FAW Championship
Trethomas BluebirdsHomeDLWWL
3:1Half-time 2:1
Cardiff DraconiansAwayLDDLW412237
Trethomas Bluebirds winDrawCardiff Draconians win
Trethomas BluebirdsHomeDLWWLCardiff DraconiansAwayLDDLW- Kick-off Fri 23 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.49 1.79 : 1.70
- Favourite
- 41% Trethomas Bluebirds
- Over 2.5 goals
- 67% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 70% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Trethomas Bluebirds vs Cardiff Draconians betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.26 | 3.75 | 2.46 | 1.40 | 2.56 | 1.36 | 2.80 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Trethomas Bluebirds to win partner prices
1xBet pay the best Trethomas Bluebirds price at 2.26, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.75 and 1xBet have Cardiff Draconians longest at 2.46.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 89.6%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.40 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.56 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.36 (1xBet) and no 2.80 (1xBet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
78%
Our prediction
Trethomas Bluebirds or Cardiff Draconians (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
67% chance1.40
BTTSBoth teams to score
70% chance1.36
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
86% chance1.16fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
9% chance10.75fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Trethomas Bluebirds, full-time Trethomas Bluebirds
25% chance4.02fair
First halfFirst-half goal
79% chance1.26fair
Trethomas Bluebirds vs Cardiff Draconians prediction
Trethomas Bluebirds vs Cardiff Draconians prediction and best bet
The Trethomas Bluebirds vs Cardiff Draconians prediction is a coin flip by the numbers. FAW Championship on Friday, 23 October 2026 gives Trethomas Bluebirds a 41% chance, Cardiff Draconians 37% and the draw 22%, so the value sits in covering two results rather than one.
Expected goals are 1.79 for Trethomas Bluebirds and 1.70 for Cardiff Draconians, a total of 3.49, which puts over 2.5 goals at 67% and both teams to score at 70%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Trethomas Bluebirds or Cardiff Draconians (no draw) is the main selection, rated 78%. At 1.18 with 1xBet the market prices it at 85%, against 78% from the model.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Form check: Trethomas Bluebirds have won 2 of their last 5 with 10 scored and 8 conceded, Cardiff Draconians 1 of 5 scoring 7 and conceding 9.
Trethomas Bluebirds vs Cardiff Draconians over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score
On the goal lines Trethomas Bluebirds vs Cardiff Draconians reads 86% for over 1.5, 67% for over 2.5 and 46% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 33%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 67%; 1xBet pay 1.40.
BTTS yes stands at 70%. Trethomas Bluebirds score in 83% of simulations against a 17% clean sheet for Cardiff Draconians; Cardiff Draconians score in 82% while Trethomas Bluebirds shut them out 18% of the time.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 70%.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 9.3%, followed by 2-1 (8.3%) and 1-2 (7.9%).
With the top scoreline at 9.3%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Trethomas Bluebirds vs Cardiff Draconians; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Trethomas Bluebirds, full-time Trethomas Bluebirds leads at 25%. A goal before the break is rated 79%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for Trethomas Bluebirds vs Cardiff Draconians
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 41% / 22% / 37% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Trethomas Bluebirds to win41%2.26
Draw22%3.75
Cardiff Draconians to win37%2.46
Trethomas Bluebirds, draw no bet52%fair 1.91
Cardiff Draconians, draw no bet48%fair 2.10
Double chance
Trethomas Bluebirds or draw63%1.41
Cardiff Draconians or draw59%1.49
Trethomas Bluebirds or Cardiff Draconians (no draw)78%1.18
Goals
Over 0.5 goals97%fair 1.03
Over 1.5 goals86%fair 1.16
Over 2.5 goals67%1.40
Over 3.5 goals46%fair 2.17
Over 4.5 goals27%fair 3.66
Under 1.5 goals14%fair 7.30
Under 2.5 goals33%2.56
Under 3.5 goals54%fair 1.86
BTTS
Both teams to score70%1.36
Not both teams to score31%2.80
Halves
First-half goal79%fair 1.26
Over 1.5 first-half goals47%fair 2.15
Second-half goal85%fair 1.17
Team goals
Trethomas Bluebirds to score83%fair 1.20
Cardiff Draconians to score82%fair 1.22
Trethomas Bluebirds clean sheet18%fair 5.46
Cardiff Draconians clean sheet17%fair 5.99
Trethomas Bluebirds to win to nil17%fair 5.95
Cardiff Draconians to win to nil15%fair 6.49
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-19.3%
2-18.3%
1-27.9%
2-27.1%
1-05.5%
0-15.2%
Half-time / full-time
Trethomas Bluebirds / Trethomas Bluebirds24.9%
Cardiff Draconians / Cardiff Draconians22.3%
Draw / Trethomas Bluebirds12.7%
Draw / Cardiff Draconians11.7%
Draw / Draw11.3%
Questions about Trethomas Bluebirds vs Cardiff Draconians
Who will win Trethomas Bluebirds vs Cardiff Draconians?
The model gives Trethomas Bluebirds the best chance at 41%, with the draw at 22%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
Trethomas Bluebirds vs Cardiff Draconians correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9.3%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 67%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in Trethomas Bluebirds vs Cardiff Draconians?
The BTTS yes line is rated 70%. Trethomas Bluebirds find the net in 83% of simulated matches and Cardiff Draconians in 82%.
What time does Trethomas Bluebirds vs Cardiff Draconians kick off?
Trethomas Bluebirds vs Cardiff Draconians starts at 18:45 UTC on Friday, 23 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.