FAW Championship
Pontardawe TownHomeWWDW
2:1Half-time 0:1
Carmarthen TownAwayWLDLL442333
Pontardawe Town winDrawCarmarthen Town win
Pontardawe TownHomeWWDWCarmarthen TownAwayWLDLL- Kick-off Sat 31 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.55 1.89 : 1.66
- Favourite
- 44% Pontardawe Town
- Over 2.5 goals
- 69% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 70% model chance
- Prices compared
- 4 in the odds table
Best odds for Pontardawe Town vs Carmarthen Town
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 22Bet | 2.18 | 4.06 | 2.74 | 1.42 | 2.75 | 1.45 | 2.64 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 2.14 | 3.90 | 2.66 | 1.45 | 2.58 | 1.41 | 2.56 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 2.18 | 4.06 | 2.74 | 1.42 | 2.75 | 1.45 | 2.64 | Bet |
 Melbet | 2.18 | 4.06 | 2.74 | 1.42 | 2.75 | 1.45 | 2.64 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Pontardawe Town to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Pontardawe Town vs Carmarthen Town prediction: Pontardawe Town 2.18 (Melbet), draw 4.06 (Melbet), Carmarthen Town 2.74 (Melbet).
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 93.5%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.45 (BC.Game) and under 2.5 2.75 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 1.45 (22Bet) and no 2.64 (22Bet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
77%
Our prediction
Pontardawe Town or Carmarthen Town (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
69% chance1.45
BTTSBoth teams to score
70% chance1.45
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
87% chance1.15fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
9% chance11.11fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Pontardawe Town, full-time Pontardawe Town
27% chance3.70fair
First halfFirst-half goal
80% chance1.25fair
Pontardawe Town vs Carmarthen Town prediction
Pontardawe Town vs Carmarthen Town prediction and best bet
Pontardawe Town are marginally ahead in the Pontardawe Town vs Carmarthen Town prediction, rated 44% to win this FAW Championship match on Saturday, 31 October 2026. Carmarthen Town sit at 34% and the draw at 23%.
Pontardawe Town are expected to score 1.89 and Carmarthen Town 1.66, so the total line is 3.55 goals; over 2.5 lands at 69% and BTTS at 70%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
Pontardawe Town or Carmarthen Town (no draw) is the main selection, rated 77%. At 1.21 with 22Bet the market prices it at 83%, against 77% from the model.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Pontardawe Town average 3.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded across their last 4, Carmarthen Town 1.4 and 2.0 across 5.
Pontardawe Town vs Carmarthen Town over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score
Under 2.5 goals is rated 32% and under 3.5 53%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 87% and over 2.5 at 69%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 69%, best priced 1.45 at BC.Game.
The chance of both teams scoring is 70%, built from Pontardawe Town scoring in 85% of runs and Carmarthen Town in 81%; clean sheets come at 19% for Pontardawe Town and 15% for Carmarthen Town.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 70%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Pontardawe Town vs Carmarthen Town: 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (8.5%) and 1-2 (7.5%).
With the top scoreline at 9%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Pontardawe Town vs Carmarthen Town; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Pontardawe Town, full-time Pontardawe Town is the top combination at 27%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 80%.
All markets, Pontardawe Town vs Carmarthen Town
The grid built from 1.89 and 1.66 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Pontardawe Town to win44%2.18
Draw23%4.06
Carmarthen Town to win34%2.74
Pontardawe Town, draw no bet56%fair 1.78
Carmarthen Town, draw no bet44%fair 2.28
Double chance
Pontardawe Town or draw66%1.42
Carmarthen Town or draw57%1.63
Pontardawe Town or Carmarthen Town (no draw)77%1.21
Goals
Over 0.5 goals97%fair 1.03
Over 1.5 goals87%fair 1.15
Over 2.5 goals69%1.45
Over 3.5 goals47%fair 2.11
Over 4.5 goals28%fair 3.52
Under 1.5 goals13%fair 7.63
Under 2.5 goals32%2.75
Under 3.5 goals53%fair 1.90
BTTS
Both teams to score70%1.45
Not both teams to score30%2.64
Halves
First-half goal80%fair 1.25
Over 1.5 first-half goals47%fair 2.11
Second-half goal86%fair 1.17
Team goals
Pontardawe Town to score85%fair 1.18
Carmarthen Town to score81%fair 1.23
Pontardawe Town clean sheet19%fair 5.26
Carmarthen Town clean sheet15%fair 6.62
Pontardawe Town to win to nil18%fair 5.71
Carmarthen Town to win to nil14%fair 7.19
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-19%
2-18.5%
1-27.5%
2-27.1%
1-05.4%
3-15.4%
Half-time / full-time
Pontardawe Town / Pontardawe Town27%
Carmarthen Town / Carmarthen Town20.6%
Draw / Pontardawe Town13.3%
Draw / Draw11%
Draw / Carmarthen Town11%
Questions about Pontardawe Town vs Carmarthen Town
Pontardawe Town or Carmarthen Town: which side does the model back?
The model gives Pontardawe Town the best chance at 44%, with the draw at 23%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
What is the correct score prediction for Pontardawe Town vs Carmarthen Town?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 69%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in Pontardawe Town vs Carmarthen Town?
The BTTS yes line is rated 70%. Pontardawe Town find the net in 85% of simulated matches and Carmarthen Town in 81%.
When is Pontardawe Town vs Carmarthen Town and where is the result shown?
Pontardawe Town vs Carmarthen Town starts at 14:00 UTC on Saturday, 31 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.