FAW Championship
Afan LidoHomeDLDWL
Fri 6 Nov
Caerphilly AthleticAwayLLWWL412336
Afan Lido winDrawCaerphilly Athletic win
Afan LidoHomeDLDWLCaerphilly AthleticAwayLLWWL- Kick-off Fri 6 Nov
- Expected goals
- 3.21 1.67 : 1.54
- Favourite
- 41% Afan Lido
- Over 2.5 goals
- 62% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 64% model chance
- Prices compared
- - awaiting lines
Best odds for Afan Lido vs Caerphilly Athletic
No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.
No bookmaker lines are stored for this match yet. Prices appear once the feed carries them, usually within 48 hours of kick-off for the major competitions and the evening before for smaller ones.
77%
Our prediction
Afan Lido or Caerphilly Athletic (no draw)
1.30fair
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
62% chance1.61fair
BTTSBoth teams to score
64% chance1.57fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
83% chance1.20fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
10% chance9.62fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Afan Lido, full-time Afan Lido
25% chance4.02fair
First halfFirst-half goal
76% chance1.31fair
Afan Lido vs Caerphilly Athletic prediction
Afan Lido vs Caerphilly Athletic prediction and best bet
Nothing separates the sides in the Afan Lido vs Caerphilly Athletic prediction for Friday, 6 November 2026: 41% home, 23% draw and 36% away in the FAW Championship. A match this tight rewards the double chance and the goal markets more than a straight pick.
Afan Lido are expected to score 1.67 and Caerphilly Athletic 1.54, so the total line is 3.21 goals; over 2.5 lands at 62% and BTTS at 64%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
Our main pick is afan Lido or Caerphilly Athletic (no draw) at 77%. Bookmakers have not opened this line yet; the page shows the fair price until they do.
Over the last 5 matches Afan Lido stand at 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Caerphilly Athletic show 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in 5.
Afan Lido vs Caerphilly Athletic over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score
On the goal lines Afan Lido vs Caerphilly Athletic reads 83% for over 1.5, 62% for over 2.5 and 40% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 38%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 62%.
Both teams to score is 64%: Afan Lido find the net in 81% of simulated matches and Caerphilly Athletic in 79%. Afan Lido keep a clean sheet 21% of the time and Caerphilly Athletic 19%.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 64%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Afan Lido vs Caerphilly Athletic: 1-1 (10.4%), 2-1 (8.7%) and 1-2 (8%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 10.4% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Afan Lido, full-time Afan Lido leads at 25%. A goal before the break is rated 76%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for Afan Lido vs Caerphilly Athletic
The grid built from 1.67 and 1.54 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Afan Lido to win41%fair 2.43
Draw23%fair 4.27
Caerphilly Athletic to win36%fair 2.81
Afan Lido, draw no bet54%fair 1.87
Caerphilly Athletic, draw no bet46%fair 2.16
Double chance
Afan Lido or draw65%fair 1.55
Caerphilly Athletic or draw59%fair 1.69
Afan Lido or Caerphilly Athletic (no draw)77%fair 1.30
Goals
Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals83%fair 1.20
Over 2.5 goals62%fair 1.61
Over 3.5 goals40%fair 2.50
Over 4.5 goals22%fair 4.52
Under 1.5 goals17%fair 5.88
Under 2.5 goals38%fair 2.64
Under 3.5 goals60%fair 1.67
BTTS
Both teams to score64%fair 1.57
Not both teams to score36%fair 2.75
Halves
First-half goal76%fair 1.31
Over 1.5 first-half goals42%fair 2.36
Second-half goal83%fair 1.21
Team goals
Afan Lido to score81%fair 1.23
Caerphilly Athletic to score79%fair 1.27
Afan Lido clean sheet21%fair 4.67
Caerphilly Athletic clean sheet19%fair 5.32
Afan Lido to win to nil20%fair 5.08
Caerphilly Athletic to win to nil17%fair 5.78
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-110.4%
2-18.7%
1-28%
1-06.7%
2-26.7%
0-16.2%
Half-time / full-time
Afan Lido / Afan Lido24.9%
Caerphilly Athletic / Caerphilly Athletic21.2%
Draw / Afan Lido13.3%
Draw / Draw12.5%
Draw / Caerphilly Athletic11.8%
Questions about Afan Lido vs Caerphilly Athletic
Who will win Afan Lido vs Caerphilly Athletic?
The model gives Afan Lido the best chance at 41%, with the draw at 23%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
What is the correct score prediction for Afan Lido vs Caerphilly Athletic?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10.4%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 62% backs the same picture with less variance.
Afan Lido vs Caerphilly Athletic both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 64%. Afan Lido find the net in 81% of simulated matches and Caerphilly Athletic in 79%.
When is Afan Lido vs Caerphilly Athletic and where is the result shown?
Afan Lido vs Caerphilly Athletic starts at 19:30 UTC on Friday, 6 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.