Primera División RFEF - Group 1 predictions for every fixture

Primera División RFEF - Group 1 predictions for the coming round

Primera División RFEF - Group 1 predictions cover 10 of the next 10 fixtures. 0 of them already carry bookmaker prices. On an average fixture in this round the model makes the favourite a 42% chance, the draw 27%, over 2.5 goals 45% and BTTS 50%.

Expected goals average 2.50 a match, so the goal lines open below 2.5 for most of the round. Home sides are favoured in 8 of the 10 rated fixtures. 1 pick reaches banker grade, which needs a chance of 80% or more.

The strongest Primera División RFEF - Group 1 pick of the round is over 1.5 goals in Arenas Getxo v Deportivo La Coruña II on Sun 8 Nov, rated 77%.

No Primera División RFEF - Group 1 pick in this round clears the 3% edge bar against the best price, so the value page lists nothing from this competition today. The picks below stand on probability alone.

Each row on the board shows the three-way bar, the pick in green and the best price. The match pages print every market, the six most likely scores and the full Primera División RFEF - Group 1 odds table.

Primera División RFEF - Group 1 results and trends, last 60 days

The last 90 Primera División RFEF - Group 1 matches of the past 60 days produced 43 home wins, 22 draws and 25 away wins. That is a home win rate of 48% and a draw rate of 24%.

Goals averaged 2.58 a match, 1.43 for the home side and 1.14 for the visitors. Over 2.5 goals landed in 48% of matches and over 1.5 in 70%. Both teams scored in 49%, and at least one side kept a clean sheet in 51%.

The highest-scoring match in the window was Mérida AD 3-5 UD Logroñés on Sun 27 Sep.

The model rates over 2.5 at 45% for the coming round against a 48% strike rate in these results, so the two readings agree.

The results block under the board lists each match with the final score, the half-time score and the pick that was frozen before kick-off, so the trend can be checked line by line.

How the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 tips have gone

48 Primera División RFEF - Group 1 tips have been settled in the last 60 days: 21 won and 27 lost, a hit rate of 44%. At a flat stake on the best price at freeze time the return is -8.4%.

The market that has landed most often in this competition is both teams to score, 4 of 6 tips. A hit rate is only printed once a market has five settled tips, so the early figures move quickly.

Every tip is frozen 40 hours before kick-off and graded from the final score. The day-by-day list sits on the results pages. 0 further Primera División RFEF - Group 1 tips are frozen and waiting for their matches.

A frozen tip cannot be edited or withdrawn, so this record reads the same way as the site-wide one: what was published, then what came in.

Primera División RFEF - Group 1 odds comparison

No Primera División RFEF - Group 1 fixture in the coming round is priced yet. Prices usually arrive two to three days before kick-off for a top division and the evening before for cups and lower divisions.

Until then the match pages show the fair price from the model, labelled as such. The edge column stays blank because there is no bookmaker line to measure it against.

Once prices land, each Primera División RFEF - Group 1 match page lists every bookmaker's 1X2, over/under 2.5 and both teams to score lines with the best in each column marked.

Taking the best price on each outcome typically pays two to four points more than a single bookmaker's full line, and partner bookmakers carry a Bet button.