons leads at 29%. A goal before the break is rated 76%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market for Baglan Dragons vs Treowen Stars
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 46% / 24% / 29% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Baglan Dragons to win46%2.02
Draw24%3.65
Treowen Stars to win29%3.08
Baglan Dragons, draw no bet61%fair 1.63
Treowen Stars, draw no bet39%fair 2.58
Double chance
Baglan Dragons or draw71%1.30
Treowen Stars or draw54%1.65
Baglan Dragons or Treowen Stars (no draw)76%1.21
Goals
Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals83%fair 1.21
Over 2.5 goals61%1.55
Over 3.5 goals39%fair 2.56
Over 4.5 goals21%fair 4.67
Under 1.5 goals18%fair 5.71
Under 2.5 goals39%2.34
Under 3.5 goals61%fair 1.64
BTTS
Both teams to score64%1.48
Not both teams to score36%2.44
Halves
First-half goal76%fair 1.32
Over 1.5 first-half goals42%fair 2.40
Second-half goal83%fair 1.21
Team goals
Baglan Dragons to score83%fair 1.20
Treowen Stars to score75%fair 1.33
Baglan Dragons clean sheet25%fair 4.02
Treowen Stars clean sheet17%fair 5.92
Baglan Dragons to win to nil23%fair 4.37
Treowen Stars to win to nil16%fair 6.45
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-110.4%
2-19.2%
1-07.5%
1-27.2%
2-06.7%
2-26.4%
Half-time / full-time
Baglan Dragons / Baglan Dragons28.9%
Treowen Stars / Treowen Stars17.6%
Draw / Baglan Dragons14.8%
Draw / Draw12.5%
Draw / Treowen Stars10.3%
Questions about Baglan Dragons vs Treowen Stars
Baglan Dragons or Treowen Stars: which side does the model back?
The model gives Baglan Dragons the best chance at 46%, with the draw at 24%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
What is the correct score prediction for Baglan Dragons vs Treowen Stars?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10.4%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 61% backs the same picture with less variance.
Is BTTS likely in Baglan Dragons vs Treowen Stars?
The BTTS yes line is rated 64%. Baglan Dragons find the net in 83% of simulated matches and Treowen Stars in 75%.
When do Baglan Dragons play Treowen Stars?
Baglan Dragons vs Treowen Stars starts at 19:30 UTC on Friday, 30 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.