FAW Championship
Trethomas BluebirdsHomeDLWWL
Sat 7 Nov
Llantwit MajorAwayWLDWL552124
Trethomas Bluebirds winDrawLlantwit Major win
Trethomas BluebirdsHomeDLWWLLlantwit MajorAwayWLDWL- Kick-off Sat 7 Nov
- Expected goals
- 3.64 2.20 : 1.44
- Favourite
- 55% Trethomas Bluebirds
- Over 2.5 goals
- 70% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 68% model chance
- Prices compared
- - awaiting lines
Best odds for Trethomas Bluebirds vs Llantwit Major
No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.
Bookmakers have not opened Trethomas Bluebirds vs Llantwit Major yet. The lines usually arrive within two days of kick-off, and the markets above show the fair price from the model until then.
55%
Our prediction
Trethomas Bluebirds to win
1.83fair
Double chanceTrethomas Bluebirds or Llantwit Major (no draw)
80% chance1.26fair
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
70% chance1.43fair
BTTSBoth teams to score
68% chance1.48fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
88% chance1.14fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-1
9% chance10.99fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Trethomas Bluebirds, full-time Trethomas Bluebirds
35% chance2.83fair
Trethomas Bluebirds vs Llantwit Major prediction
Our Trethomas Bluebirds vs Llantwit Major prediction and pick
Trethomas Bluebirds vs Llantwit Major prediction for the FAW Championship on Saturday, 7 November 2026: the model makes Trethomas Bluebirds a narrow favourite at 55%, with the draw at 21% and Llantwit Major at 25%.
The goal expectancy is 3.64 in total, split 2.20 to Trethomas Bluebirds and 1.44 to Llantwit Major. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 70% and both teams to score 68%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
The pick for Trethomas Bluebirds vs Llantwit Major is trethomas Bluebirds to win, a 55% chance. No bookmaker has priced it yet, so the fair price from the model is shown instead.
For a safer line, trethomas Bluebirds or Llantwit Major (no draw) covers 80% of outcomes.
The draw sits at only 21%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.
Over the last 5 matches Trethomas Bluebirds stand at 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Llantwit Major show 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats in 5.
Goals forecast for Trethomas Bluebirds vs Llantwit Major with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 88%, over 2.5 at 70%, over 3.5 at 49%; under 2.5 is 30% and under 3.5 is 51%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 70%.
BTTS yes stands at 68%. Trethomas Bluebirds score in 89% of simulations against a 11% clean sheet for Llantwit Major; Llantwit Major score in 76% while Trethomas Bluebirds shut them out 24% of the time.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 68%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Trethomas Bluebirds vs Llantwit Major: 2-1 (9.1%), 1-1 (8.3%) and 3-1 (6.7%).
With the top scoreline at 9.1%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Trethomas Bluebirds vs Llantwit Major; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Trethomas Bluebirds, full-time Trethomas Bluebirds leads at 35%. A goal before the break is rated 81%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market for Trethomas Bluebirds vs Llantwit Major
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 55% / 21% / 25% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Trethomas Bluebirds to win55%fair 1.83
Draw21%fair 4.88
Llantwit Major to win25%fair 4.03
Trethomas Bluebirds, draw no bet69%fair 1.45
Llantwit Major, draw no bet31%fair 3.21
Double chance
Trethomas Bluebirds or draw75%fair 1.33
Llantwit Major or draw45%fair 2.21
Trethomas Bluebirds or Llantwit Major (no draw)80%fair 1.26
Goals
Over 0.5 goals97%fair 1.03
Over 1.5 goals88%fair 1.14
Over 2.5 goals70%fair 1.43
Over 3.5 goals49%fair 2.03
Over 4.5 goals30%fair 3.32
Under 1.5 goals12%fair 8.20
Under 2.5 goals30%fair 3.34
Under 3.5 goals51%fair 1.97
BTTS
Both teams to score68%fair 1.48
Not both teams to score32%fair 3.09
Halves
First-half goal81%fair 1.24
Over 1.5 first-half goals49%fair 2.05
Second-half goal87%fair 1.16
Team goals
Trethomas Bluebirds to score89%fair 1.12
Llantwit Major to score76%fair 1.31
Trethomas Bluebirds clean sheet24%fair 4.22
Llantwit Major clean sheet11%fair 9.01
Trethomas Bluebirds to win to nil22%fair 4.59
Llantwit Major to win to nil10%fair 9.80
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
2-19.1%
1-18.3%
3-16.7%
2-26.6%
2-06.4%
1-26%
Half-time / full-time
Trethomas Bluebirds / Trethomas Bluebirds35.3%
Draw / Trethomas Bluebirds15.6%
Llantwit Major / Llantwit Major14.4%
Draw / Draw10.2%
Draw / Llantwit Major8.2%
Questions about Trethomas Bluebirds vs Llantwit Major
Who is favourite in Trethomas Bluebirds vs Llantwit Major?
The model gives Trethomas Bluebirds the best chance at 55%, with the draw at 21%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
What scoreline is most likely in Trethomas Bluebirds vs Llantwit Major?
2-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9.1%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 70% backs the same picture with less variance.
Trethomas Bluebirds vs Llantwit Major both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 68%. Trethomas Bluebirds find the net in 89% of simulated matches and Llantwit Major in 76%.
When is Trethomas Bluebirds vs Llantwit Major and where is the result shown?
Kick-off is 14:00 UTC on Saturday, 7 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.