FAW Championship
PenrhyncochHomeLLLL
Fri 6 Nov
CaerswsAwayWDDDD131671
Penrhyncoch winDrawCaersws win
PenrhyncochHomeLLLLCaerswsAwayWDDDD- Kick-off Fri 6 Nov
- Expected goals
- 3.71 1.05 : 2.66
- Favourite
- 71% Caersws
- Over 2.5 goals
- 71% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 60% model chance
- Prices compared
- - awaiting lines
Best odds for Penrhyncoch vs Caersws
No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.
Bookmakers have not opened Penrhyncoch vs Caersws yet. The lines usually arrive within two days of kick-off, and the markets above show the fair price from the model until then.
71%
Our prediction
Caersws to win
1.40fair
Double chanceCaersws or draw
87% chance1.15fair
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
71% chance1.41fair
BTTSBoth teams to score
60% chance1.67fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
88% chance1.13fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-2
9% chance10.99fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Caersws, full-time Caersws
49% chance2.03fair
Penrhyncoch vs Caersws prediction
Penrhyncoch vs Caersws prediction and best bet
Penrhyncoch host Caersws on Friday, 6 November 2026 in the FAW Championship, and the model has Caersws at 71%, the draw at 16% and Penrhyncoch at 13%: that is the Penrhyncoch vs Caersws prediction in one line.
The goal expectancy is 3.71 in total, split 1.05 to Penrhyncoch and 2.66 to Caersws. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 71% and both teams to score 60%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Caersws to win is the main selection, rated 71%. No bookmaker has priced it yet, so the fair price from the model is shown instead.
Caersws or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 87% chance.
The draw sits at only 16%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.
Penrhyncoch average 0.5 goals scored and 2.5 conceded across their last 4, Caersws 2.4 and 1.8 across 5.
Penrhyncoch vs Caersws over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score
Under 2.5 goals is rated 29% and under 3.5 49%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 88% and over 2.5 at 71%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 71%.
BTTS yes stands at 60%. Penrhyncoch score in 65% of simulations against a 35% clean sheet for Caersws; Caersws score in 93% while Penrhyncoch shut them out 7% of the time.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 60%.
Correct score: 1-2 leads at 9.1%, then 0-2 at 8.7% and 1-3 at 8.1%.
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Caersws, full-time Caersws leads at 49%. A goal before the break is rated 81%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for Penrhyncoch vs Caersws
The grid built from 1.05 and 2.66 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Penrhyncoch to win13%fair 7.81
Draw16%fair 6.21
Caersws to win71%fair 1.40
Penrhyncoch, draw no bet15%fair 6.58
Caersws, draw no bet85%fair 1.18
Double chance
Penrhyncoch or draw29%fair 3.46
Caersws or draw87%fair 1.15
Penrhyncoch or Caersws (no draw)84%fair 1.19
Goals
Over 0.5 goals98%fair 1.03
Over 1.5 goals88%fair 1.13
Over 2.5 goals71%fair 1.41
Over 3.5 goals51%fair 1.97
Over 4.5 goals31%fair 3.18
Under 1.5 goals12%fair 8.62
Under 2.5 goals29%fair 3.42
Under 3.5 goals49%fair 2.03
BTTS
Both teams to score60%fair 1.67
Not both teams to score40%fair 2.50
Halves
First-half goal81%fair 1.23
Over 1.5 first-half goals50%fair 2.01
Second-half goal87%fair 1.15
Team goals
Penrhyncoch to score65%fair 1.54
Caersws to score93%fair 1.08
Penrhyncoch clean sheet7%fair 14.29
Caersws clean sheet35%fair 2.86
Penrhyncoch to win to nil6%fair 15.63
Caersws to win to nil32%fair 3.11
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-29.1%
0-28.7%
1-38.1%
0-37.7%
1-16.8%
0-16.5%
Half-time / full-time
Caersws / Caersws49.3%
Draw / Caersws18.3%
Draw / Draw8.2%
Penrhyncoch / Penrhyncoch6.9%
Draw / Penrhyncoch4.5%
Questions about Penrhyncoch vs Caersws
Who is favourite in Penrhyncoch vs Caersws?
The model gives Caersws the best chance at 71%, with the draw at 16%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
What is the correct score prediction for Penrhyncoch vs Caersws?
1-2 is the most likely scoreline at 9.1%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 71%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Will both teams score in Penrhyncoch vs Caersws?
The BTTS yes line is rated 60%. Penrhyncoch find the net in 65% of simulated matches and Caersws in 93%.
What time does Penrhyncoch vs Caersws kick off?
Penrhyncoch vs Caersws starts at 19:45 UTC on Friday, 6 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.