FAW Championship
Cardiff DraconiansHomeLDDLW
2:0Half-time 1:0
Afan LidoAwayDLDWL382438
Cardiff Draconians winDrawAfan Lido win
Cardiff DraconiansHomeLDDLWAfan LidoAwayDLDWL- Kick-off Sat 31 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.44 1.71 : 1.73
- Favourite
- 38% Afan Lido
- Over 2.5 goals
- 66% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 68% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
Best odds for Cardiff Draconians vs Afan Lido
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.38 | 3.58 | 2.38 | 1.41 | 2.52 | 1.38 | 2.74 | Bet |
 22Bet | 2.38 | 3.58 | 2.38 | 1.41 | 2.52 | 1.38 | 2.74 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 2.40 | 3.80 | 2.38 | 1.47 | 2.52 | 1.40 | 2.60 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 2.38 | 3.58 | 2.38 | 1.41 | 2.52 | 1.38 | 2.74 | Bet |
 Melbet | 2.38 | 3.58 | 2.38 | 1.41 | 2.52 | 1.38 | 2.74 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Afan Lido to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Cardiff Draconians vs Afan Lido are 2.40 for Cardiff Draconians at BC.Game, 3.80 for the draw at BC.Game and 2.38 for Afan Lido at 1xBet.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 90.9%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.47 (BC.Game) and under 2.5 2.52 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 1.40 (BC.Game) and no 2.74 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
76%
Our prediction
Cardiff Draconians or Afan Lido (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
66% chance1.47
BTTSBoth teams to score
68% chance1.40
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
86% chance1.17fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
10% chance10.53fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Afan Lido, full-time Afan Lido
24% chance4.20fair
First halfFirst-half goal
79% chance1.27fair
Cardiff Draconians vs Afan Lido prediction
Cardiff Draconians vs Afan Lido prediction, who wins and at what price
Nothing separates the sides in the Cardiff Draconians vs Afan Lido prediction for Saturday, 31 October 2026: 38% home, 24% draw and 38% away in the FAW Championship. A match this tight rewards the double chance and the goal markets more than a straight pick.
The goal expectancy is 3.44 in total, split 1.71 to Cardiff Draconians and 1.73 to Afan Lido. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 66% and both teams to score 68%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Cardiff Draconians or Afan Lido (no draw) is the main selection, rated 76%. The best price in our comparison is 1.19 at BC.Game, which implies 84%, so the model sits 8 points below the market.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Cardiff Draconians vs Afan Lido.
Cardiff Draconians average 1.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded across their last 5, Afan Lido 1.6 and 1.8 across 5.
Goals forecast for Cardiff Draconians vs Afan Lido with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 86%, over 2.5 at 66%, over 3.5 at 45%; under 2.5 is 34% and under 3.5 is 55%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 66%, best priced 1.47 at BC.Game.
BTTS yes stands at 68%. Cardiff Draconians score in 82% of simulations against a 18% clean sheet for Afan Lido; Afan Lido score in 82% while Cardiff Draconians shut them out 18% of the time.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 68%.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 9.5%, followed by 1-2 (8.2%) and 2-1 (8.1%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 9.5% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Afan Lido, full-time Afan Lido leads at 24%. A goal before the break is rated 79%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
All markets, Cardiff Draconians vs Afan Lido
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Cardiff Draconians vs Afan Lido, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Cardiff Draconians to win38%2.40
Draw24%3.80
Afan Lido to win38%2.38
Cardiff Draconians, draw no bet50%fair 2.02
Afan Lido, draw no bet50%fair 1.98
Double chance
Cardiff Draconians or draw62%1.47
Afan Lido or draw62%1.46
Cardiff Draconians or Afan Lido (no draw)76%1.19
Goals
Over 0.5 goals97%fair 1.03
Over 1.5 goals86%fair 1.17
Over 2.5 goals66%1.47
Over 3.5 goals45%fair 2.22
Over 4.5 goals26%fair 3.80
Under 1.5 goals14%fair 7.04
Under 2.5 goals34%2.52
Under 3.5 goals55%fair 1.82
BTTS
Both teams to score68%1.40
Not both teams to score32%2.74
Halves
First-half goal79%fair 1.27
Over 1.5 first-half goals46%fair 2.18
Second-half goal85%fair 1.18
Team goals
Cardiff Draconians to score82%fair 1.22
Afan Lido to score82%fair 1.22
Cardiff Draconians clean sheet18%fair 5.65
Afan Lido clean sheet18%fair 5.52
Cardiff Draconians to win to nil16%fair 6.13
Afan Lido to win to nil17%fair 6.02
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-19.5%
1-28.2%
2-18.1%
2-27%
0-15.5%
1-05.5%
Half-time / full-time
Afan Lido / Afan Lido23.8%
Cardiff Draconians / Cardiff Draconians23.2%
Draw / Afan Lido12.4%
Draw / Cardiff Draconians12.2%
Draw / Draw11.5%
Questions about Cardiff Draconians vs Afan Lido
Who will win Cardiff Draconians vs Afan Lido?
The model gives Afan Lido the best chance at 38%, with the draw at 24%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
What is the correct score prediction for Cardiff Draconians vs Afan Lido?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9.5%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 66% backs the same picture with less variance.
Will both teams score in Cardiff Draconians vs Afan Lido?
The BTTS yes line is rated 68%. Cardiff Draconians find the net in 82% of simulated matches and Afan Lido in 82%.
When is Cardiff Draconians vs Afan Lido and where is the result shown?
Kick-off is 14:00 UTC on Saturday, 31 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.