FAW Championship
CaerswsHomeWDDDD
2:2Half-time 1:0
GuilsfieldAwayWWLDD482329
Caersws winDrawGuilsfield win
CaerswsHomeWDDDDGuilsfieldAwayWWLDD- Kick-off Sat 24 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.33 1.88 : 1.45
- Favourite
- 48% Caersws
- Over 2.5 goals
- 65% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 65% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Best odds for Caersws vs Guilsfield
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.95 | 3.74 | 3.04 | 1.46 | 2.38 | 1.43 | 2.56 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Caersws to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Caersws vs Guilsfield are 1.95 for Caersws at 1xBet, 3.74 for the draw at 1xBet and 3.04 for Guilsfield at 1xBet.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 90.2%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.46 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.38 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.43 (1xBet) and no 2.56 (1xBet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
77%
Our prediction
Caersws or Guilsfield (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
65% chance1.46
BTTSBoth teams to score
65% chance1.43
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
85% chance1.18fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
10% chance10.20fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Caersws, full-time Caersws
30% chance3.36fair
First halfFirst-half goal
78% chance1.29fair
Caersws vs Guilsfield prediction
Caersws vs Guilsfield prediction, who wins and at what price
Caersws host Guilsfield on Saturday, 24 October 2026 in the FAW Championship, and the model has Caersws at 48%, the draw at 23% and Guilsfield at 29%: that is the Caersws vs Guilsfield prediction in one line.
The goal expectancy is 3.33 in total, split 1.88 to Caersws and 1.45 to Guilsfield. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 65% and both teams to score 65%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
The pick for Caersws vs Guilsfield is caersws or Guilsfield (no draw), a 77% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.19 at 1xBet, which implies 84%, so the model sits 7 points below the market.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Caersws average 2.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded across their last 5, Guilsfield 1.4 and 1.2 across 5.
Caersws vs Guilsfield over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 85%, over 2.5 at 65%, over 3.5 at 43%; under 2.5 is 36% and under 3.5 is 57%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 65%; 1xBet pay 1.46.
Both teams to score is 65%: Caersws find the net in 85% of simulated matches and Guilsfield in 77%. Caersws keep a clean sheet 24% of the time and Guilsfield 15%.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 65%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Caersws vs Guilsfield: 1-1 (9.8%), 2-1 (9.2%) and 1-2 (7.1%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Caersws, full-time Caersws is the top combination at 30%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 78%.
Every market rated for Caersws vs Guilsfield
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Caersws vs Guilsfield, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Caersws to win48%1.95
Draw23%3.74
Guilsfield to win29%3.04
Caersws, draw no bet62%fair 1.62
Guilsfield, draw no bet38%fair 2.62
Double chance
Caersws or draw71%1.28
Guilsfield or draw52%1.68
Caersws or Guilsfield (no draw)77%1.19
Goals
Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals85%fair 1.18
Over 2.5 goals65%1.46
Over 3.5 goals43%fair 2.35
Over 4.5 goals24%fair 4.12
Under 1.5 goals16%fair 6.45
Under 2.5 goals36%2.38
Under 3.5 goals57%fair 1.74
BTTS
Both teams to score65%1.43
Not both teams to score35%2.56
Halves
First-half goal78%fair 1.29
Over 1.5 first-half goals44%fair 2.26
Second-half goal84%fair 1.19
Team goals
Caersws to score85%fair 1.18
Guilsfield to score77%fair 1.31
Caersws clean sheet24%fair 4.26
Guilsfield clean sheet15%fair 6.54
Caersws to win to nil22%fair 4.63
Guilsfield to win to nil14%fair 7.14
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-19.8%
2-19.2%
1-27.1%
1-06.7%
2-26.6%
2-06.3%
Half-time / full-time
Caersws / Caersws29.8%
Guilsfield / Guilsfield17.5%
Draw / Caersws14.7%
Draw / Draw11.8%
Draw / Guilsfield10%
Questions about Caersws vs Guilsfield
Who is favourite in Caersws vs Guilsfield?
The model gives Caersws the best chance at 48%, with the draw at 23%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
What is the correct score prediction for Caersws vs Guilsfield?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9.8%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 65%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Caersws vs Guilsfield both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 65%. Caersws find the net in 85% of simulated matches and Guilsfield in 77%.
When do Caersws play Guilsfield?
Caersws vs Guilsfield starts at 13:30 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.