Primera División RFEF - Group 1
CacereñoHomeLDLWL
1:0Half-time 0:0
ZamoraAwayDDLWL393031
Cacereño winDrawZamora win
CacereñoHomeLDLWLZamoraAwayDDLWL- Kick-off Sat 24 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.28 1.22 : 1.06
- Favourite
- 39% Cacereño
- Over 2.5 goals
- 40% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 48% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Cacereño vs Zamora betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.32 | 3.04 | 2.90 | 2.13 | 1.61 | 1.85 | 1.84 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Cacereño to win partner prices
1xBet pay the best Cacereño price at 2.32, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.04 and 1xBet have Zamora longest at 2.90.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 90.5%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 2.13 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.61 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.85 (1xBet) and no 1.84 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
71%
Our prediction
Cacereño or Zamora (no draw)
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
61% chance1.61
BTTSNot both teams to score
52% chance1.84
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
67% chance1.50fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance7.58fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Cacereño, full-time Cacereño
23% chance4.33fair
First halfFirst-half goal
64% chance1.56fair
Cacereño vs Zamora odds movement
Cacereño win2.32-0.09
Draw3.04-0.16
Zamora win2.90-0.10
Over 2.5 goals2.13-0.13
Under 2.5 goals1.61-0.04
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 12:14 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
Cacereño vs Zamora prediction
Cacereño vs Zamora prediction, who wins and at what price
The Cacereño vs Zamora prediction leans to Cacereño: 39% against 31% for Zamora, with 30% left for the draw, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 on Saturday, 24 October 2026.
Expected goals are 1.22 for Cacereño and 1.06 for Zamora, a total of 2.28, which puts over 2.5 goals at 40% and both teams to score at 48%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
The pick for Cacereño vs Zamora is cacereño or Zamora (no draw), a 71% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.29 at 1xBet, which implies 78%, so the model sits 7 points below the market.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Cacereño vs Zamora.
Form check: Cacereño have won 1 of their last 5 with 3 scored and 7 conceded, Zamora 1 of 5 scoring 5 and conceding 6.
Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Cacereño vs Zamora
Under 2.5 goals is rated 61% and under 3.5 80%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 67% and over 2.5 at 40%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 61%, best priced 1.61 at 1xBet.
Both teams to score is 48%: Cacereño find the net in 71% of simulated matches and Zamora in 65%. Cacereño keep a clean sheet 35% of the time and Zamora 30%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Cacereño vs Zamora: 1-1 (13.2%), 1-0 (12.5%) and 0-1 (10.8%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Cacereño, full-time Cacereño is the top combination at 23%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 64%.
Every market for Cacereño vs Zamora
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 39% / 30% / 31% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Cacereño to win39%2.32
Draw30%3.04
Zamora to win31%2.90
Cacereño, draw no bet56%fair 1.80
Zamora, draw no bet44%fair 2.26
Double chance
Cacereño or draw69%1.32
Zamora or draw61%1.48
Cacereño or Zamora (no draw)71%1.29
Goals
Over 0.5 goals90%fair 1.11
Over 1.5 goals67%fair 1.50
Over 2.5 goals40%2.13
Over 3.5 goals20%fair 5.08
Over 4.5 goals8%fair 12.35
Under 1.5 goals34%fair 2.99
Under 2.5 goals61%1.61
Under 3.5 goals80%fair 1.25
BTTS
Both teams to score48%1.85
Not both teams to score52%1.84
Halves
First-half goal64%fair 1.56
Over 1.5 first-half goals27%fair 3.65
Second-half goal72%fair 1.40
Team goals
Cacereño to score71%fair 1.42
Zamora to score65%fair 1.53
Cacereño clean sheet35%fair 2.89
Zamora clean sheet30%fair 3.39
Cacereño to win to nil32%fair 3.13
Zamora to win to nil27%fair 3.68
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals51%fair 1.98
Most likely scores
1-113.2%
1-012.5%
0-110.8%
0-010.2%
2-18.1%
2-07.6%
Half-time / full-time
Cacereño / Cacereño23.1%
Draw / Draw18.7%
Zamora / Zamora18%
Draw / Cacereño14.8%
Draw / Zamora12.3%
Questions about Cacereño vs Zamora
Who is favourite in Cacereño vs Zamora?
The model gives Cacereño the best chance at 39%, with the draw at 30%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
What is the correct score prediction for Cacereño vs Zamora?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 13.2%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 40% backs the same picture with less variance.
Cacereño vs Zamora both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 48%. Cacereño find the net in 71% of simulated matches and Zamora in 65%.
What time does Cacereño vs Zamora kick off?
Cacereño vs Zamora starts at 16:45 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.