FAW Championship
RhylHomeLLDDL
2:2Half-time 1:1
Newtown AFCAwayLWDDW252352
Rhyl winDrawNewtown AFC win
RhylHomeLLDDLNewtown AFCAwayLWDDW- Kick-off Sat 24 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.14 1.26 : 1.88
- Favourite
- 52% Newtown AFC
- Over 2.5 goals
- 60% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 61% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Rhyl vs Newtown AFC odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 3.40 | 3.68 | 1.84 | 1.53 | 2.28 | 1.50 | 2.36 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Newtown AFC to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Rhyl vs Newtown AFC are 3.40 for Rhyl at 1xBet, 3.68 for the draw at 1xBet and 1.84 for Newtown AFC at 1xBet.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 90.1%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.53 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.28 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.50 (1xBet) and no 2.36 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
52%
Our prediction
Newtown AFC to win
Double chanceRhyl or Newtown AFC (no draw)
77% chance1.19
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
60% chance1.53
BTTSBoth teams to score
61% chance1.50
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
82% chance1.22fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
10% chance9.71fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Newtown AFC, full-time Newtown AFC
33% chance3.07fair
Rhyl vs Newtown AFC prediction
Our Rhyl vs Newtown AFC prediction and pick
Newtown AFC are a narrow favourite in the Rhyl vs Newtown AFC prediction, rated 52% to win this FAW Championship match on Saturday, 24 October 2026. Rhyl sit at 25% and the draw at 23%.
Rhyl are expected to score 1.26 and Newtown AFC 1.88, so the total line is 3.14 goals; over 2.5 lands at 60% and BTTS at 61%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Our main pick is newtown AFC to win at 52%. At 1.84 with 1xBet the market prices it at 54%, against 52% from the model.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
For a safer line, rhyl or Newtown AFC (no draw) covers 77% of outcomes at 1.19.
Rhyl average 1.4 goals scored and 2.2 conceded across their last 5, Newtown AFC 1.2 and 0.8 across 5.
Goals forecast for Rhyl vs Newtown AFC with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 82%, over 2.5 at 60%, over 3.5 at 38%; under 2.5 is 40% and under 3.5 is 62%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 60%, best priced 1.53 at 1xBet.
BTTS yes stands at 61%. Rhyl score in 72% of simulations against a 28% clean sheet for Newtown AFC; Newtown AFC score in 85% while Rhyl shut them out 15% of the time.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 61%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Rhyl vs Newtown AFC: 1-1 (10.3%), 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-1 (8.1%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Newtown AFC, full-time Newtown AFC is the top combination at 33%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 76%.
Every market for Rhyl vs Newtown AFC
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Rhyl vs Newtown AFC, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Rhyl to win25%3.40
Draw23%3.68
Newtown AFC to win52%1.84
Rhyl, draw no bet33%fair 3.05
Newtown AFC, draw no bet67%fair 1.49
Double chance
Rhyl or draw48%1.77
Newtown AFC or draw75%1.23
Rhyl or Newtown AFC (no draw)77%1.19
Goals
Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals82%fair 1.22
Over 2.5 goals60%1.53
Over 3.5 goals38%fair 2.60
Over 4.5 goals21%fair 4.78
Under 1.5 goals18%fair 5.59
Under 2.5 goals40%2.28
Under 3.5 goals62%fair 1.62
BTTS
Both teams to score61%1.50
Not both teams to score39%2.36
Halves
First-half goal76%fair 1.32
Over 1.5 first-half goals41%fair 2.42
Second-half goal82%fair 1.22
Team goals
Rhyl to score72%fair 1.40
Newtown AFC to score85%fair 1.18
Rhyl clean sheet15%fair 6.54
Newtown AFC clean sheet28%fair 3.52
Rhyl to win to nil14%fair 7.14
Newtown AFC to win to nil26%fair 3.83
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-110.3%
1-29.6%
0-18.1%
0-27.6%
2-16.5%
2-26.1%
Half-time / full-time
Newtown AFC / Newtown AFC32.6%
Draw / Newtown AFC16.1%
Rhyl / Rhyl14.6%
Draw / Draw12.4%
Draw / Rhyl9%
Questions about Rhyl vs Newtown AFC
Who will win Rhyl vs Newtown AFC?
The model gives Newtown AFC the best chance at 52%, with the draw at 23%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
What scoreline is most likely in Rhyl vs Newtown AFC?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10.3%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 60%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in Rhyl vs Newtown AFC?
The BTTS yes line is rated 61%. Rhyl find the net in 72% of simulated matches and Newtown AFC in 85%.
What time does Rhyl vs Newtown AFC kick off?
Kick-off is 13:30 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.