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Live 29 UTC
FAW Championship South - 12 Friday, 23 October 2026 FT
llanelli AFCHomeLLLLL
0:3Half-time 0:2
Afan LidoAwayDLDWL
202060
llanelli AFC winDrawAfan Lido win
Kick-off
Fri 23 Oct
Expected goals
3.54
1.25 : 2.29
Favourite
61%
Afan Lido
Over 2.5 goals
68%
model chance
Both teams to score
64%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

Best odds for llanelli AFC vs Afan Lido

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet5.224.401.451.362.701.482.41Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Afan Lido to win partner prices

The top 1X2 prices for llanelli AFC vs Afan Lido are 5.22 for llanelli AFC at 1xBet, 4.40 for the draw at 1xBet and 1.45 for Afan Lido at 1xBet.

The best-price payout across the three results is 90.2%, several points better than any single book offers here.

For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.36 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.70 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.48 (1xBet) and no 2.41 (1xBet).

Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.

61%

Our prediction

Afan Lido to win
StrongExpected goals 1.25 : 2.29-12.1% against the best price
Double chanceAfan Lido or draw
80% chance1.09
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
68% chance1.36
BTTSBoth teams to score
64% chance1.48
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
87% chance1.15fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-2
10% chance10.53fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Afan Lido, full-time Afan Lido
40% chance2.51fair

llanelli AFC vs Afan Lido prediction

llanelli AFC vs Afan Lido prediction and best bet

Afan Lido are the clear favourite in the llanelli AFC vs Afan Lido prediction, rated 61% to win this FAW Championship match on Friday, 23 October 2026. llanelli AFC sit at 20% and the draw at 20%.

The goal expectancy is 3.54 in total, split 1.25 to llanelli AFC and 2.29 to Afan Lido. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 68% and both teams to score 64%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Afan Lido to win is the main selection, rated 61%. At 1.45 with 1xBet the market prices it at 69%, against 61% from the model.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

For a safer line, afan Lido or draw covers 80% of outcomes at 1.09.

With the draw down at 20%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.

llanelli AFC average 0.6 goals scored and 3.4 conceded across their last 5, Afan Lido 1.6 and 1.8 across 5.

Goals forecast for llanelli AFC vs Afan Lido with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

Under 2.5 goals is rated 32% and under 3.5 53%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 87% and over 2.5 at 68%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 68%, best priced 1.36 at 1xBet.

Both teams to score is 64%: llanelli AFC find the net in 71% of simulated matches and Afan Lido in 90%. llanelli AFC keep a clean sheet 10% of the time and Afan Lido 29%.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 64%.

Correct score: 1-2 leads at 9.5%, then 1-1 at 8.3% and 0-2 at 7.6%.

With the top scoreline at 9.5%, correct score stays a long-odds market for llanelli AFC vs Afan Lido; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Afan Lido, full-time Afan Lido is the top combination at 40%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 80%.

All markets, llanelli AFC vs Afan Lido

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for llanelli AFC vs Afan Lido, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

llanelli AFC to win20%5.22
Draw20%4.40
Afan Lido to win61%1.45
llanelli AFC, draw no bet24%fair 4.10
Afan Lido, draw no bet76%fair 1.32

Double chance

llanelli AFC or draw39%2.39
Afan Lido or draw80%1.09
llanelli AFC or Afan Lido (no draw)80%1.13

Goals

Over 0.5 goals97%fair 1.03
Over 1.5 goals87%fair 1.15
Over 2.5 goals68%1.36
Over 3.5 goals47%fair 2.12
Over 4.5 goals28%fair 3.55
Under 1.5 goals13%fair 7.58
Under 2.5 goals32%2.70
Under 3.5 goals53%fair 1.89

BTTS

Both teams to score64%1.48
Not both teams to score36%2.41

Halves

First-half goal80%fair 1.25
Over 1.5 first-half goals47%fair 2.11
Second-half goal86%fair 1.17

Team goals

llanelli AFC to score71%fair 1.40
Afan Lido to score90%fair 1.11
llanelli AFC clean sheet10%fair 9.90
Afan Lido clean sheet29%fair 3.48
llanelli AFC to win to nil9%fair 10.75
Afan Lido to win to nil26%fair 3.79

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

1-29.5%
1-18.3%
0-27.6%
1-37.3%
0-16.6%
2-25.9%

Half-time / full-time

Afan Lido / Afan Lido39.9%
Draw / Afan Lido17%
llanelli AFC / llanelli AFC11.3%
Draw / Draw10%
Draw / llanelli AFC6.9%

Questions about llanelli AFC vs Afan Lido

llanelli AFC or Afan Lido: which side does the model back?

The model gives Afan Lido the best chance at 61%, with the draw at 20%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.

llanelli AFC vs Afan Lido correct score: what does the model say?

1-2 is the most likely scoreline at 9.5%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 68%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

llanelli AFC vs Afan Lido both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 64%. llanelli AFC find the net in 71% of simulated matches and Afan Lido in 90%.

What time does llanelli AFC vs Afan Lido kick off?

Kick-off is 18:30 UTC on Friday, 23 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, llanelli AFC v Afan LidoAfan Lido to win, 61%
1.45Bet