FAW Championship
Denbigh TownHomeLLWW
Fri 6 Nov
Mold AlexandraAwayWLWW252055
Denbigh Town winDrawMold Alexandra win
Denbigh TownHomeLLWWMold AlexandraAwayWLWW- Kick-off Fri 6 Nov
- Expected goals
- 3.97 1.58 : 2.39
- Favourite
- 56% Mold Alexandra
- Over 2.5 goals
- 75% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 72% model chance
- Prices compared
- - awaiting lines
Denbigh Town vs Mold Alexandra odds comparison
No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.
No bookmaker lines are stored for this match yet. Prices appear once the feed carries them, usually within 48 hours of kick-off for the major competitions and the evening before for smaller ones.
56%
Our prediction
Mold Alexandra to win
1.80fair
Double chanceDenbigh Town or Mold Alexandra (no draw)
81% chance1.24fair
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
75% chance1.33fair
BTTSBoth teams to score
72% chance1.39fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
91% chance1.10fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-2
9% chance11.76fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Mold Alexandra, full-time Mold Alexandra
36% chance2.75fair
Denbigh Town vs Mold Alexandra prediction
Denbigh Town vs Mold Alexandra prediction and best bet
Mold Alexandra are a narrow favourite in the Denbigh Town vs Mold Alexandra prediction, rated 56% to win this FAW Championship match on Friday, 6 November 2026. Denbigh Town sit at 25% and the draw at 20%.
Denbigh Town are expected to score 1.58 and Mold Alexandra 2.39, so the total line is 3.97 goals; over 2.5 lands at 75% and BTTS at 72%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
The pick for Denbigh Town vs Mold Alexandra is mold Alexandra to win, a 56% chance. No bookmaker has priced it yet, so the fair price from the model is shown instead.
For a safer line, denbigh Town or Mold Alexandra (no draw) covers 81% of outcomes.
With the draw down at 20%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.
Denbigh Town average 2.0 goals scored and 2.2 conceded across their last 4, Mold Alexandra 2.8 and 1.2 across 4.
Denbigh Town vs Mold Alexandra over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score
On the goal lines Denbigh Town vs Mold Alexandra reads 91% for over 1.5, 75% for over 2.5 and 56% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 25%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 75%.
The chance of both teams scoring is 72%, built from Denbigh Town scoring in 79% of runs and Mold Alexandra in 91%; clean sheets come at 9% for Denbigh Town and 21% for Mold Alexandra.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 72%.
Correct score: 1-2 leads at 8.5%, then 1-1 at 7.1% and 1-3 at 6.8%.
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Mold Alexandra, full-time Mold Alexandra is the top combination at 36%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 83%.
Every market rated for Denbigh Town vs Mold Alexandra
The grid built from 1.58 and 2.39 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Denbigh Town to win25%fair 4.00
Draw20%fair 5.13
Mold Alexandra to win56%fair 1.80
Denbigh Town, draw no bet31%fair 3.23
Mold Alexandra, draw no bet69%fair 1.45
Double chance
Denbigh Town or draw45%fair 2.25
Mold Alexandra or draw75%fair 1.33
Denbigh Town or Mold Alexandra (no draw)81%fair 1.24
Goals
Over 0.5 goals98%fair 1.02
Over 1.5 goals91%fair 1.10
Over 2.5 goals75%fair 1.33
Over 3.5 goals56%fair 1.79
Over 4.5 goals37%fair 2.74
Under 1.5 goals9%fair 10.64
Under 2.5 goals25%fair 4.05
Under 3.5 goals44%fair 2.27
BTTS
Both teams to score72%fair 1.39
Not both teams to score28%fair 3.53
Halves
First-half goal83%fair 1.20
Over 1.5 first-half goals53%fair 1.88
Second-half goal89%fair 1.13
Team goals
Denbigh Town to score79%fair 1.26
Mold Alexandra to score91%fair 1.10
Denbigh Town clean sheet9%fair 10.87
Mold Alexandra clean sheet21%fair 4.85
Denbigh Town to win to nil8%fair 11.90
Mold Alexandra to win to nil19%fair 5.29
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-28.5%
1-17.1%
1-36.8%
2-26.7%
2-15.6%
0-25.4%
Half-time / full-time
Mold Alexandra / Mold Alexandra36.3%
Draw / Mold Alexandra15.1%
Denbigh Town / Denbigh Town14.6%
Draw / Draw9.1%
Draw / Denbigh Town8%
Questions about Denbigh Town vs Mold Alexandra
Who is favourite in Denbigh Town vs Mold Alexandra?
The model gives Mold Alexandra the best chance at 56%, with the draw at 20%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
What is the correct score prediction for Denbigh Town vs Mold Alexandra?
1-2 is the most likely scoreline at 8.5%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 75%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Will both teams score in Denbigh Town vs Mold Alexandra?
The BTTS yes line is rated 72%. Denbigh Town find the net in 79% of simulated matches and Mold Alexandra in 91%.
When is Denbigh Town vs Mold Alexandra and where is the result shown?
Denbigh Town vs Mold Alexandra starts at 19:45 UTC on Friday, 6 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.