Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Real AvilésHomeLWWLW
1:3Half-time 1:0
UD LogroñésAwayWLDWL342838
Real Avilés winDrawUD Logroñés win
Real AvilésHomeLWWLWUD LogroñésAwayWLDWL- Kick-off Sat 24 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.79 1.36 : 1.43
- Favourite
- 37% UD Logroñés
- Over 2.5 goals
- 53% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 58% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Real Avilés vs UD Logroñés odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.96 | 3.14 | 2.22 | 1.84 | 1.83 | 1.67 | 2.05 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
UD Logroñés to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Real Avilés vs UD Logroñés are 2.96 for Real Avilés at 1xBet, 3.14 for the draw at 1xBet and 2.22 for UD Logroñés at 1xBet.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 90.4%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.84 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.83 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.67 (1xBet) and no 2.05 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
72%
Our prediction
Real Avilés or UD Logroñés (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
53% chance1.84
BTTSBoth teams to score
58% chance1.67
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
77% chance1.30fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.40fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time UD Logroñés, full-time UD Logroñés
23% chance4.33fair
First halfFirst-half goal
72% chance1.40fair
Real Avilés vs UD Logroñés odds movement
Real Avilés win2.96unchanged
Draw3.14-0.36
UD Logroñés win2.22-0.23
Over 2.5 goals1.84-0.03
Under 2.5 goals1.83-0.12
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 12:14 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
Real Avilés vs UD Logroñés prediction
Our Real Avilés vs UD Logroñés prediction and pick
Nothing separates the sides in the Real Avilés vs UD Logroñés prediction for Saturday, 24 October 2026: 34% home, 28% draw and 37% away in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1. A match this tight rewards the double chance and the goal markets more than a straight pick.
Expected goals are 1.36 for Real Avilés and 1.43 for UD Logroñés, a total of 2.79, which puts over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams to score at 58%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
The pick for Real Avilés vs UD Logroñés is real Avilés or UD Logroñés (no draw), a 72% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.27 at 1xBet, which implies 79%, so the model sits 7 points below the market.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Over the last 5 matches Real Avilés stand at 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats; UD Logroñés show 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats in 5.
How many goals in Real Avilés vs UD Logroñés? Lines, BTTS and scorelines
On the goal lines Real Avilés vs UD Logroñés reads 77% for over 1.5, 53% for over 2.5 and 31% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 48%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 53%; 1xBet pay 1.84.
The chance of both teams scoring is 58%, built from Real Avilés scoring in 74% of runs and UD Logroñés in 76%; clean sheets come at 24% for Real Avilés and 26% for UD Logroñés.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Real Avilés vs UD Logroñés: 1-1 (11.9%), 0-1 (8.8%) and 1-2 (8.5%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 11.9% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time UD Logroñés, full-time UD Logroñés is the top combination at 23%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 72%.
All markets, Real Avilés vs UD Logroñés
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 34% / 28% / 37% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Real Avilés to win34%2.96
Draw28%3.14
UD Logroñés to win37%2.22
Real Avilés, draw no bet48%fair 2.09
UD Logroñés, draw no bet52%fair 1.92
Double chance
Real Avilés or draw63%1.52
UD Logroñés or draw66%1.30
Real Avilés or UD Logroñés (no draw)72%1.27
Goals
Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.06
Over 1.5 goals77%fair 1.30
Over 2.5 goals53%1.84
Over 3.5 goals31%fair 3.27
Over 4.5 goals15%fair 6.62
Under 1.5 goals23%fair 4.29
Under 2.5 goals48%1.83
Under 3.5 goals69%fair 1.44
BTTS
Both teams to score58%1.67
Not both teams to score43%2.05
Halves
First-half goal72%fair 1.40
Over 1.5 first-half goals36%fair 2.80
Second-half goal78%fair 1.28
Team goals
Real Avilés to score74%fair 1.35
UD Logroñés to score76%fair 1.31
Real Avilés clean sheet24%fair 4.18
UD Logroñés clean sheet26%fair 3.89
Real Avilés to win to nil22%fair 4.55
UD Logroñés to win to nil24%fair 4.24
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-111.9%
0-18.8%
1-28.5%
1-08.4%
2-18.1%
0-26.3%
Half-time / full-time
UD Logroñés / UD Logroñés23.1%
Real Avilés / Real Avilés20.9%
Draw / Draw14.8%
Draw / UD Logroñés13.5%
Draw / Real Avilés12.6%
Questions about Real Avilés vs UD Logroñés
Who is favourite in Real Avilés vs UD Logroñés?
The model gives UD Logroñés the best chance at 37%, with the draw at 28%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
Real Avilés vs UD Logroñés correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.9%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 53%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Real Avilés vs UD Logroñés both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 58%. Real Avilés find the net in 74% of simulated matches and UD Logroñés in 76%.
What time does Real Avilés vs UD Logroñés kick off?
Real Avilés vs UD Logroñés starts at 16:45 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.