Primera División RFEF - Group 1
MirandesHomeDLWDW
2:0Half-time 1:0
Racing FerrolAwayWWWLD482923
Mirandes winDrawRacing Ferrol win
MirandesHomeDLWDWRacing FerrolAwayWWWLD- Kick-off Sat 24 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.34 1.43 : 0.91
- Favourite
- 48% Mirandes
- Over 2.5 goals
- 41% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 47% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Best odds for Mirandes vs Racing Ferrol
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.91 | 3.10 | 3.84 | 2.13 | 1.61 | 1.92 | 1.77 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Mirandes to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Mirandes vs Racing Ferrol prediction: Mirandes 1.91 (1xBet), draw 3.10 (1xBet), Racing Ferrol 3.84 (1xBet).
The best-price payout across the three results is 90.4%, several points better than any single book offers here.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 2.13 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.61 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.92 (1xBet) and no 1.77 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
77%
Our prediction
Mirandes or draw
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
59% chance1.61
BTTSNot both teams to score
53% chance1.77
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
68% chance1.47fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
14% chance7.25fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Mirandes, full-time Mirandes
30% chance3.39fair
First halfFirst-half goal
65% chance1.54fair
Mirandes vs Racing Ferrol odds movement
Mirandes win1.91-0.05
Draw3.10-0.25
Racing Ferrol win3.84-0.29
Over 2.5 goals2.13-0.07
Under 2.5 goals1.61-0.04
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 12:14 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
Mirandes vs Racing Ferrol prediction
Mirandes vs Racing Ferrol prediction, who wins and at what price
Mirandes vs Racing Ferrol prediction for the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 on Saturday, 24 October 2026: the model makes Mirandes a narrow favourite at 48%, with the draw at 29% and Racing Ferrol at 23%.
Mirandes are expected to score 1.43 and Racing Ferrol 0.91, so the total line is 2.34 goals; over 2.5 lands at 41% and BTTS at 47%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
Mirandes or draw is the main selection, rated 77%. At 1.18 with 1xBet the market prices it at 85%, against 77% from the model.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Mirandes vs Racing Ferrol.
Over the last 5 matches Mirandes stand at 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Racing Ferrol show 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats in 5.
A low-scoring Mirandes vs Racing Ferrol? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 68%, over 2.5 at 41%, over 3.5 at 21%; under 2.5 is 59% and under 3.5 is 79%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 59%; 1xBet pay 1.61.
BTTS yes stands at 47%. Mirandes score in 76% of simulations against a 24% clean sheet for Racing Ferrol; Racing Ferrol score in 60% while Mirandes shut them out 40% of the time.
The most likely scoreline is 1-0 at 13.8%, followed by 1-1 (12.5%) and 2-0 (9.8%).
With the top scoreline at 13.8%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Mirandes vs Racing Ferrol; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Mirandes, full-time Mirandes leads at 30%. A goal before the break is rated 65%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for Mirandes vs Racing Ferrol
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 48% / 29% / 23% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Mirandes to win48%1.91
Draw29%3.10
Racing Ferrol to win23%3.84
Mirandes, draw no bet68%fair 1.48
Racing Ferrol, draw no bet32%fair 3.10
Double chance
Mirandes or draw77%1.18
Racing Ferrol or draw52%1.72
Mirandes or Racing Ferrol (no draw)71%1.28
Goals
Over 0.5 goals90%fair 1.11
Over 1.5 goals68%fair 1.47
Over 2.5 goals41%2.13
Over 3.5 goals21%fair 4.78
Over 4.5 goals9%fair 11.36
Under 1.5 goals32%fair 3.11
Under 2.5 goals59%1.61
Under 3.5 goals79%fair 1.26
BTTS
Both teams to score47%1.92
Not both teams to score53%1.77
Halves
First-half goal65%fair 1.54
Over 1.5 first-half goals28%fair 3.52
Second-half goal72%fair 1.38
Team goals
Mirandes to score76%fair 1.31
Racing Ferrol to score60%fair 1.68
Mirandes clean sheet40%fair 2.48
Racing Ferrol clean sheet24%fair 4.18
Mirandes to win to nil37%fair 2.70
Racing Ferrol to win to nil21%fair 4.72
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals51%fair 1.98
Most likely scores
1-013.8%
1-112.5%
2-09.8%
0-09.6%
2-19%
0-18.8%
Half-time / full-time
Mirandes / Mirandes29.5%
Draw / Draw17.7%
Draw / Mirandes17.4%
Racing Ferrol / Racing Ferrol13.2%
Draw / Racing Ferrol9.6%
Questions about Mirandes vs Racing Ferrol
Mirandes or Racing Ferrol: which side does the model back?
The model gives Mirandes the best chance at 48%, with the draw at 29%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
What scoreline is most likely in Mirandes vs Racing Ferrol?
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 13.8%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 41% backs the same picture with less variance.
Will both teams score in Mirandes vs Racing Ferrol?
The BTTS yes line is rated 47%. Mirandes find the net in 76% of simulated matches and Racing Ferrol in 60%.
When is Mirandes vs Racing Ferrol and where is the result shown?
Kick-off is 14:30 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.